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Race Cards, Odds & Results Mon 30th Mar

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  1. 15:05 - Chepstow, 2m 110y
  2. 15:15 - Kempton, 2m
  3. 15:15 - Flamingo Park, 4f 214y
  4. 15:25 - Warwick, 2m 4f 110y
  5. 15:25 - Chantilly, 1m 1f 97y
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  1. 14:30 - Chepstow, 2m 4f
Chepstow
  1. ALL - View all races at this meeting
  2. 14:30 - 2m 4f (9 ran)
  3. 15:05 - 2m 110y (6 run)
  4. 15:35 - 3m (6 run)
  5. 16:10 - 2m 4f (6 run)
  6. 16:40 - 2m 110y (10 run)
  7. 17:15 - 2m 110y (4 run)
Kempton
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  2. 14:10 - 2m (11 ran)
  3. 14:45 - 3m 110y (6 ran)
  4. 15:15 - 2m (3 run)
  5. 15:50 - 2m 5f (8 run)
  6. 16:20 - 2m 4f 110y (6 run)
  7. 16:55 - 2m (7 run)
  8. 17:25 - 2m (12 run)
Warwick
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  2. 14:20 - 2m (7 ran)
  3. 14:55 - 3m 110y (7 ran)
  4. 15:25 - 2m 4f 110y (9 run)
  5. 16:00 - 3m 1f (8 run)
  6. 16:30 - 3m 2f (4 run)
  7. 17:05 - 2m (9 run)
Chantilly (France)
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  2. 12:50 - 7f 209y
  3. 13:20 - 1m 1f 97y
  4. 13:50 - 5f 102y
  5. 14:20 - 1m 1f 97y
  6. 14:50 - 7f 209y
  7. 15:25 - 1m 1f 97y
  8. 15:55 - 1m 1f 97y
  9. 16:25 - 1m 1f 97y
Flamingo Park (RSA)
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  2. 11:15 - 4f 214y (10 ran)
  3. 11:45 - 7f 210y (8 ran)
  4. 12:15 - 7f 210y (12 ran)
  5. 12:45 - 7f 210y (12 ran)
  6. 13:15 - 7f 210y (11 ran)
  7. 13:45 - 6f 211y (11 ran)
  8. 14:15 - 1m 209y (10 ran)
  9. 14:45 - 5f 212y (14 ran)
  10. 15:15 - 4f 214y (12 run)
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Fair Grounds (USA)
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  2. R1 (19:25) - 1m 70y (7 run)
  3. R2 (19:56) - 5f 110y (9 run)
  4. R3 (20:25) - 6f (12 run)
  5. R4 (20:54) - 1m (16 run)
  6. R5 (21:24) - 1m (15 run)
  7. R6 (21:54) - 5f (14 run)
  8. R7 (22:22) - 1m (16 run)
  9. R8 (22:52) - 1m 4f 110y (9 run)
  10. R9 (23:22) - 6f (12 run)
  11. R10 (23:51) - 5f 110y (16 run)
  12. R1 (00:20) - 5f 110y (16 ran)
Mountaineer Park (USA)
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  2. R1 (00:00) - 5f (7 run)
  3. R2 (00:22) - 1m (6 run)
  4. R3 (00:44) - 5f 110y (8 run)
  5. R4 (01:06) - 6f (6 run)
  6. R5 (01:28) - 5f (6 run)
  7. R6 (01:50) - 6f (6 run)
  8. R7 (02:12) - 1m (6 run)
  9. R8 (02:34) - 1m (8 run)
  10. R9 (02:56) - 5f 110y (8 run)
Philadelphia Park (USA)
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  2. R1 (17:55) - 1m (8 run)
  3. R2 (18:22) - 6f (7 run)
  4. R3 (18:49) - 6f (11 run)
  5. R4 (19:16) - 6f (7 run)
  6. R5 (19:43) - 1m 70y (8 run)
  7. R6 (20:10) - 7f (11 run)
  8. R7 (20:37) - 7f (7 run)
  9. R8 (21:04) - 6f (7 run)
  10. R9 (21:31) - 1m 70y (12 run)
Sunland Park (USA)
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  2. R1 (19:55) - 1f 80y (12 run)
  3. R2 (20:21) - 1f 130y (12 run)
  4. R3 (20:47) - 5f (8 run)
  5. R4 (21:13) - 6f 110y (8 run)
  6. R5 (21:40) - 6f 110y (8 run)
  7. R6 (22:07) - 5f 110y (10 run)
  8. R7 (22:34) - 6f (10 run)
  9. R8 (23:01) - 6f (8 run)
  10. R9 (23:28) - 6f (9 run)
  11. R10 (23:55) - 1m (10 run)
WILL ROGERS DOWNS (USA)
  1. ALL - View all races at this meeting
  2. R1 (19:15) - 5f 110y (8 run)
  3. R2 (19:43) - 1m (8 run)
  4. R3 (20:11) - 5f 110y (10 run)
  5. R4 (20:39) - 5f 110y (5 run)
  6. R5 (21:07) - 6f (8 run)
  7. R6 (21:35) - 1m (7 run)
  8. R7 (22:03) - 1m (10 run)
  9. R8 (22:31) - 6f (10 run)
  10. R9 (22:59) - 1m (8 run)
  11. R10 (23:27) - 6f (12 run)

Paul Quigley's US Racing Preview
28 Mar 2015

I have mentioned in the column on occasions over the last few weeks that things will get better, quality-wise on Attheraces Stateside soon. Well soon has arrived. The Fair Grounds hosts a fabulous card on Saturday. The highlight is The Grade 2 Louisiana Derby, a bona fide Kentucky Derby prep. That's the last race in this preview but before that, there are seven more from the Louisiana venue.

The Louisiana Derby sees a rematch from the local Grade 2 prep for this, The Risen Star. The first four from that event are back plus talented shippers from Gulfstream and Oaklawn. An hour or so earlier, The Fair Grounds Oaks (Grade 2) is a repeat of a local stakes prep and a likely repeat result. In between, there is a cracking Grade 2 for older males. Grade 1 regular Moreno is the horse to catch and beat there. There is also a tricky looking Grade 2 on the turf run as race 8 on the card.

PAUL'S ANALYSIS FROM  Fair Grounds races 4 to 11
Saturday 28 March 2015


Fair Grounds Race 4 (6.58pm)
The Crescent City Oaks - A stake for Louisiana bred 3 year old fillies - 1 Mile 70 yards - Dirt

Sibling War (9) has come a long way since a poor career debut in October. Although she lost in a sprint stake to Wind Chill Factor (2) in December, she's looked much improved since being stepped up in distance. A second here was followed by back to back victories at Delta Downs. The latest came in a stake where she was a length too good for Forest Lake (1) with Pacific Pink (8) well back in third.

Forest Lake (1) draws well for the rematch and is definitely playable. Wind Chill Factor (2) may be too if you forgive her last run behind Sibling War. The worry with her is she's lost at short prices in back to back stakes now. The first time was to Private Promise (6), a filly she'd beaten three times before.

The unbeaten Safari Calamari (7) could be anything.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Sibling War (9)

EXOTIC BETS
Combination Exacta (6 bets): Forest Lake (1), Wind Chill Factor (2) and Sibling War (9)

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Fair Grounds Race 5 (7.26pm)
The Crescent City Derby - A stake for Louisiana bred 3 year olds - 1 1/16 Miles - Dirt

This has the look of a wide open stake for state breds. The vote goes to Mystery Gate (6). He's two for two on dirt. In the latest victory last month, he outbattled Cajun Spirit (9) by a head with Quieta Tiz (11) eight lengths back in third. Both he and the twice raced runner up have upside.

The other key line of form here may come from a stake run at Delta Downs three weeks ago. The bang in form Cat Sup (12) won by a nose from Four Leaf Chief (10) with the progressive Charlie's Affair (7) back in third. The winner has the speed to get a good early position. Four Leaf Chief looks a stayer who gets an extra furlong to close into here.

Mobile Bay (8) found the lead, a mile and the mud to his liking when graduating with a big effort. He has to be considered along with stretch out sprinter Grande Basin (2) who beat Mobile Bay the time before.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Mystery Gate (6)

EXOTIC BETS
Combination Exacta (12 bets): Mystery Gate (6), Cajun Spirit (9), Four Leaf Chief (10) and Cat Sup (12)

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Fair Grounds Race 6 (7.54pm)
The Costa Rising - A stake for Louisiana bred 4 year olds and upwards- 5 ½ Furlongs - Turf

Heitai (9) hasn't been out of the exacta in 10 straight starts, all stakes. They have come on dirt as last time when he beat his fellow Louisiana breds at Delta Downs. He's also won on turf, a surface he is unbeaten on. In January, he beat open competition including Brilliant Interest (7) in a stake at Sam Houston. He's very hard to get away from. He will be a short price and is surrounded by fellow on or near the front types.

Cole's Magic Vow (6) lost to Heitai at Delta before coming back a week later to win an allowance event by open lengths. He's has form on turf too. Maybe most importantly to his upset chances are an off the pace running style in a speed-laden event. That may be the 'in' with Knockitdownhard (4). The other is he runs first time for a trainer who is performing equine miracles with new acquisitions.

Dirt sprinters King Bandit (2) and Tallahatchie Luke (8) have the class to contend here. They are both unproven in turf sprints. The surface is not an issue for five time turf winner and stakes performer Benwill (10). The worry is can he lay up close enough cutting back from route races.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Heitai (9)

EXOTIC BETS
Reversed Exacta (2 bets): Knockitdownhard (4) and Heitai (9)
Reversed Exacta (2 bets): Cole's Magic Vow (6) and Heitai (9)

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Fair Grounds Race 7 (8.23pm)
The Star Guitar - A stake for Louisiana bred 4 year olds and upwards - 1 1/16 Miles - Dirt

Jo Sharp has only been training for little over six months. He's made a massive impact in that time winning at the competitive meets like The Fair Grounds at almost 30%. The other feature of his success is the improvement he's achieved with new acquisitions. He's doing it with claims off the likes of Tom Amoss, the meet's leading trainer. One King's Man (4) was with some top handlers but Sharp has really upped his game since he joined him in October. So much so that he's cross-entered for The Grade 2 feature (race 10). If he runs here, he'll be tough to beat. Since a tough luck third in December, he's slammed an allowance field here and a stakes one at Delta Downs.

One person who will be hoping One King's Man runs later on the card is trainer Ron Faucheux. He has a trio entered here and one of them may be the winner if there is a key defection. The well drawn Heavy On Themister (1) gets back on his best surface. Watch My Smoke (9) has a big run here in December. Beauty's Pioneer (10) is holding his form since a claim in October.

Course specialist Hopeful Notion (10) draws well for his return to the dirt.

PAUL'S SELECTION
One King's Man (4)

EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

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Fair Grounds Race 8 (8.55pm)
The Mervin H. Muniz Jr. Handicap (Grade 2) - 4 year olds and upwards - 1 1/8 Miles - Turf

Coalport (7) has won four successive stakes since last September for Mike Maker. It may be significant that his winning run started when he was ridden on or near early lead. He comes off his career best effort when wiring a Grade 3 field at Sam Houston. Unsurprisingly, this Grade 2 looks tougher. In his favour seems a pace advantage with him looking quicker earlier than Chocolate Ride (1). That hat-trick seeker ran a career best when making all in a Grade 3 here last month. He can stalk but lone speed brought the best out of him. He holds Highball (5) off that run but he did appear to run below form.

Divine Oath (4) and Slumber (2) both will take money here representing top trainers. They ship in from Gulfstream. On class they are a nice fit. The worry with Divine Oath is his form is top class over marathon type distances but not so far at least over nine furlongs. Slumber did appear to excel when beaten a nose in a Grade 1 over this trip at Gulfstream last time. Prior to that, he was well behind Divine Oath over a mile and a half.

Paroled (3) is too sharp to ignore. He beat an allowance field last time in the manner of a horse worth a try in a stakes event.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Coalport (7)

EXOTIC BETS
Reversed Exacta (2 bets): Slumber (2) and Coalport (7)

BET ONLINE INTO THE US POOLS
You can place single and exotic bets with the following UK bookmakers:
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Fair Grounds Race 9 (9.25pm)
The Fair Grounds Oaks (Grade 2) - 3 year old fillies - 1 1/16 Miles - Dirt

Whether it was maturity or the trainer change to Larry Jones but I'm A Chatterbox (6) has looked a different filly as a three year old. She won her first start for Jones, a stake by eight lengths from Forever Unbridled (1). There was a feeling she may have been flattered by that effort bagging a good rail and going wire to wire. In the Grade 3 prep for this event, she answered any doubters with a two and a half length victory. Drawn 10 of 10, she rallied from off the pace despite being wide to beat an in form barn mate and Forever Unbridled and Shook Up (7).

I'm A Chatterbox is clearly the best on paper and can win from the front or sit off the pace and make a late run. It is more likely to be a stalking ride as Jugni (3) and maybe Desert Valley (2) be sent hard for the lead. The only thing not to like about the favourite is the likely price. Any offers of 6/4 about?

The third and fifth from the local Grade 3, Forever Unbridled (1) and Shook Up (7) are the obvious pair for the exotics. The former is improving whilst Shook Up has faster back races.

PAUL'S SELECTION
I'm A Chatterbox (6)

EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ONLINE INTO THE US POOLS
You can place single and exotic bets with the following UK bookmakers:
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Fair Grounds Race 10 (9.54pm)
The New Orleans Handicap (Grade 2) - 4 year olds and upwards - 1 1/8 Miles - Dirt

This race is all about how Moreno (5) runs. He either goes wire to wire, gets burned in a speed duel or runs a clunker - to which he is prone. He only won once in 2014 but that was a Grade 1 at Saratoga. The rest of the time, he ran in the very best company. In his first outing since last year's Breeders' Cup Classic, he set the pace but was no match for superstar Shared Belief in The Grade 1 Santa Anita Handicap. That was only three weeks ago. He did back up a big return effort after his previous break last spring on four weeks rest. The other worry is whether he'll be softened up by the other two likely speed horses in here, Go Go Rocket (2) and Mystery Train (3).

Albano (6) made all to win a Grade 3 at Sam Houston last time but is a capable stalker. He hasn't got the CV of Moreno but did have his three year old season curtailed. This will be his third start of the campaign. The class act getting softened up and him receiving 5lbs may put them close together.

Mystery Train (3) went wire to wire and had Red Rifle (1) back in third in a local Grade 3 on his comeback. That was only the former Argentinean's second run on dirt Stateside. In the other, he faded behind Shared Belief in a Grade 1. Red Rifle may improve off that run and may be able to take advantage if the rail is good. He's a Grade 2 winner but it wasn't a great one.

Afford (4) beat Go Go Rocket (2) and Call Me George (9) by open lengths when stepped back up to a route. He's a chance at a price but the two razor sharp former claimers may be more interesting. The much improved One King's Man (8) may run in the much softer state bred stake earlier on the card. If he takes his chance here, it's a tip in itself. His former barn mate Indycott (7) is on a hat-trick. Like One King's Man, he's very playable if he's around double-figures.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Albano (6)

EXOTIC BETS
Reversed Exacta (2 bets): Moreno (5) and Albano (6)

BET ONLINE INTO THE US POOLS
You can place single and exotic bets with the following UK bookmakers:
Ladbrokes | Betfair | Blue Square | William Hill | Sky Bet | Bet 365


Fair Grounds Race 11 (10.24pm)
The Louisiana Derby (Grade 2) - 3 year olds - 1 1/8 Miles - Dirt

International Star (9) won the local prep for this event last month, The Grade 2 Risen Star. He was making it back to back graded stakes victories after being successful here on a Grade 3 on his three year old debut. In both events, he beat War Story (6) but only by a length in the latter. International Star is progressive and like his old rival, is a come from behinder. He is also 4lbs better off at the weights with the runner up and the third Keen Ice (7). War Story has not come out the gate cleanly in any of his four career starts. The good news is if he does, he'll improve again. The worry is it may always be a trait.

The principal trio from The Risen Star are all stretch runners who would be seen to best effect with some pace to chase down. St. Joe Bay (8) tried to make all that day and was only beaten less than three lengths into fourth. He may hook up early with Mr. Z (2) here. He's tried to run the finish out of the likes of Dortmund and Firing Line in California and the much improved Far Right at Oaklawn. Off those narrow defeats, he has to be reckoned with. He seems to be holding his form despite not having a break since his debut in the summer.

Stanford (1) made the running last time but was no match for unbeaten barn mate Materiality in a stake at Gulfstream. He still looked green and was having only his fourth career start. Todd Pletcher worked him a nice four furlongs since that race. He isn't a need to lead type with both his victories coming in stalk and pounce style. There is a theory the trainer's horses excel at Gulfstream and don't always show it on their travels. He's here because the horse that beat him last time and another go for the barn in The Grade1 Florida Derby later today. Make no mistake, his connections are here to win and don't need the air miles.

A Day In Paradise (5) isn't good enough as things stand but he's improving and represents Larry Jones. That's not a bad double-whammy for longshot backers.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Stanford (1)

EXOTIC BETS
Combination Exacta (6 bets): Stanford (1), War Story (6) and International Star (9)

BET ONLINE INTO THE US POOLS
You can place single and exotic bets with the following UK bookmakers:
Ladbrokes | Betfair | Blue Square | William Hill | Sky Bet | Bet 365


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