Speed Ratings - by Lawrence Taylor

    Speed expert Lawrence Taylor provides exclusive ratings and Speed Six analysis every day for At The Races. His best bets for Monday go at Wolverhampton and Plumpton and are live on ATR.
  • Monday 27 February 2017
  • Tipsters

LEMON THYME A LIKELY IMPROVER AT WOLVES

LEMON THYME (nap) caught the eye when a staying on fifth to Simply Me in a one mile contest at Lingfield earlier in the month, and is sure to come on a fair bit for that comeback run this afternoon.

Today's extra yardage shouldn't be a problem for this 4yo daughter of Sakhee's Secret, and nor should the nature of the track, which is a very fair to late closing types.

Down a notch in class too, the potential is there for the filly to score at the fifth time of asking.

A 16-1 shot in the betting forecast (!) it will be interesting to see how she trades in the live market.

Wolverhampton 2-20 Handicap (Class 6) 9.5f

Horse Best Lto 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th
Shadow Spirit 74 23 59 58 -- 33 74
Lemon Thyme 71 71 -- 20 -- -- --
Golly Miss Molly 71 71 (58) 20 (--) -- --
May Mist 69 61 45 -- 69 -- --

LTO Speed: Lemon Thyme 71 Golly Miss Molly 71 Pour L'Amour 67

Rest of the Speed Six...

Ayr 2-10 Novices Hurdle (Class 4) 16f

Horse Best Lto 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th
Well Joey 91 91 39 (--) (--) (--) --
Verona Opera 79 -- 46 74 36 49 79
Log On 46 33 46 -- -- -- --
Bruichladdich 44 44 (--) (--) -- -- --

LTO Speed: Well Joey 91 Bruichladdich 44 Log On 33

WELL JOEY rates clear top on the clock for this seven-runner novices hurdle, courtesy of his second to Indy Island at Down Royal last month. The selection had no problem handling the testing underfoot conditions on that occasion, and with the first two pulling clear of their 11 rivals, the form of the race is expected to stand up to close inspection (not that is has so far).

Ayr 3-15 Handicap Chase (Class 4) 18f

Horse Best Lto 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th
Las Tunas 114 114 82 58 -- 62 --
So Satisfied 94 -- 84 30 75 76 94
Virnon 78 -- 78 -- -- -- --
Craiganboy 63 63 (63) (54) (--) (--) (56)

LTO Speed: Las Tunas 114 Craiganboy 63 Cowslip 40

LAS TUNAS posted a list-dominant speed rating of 114 when scoring at this venue a fortnight ago, and had no problem handling the testing terrain. Staying on strongly at the business end, the gelding should have no problem staying today's extra quarter mile, especially against a bunch of same class rivals. Pencilled in at 11-8 on the early tissue, he rates an odds-on shot in my book.

Plumpton 2-35 Handicap Chase (Class 4) 20f

Horse Best Lto 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th
Polkarenix 72 -- 40 45 72 -- --
Bagging Turf 70 -- 70 (45) -- -- --
Golan Dancer 0 (72) (--) (80) -- -- --
City Supreme 0 (84) (53) (--) (--) (--) (58)

LTO Speed: City Supreme 84 Golan Dancer 72 Mr Fitzroy 56

CITY SUPREME has been knocking on the door over hurdles of late, with his last time out second to Eminent Poet translating into a premier LTO speed rating of 84. Unproven over fences, but with enough natural speed to cope with today's drop back in trip and less testing terrain, it will come as no surprise if the gelding proves up to the task this afternoon, not that I'm jumping up and down about his pencilled in odds of 7-4.

Plumpton 3-35 Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f

Horse Best Lto 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th
Dragoon Guard 83 -- 61 -- 83 -- 47
Camron De Chaillac 81 61 81 -- 34 -- (--)
Sea Wall 80 73 47 80 79 -- --
Rathealy 72 -- 67 41 72 60 --

LTO Speed: Sea Wall 73 Camron De Chaillac 61 Shimba Hills 61

DRAGOON GUARD (nb) makes some appeal in this nine-runner handicap hurdle, in that he rates top on the clock with a figure of 83, and ran a solid second to The Game Is Afoot on his comeback over this course and distance a fortnight ago. With so many ticks in the important boxes, including the one marked 'ground', all looks set for the gelding to go one place better today. Pencilled in odds of 4-1 can be considered fair in a race lacking in quality.

Wolverhampton 3-55 Handicap (Class 2) 6f

Horse Best Lto 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th
Russian Soul 103 49 103 98 97 97 90
Gentlemen 102 95 81 79 63 40 98
Fast Track 102 91 102 (68) (101) (82) (84)
Eljaddaaf 97 83 97 79 82 65 90

LTO Speed: Mishaal 99 Gentlemen 95 Ninjago 94

RUSSIAN SOUL pulled hard in a slowly run seven furlong contest at Newcastle latest and it did for his chances. Today could be different, in that he will be able to run at these sprinter types from his wide draw in stall 12, coming late and fast to land the spoils. A winner waiting to happen, I'm hopeful he can deliver for us this afternoon, but this race is more competitive than at first glance.

Rest of the racecards...

Ayr

Ayr 2-10 Novicesn Hurdle (Class 4) 16f  (See Speed Six)

Ayr 2-45 Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 16f

Horse Best Lto 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th
Rioja Day 87 -- -- 54 -- 68 87
Beaumont's Party 73 73 52 70 -- -- --
Backinthesaddle 53 12 -- 53 34 31 --
Anitopia 35 (--) (72) (45) (--) 35 --

LTO Speed: Beaumont's Party 73 Valid Reason 22 Backinthesaddle 12

Ayr 3-15 Handicap Chase (Class 4) 18f  (See Speed Six)

Ayr 3-45 Handicap Chase (Class 4) 27f

Horse Best Lto 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th
Jonny Eager 73 -- -- 30 22 73 --
Nakadam 69 69 -- -- 50 -- --
Sevenballs Of Fire 64 64 (--) (--) -- (92) (54)
Smuggler's Stash 61 -- 61 -- -- (--) --

LTO Speed: Nakadam 69 Sevenballs Of Fire 64

Ayr 4-15 Handicap Chase (Class 3) 20f

Horse Best Lto 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th
Master Ruffit 101 58 101 -- -- -- --
Chidswell 75 -- 75 75 -- (63) --
Baby Bach 67 -- 67 (11) -- -- --
Angus Milan 38 38 -- -- 31 -- --

LTO Speed: Master Ruffit 58 Angus Milan 38

Ayr 4-45 Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 20f

Horse Best Lto 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th
Ryedale Racer 100 -- -- 100 67 41 --
Shades Of Midnight 96 96 -- 53 73 96 --
Pads 89 -- 82 82 63 89 59
Strong Economy 89 75 89 81 (--) (--) --

LTO Speed: Shades Of Midnight 96 Strong Economy 75 Isaacstown Lad 26

Ayr 5-15 NH Flat Race (Class 6) 16f

Horse Best Lto 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th
  0 -- -- -- -- -- --
  0 -- -- -- -- -- --
  0 -- -- -- -- -- --
  0 -- -- -- -- -- --

LTO Speed: No Qualifiers

Plumpton

Plumpton 2-00 Novices/Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f

Horse Best Lto 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th
Cigarisi 85 85 80 (--) -- -- --
Argyle 46 46 -- -- -- -- --
  0 -- -- -- -- -- --
  0 -- -- -- -- -- --

LTO Speed: Cigarisi 85 Argyle 46

Plumpton 2-35 Handicap Chase (Class 4) 20f  (See Speed Six)

Plumpton 3-05 Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 20f

Horse Best Lto 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th
Snippetydoodah 76 -- -- 42 76 -- --
Willshebetrying 59 58 59 38 -- -- --
Premier Rose 49 -- -- -- -- 41 48
Ermyn's Edith 49 31 49 25 -- -- --

LTO Speed: Willshebetrying 58 Ermyn's Edith 31

Plumpton 3-35 Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f  (See Speed Six)

Plumpton 4-05 Handicap Chase (Class 4) 26f

Horse Best Lto 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th
Replacement Plan 68 -- -- -- 32 45 --
Lost Legend 54 2 14 7 54 42 51
Saroque 51 46 33 51 -- 21 --
  0 -- -- -- -- -- --

LTO Speed: Saroque 46 Lost Legend 2

Plumpton 4-35 Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 25f

Horse Best Lto 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th
Landscape 77 -- -- 24 -- 77 33
Minella Gathering 56 -- 56 -- -- -- --
Quincy Magoo 45 -- 45 -- -- -- --
Bostin 28 28 7 -- -- -- --

LTO Speed: Bostin 28

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton 2-20 Handicap (Class 6) 9.5f  (See Speed Six)

Wolverhampton 2-55 Handicap (Class 5) 5f

Horse Best Lto 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th
Cruise Tothelimit 85 80 64 76 65 83 85
Red Stripes 84 68 77 63 75 67 84
Bahango 84 66 84 73 73 (36) (45)
Archie Stevens 83 75 75 80 68 56 75

LTO Speed: Powerful Dream 81 Cruise Tothelimit 80 Temple Road 76 

Wolverhampton 3-25 Maiden (Class 5) 6f

Horse Best Lto 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th
Jashma 65 65 (42) -- -- -- --
Poetic Queen 64 64 39 30 35 (--) 22
Harlequin Storm 59 59 -- -- -- -- --
Trotter 45 45 (36) -- -- -- --

LTO Speed: Jashma 65 Poetic Queen 64 Harlequin Storm 59

Wolverhampton 3-55 Handicap (Class 2) 6f  (See Speed Six)

Wolverhampton 4-25 Handicap (Class 5) 12f

Horse Best Lto 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th
Medicine Hat 88 46 82 -- 88 -- --
Ravens Quest 88 62 74 88 64 -- (48)
Heart Locket 85 31 80 74 82 85 69
Spes Nostra 82 70 70 22 82 43 (68)

LTO Speed: The Gay Cavalier 72 Spes Nostra 70 Ravens Quest 62

Wolverhampton 4-55 Maiden (Class 5) 10f

Horse Best Lto 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th
Born To Reason 61 -- 61 -- -- -- --
Avantgardist 55 44 55 (49) (53) -- --
Born Legend 50 50 34 -- -- -- --
Mount Cleshar 43 43 -- -- -- -- --

LTO Speed: Blushing Red 74 Atkinson Grimshaw 57 Born Legend 50

Wolverhampton 5-25 Handicap (Class 6) 5f

Horse Best Lto 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th
Little Nosegay 72 28 51 63 38 72 (35)
Dashing Poet 71 29 71 36 38 14 (66)
Vocalisation 69 50 69 59 (25) (42) --
Sheila's Return 67 52 -- 51 37 (66) 58

LTO Speed: Gnaad 60 Glam'Selle 56 Celerity 53

 

 

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