There are only two stakes in the main part of The Attheraces Stateside show on Saturday. The classier one is at Gulfstream. The Inside Information (Grade 2) will likely see Curlin's Approval go off a short price in her hat-trick attempt. The favourite for The Aqueduct feature, The Correction is on no such roll. Defending champion Clothes Fall Off comes off a fine effort in defeat in a graded event at Laurel. Trainer Kiaran McLaughlin has gone the same route prep-wise as he did in 2016.
There are also a trio of supporting races from both Florida and New York venues making eight in total. The three from New York are stakes calibre events or have future stakes runners in them.
PAUL'S ANALYSIS FROM Aqueduct and Gulfstream Park
Saturday 18 March 2017
Aqueduct Race 5 (7.20pm)
Allowance (entry level) - 4 year olds and upwards - 6 Furlongs - Dirt
Backers have the choice between solid form at around this level and potential. Leading players in the former category are Curious Cal (4) and Do Share (7). The first named has form in second level allowance events for New York breds including a victory. He was claimed last time out in January and new connections run him a protected spot here. Do Share is not quite as good but he's a progressive four year old. He ran second in a similar event to this last month.
Portfolio Manager (1) ran three times as a juvenile and was placed in The Grade 1 Champagne at Belmont. He broke his maiden in a productive event on his return from over a year's lay off. That was by three lengths in November. He has not been rushed back by trainer Chad Brown but has been working well. He has a little to find with best of these but has very few miles on the clock.
Fearless Dragon (2) ran third at this level the last time he raced over one turn.
Portfolio Manager (1)
Reversed Exacta (2 bets): Portfolio Manager (1) and Curious Cal (4)
Aqueduct Race 6 (7.50pm)
Starter Optional Claiming - 3 year olds - 6 Furlongs - Dirt
There seems plenty of speed signed on here. That may play against the chances of Cinderela El Crome (2) doubling up. He went wire to wire in a similar event last month. Just over a length behind him was Two Charley's (5). He looked a tad unlucky being bumped at the start and having to chase down a loose on the lead rival. With a likely fast and contested pace up front, he has a decent chance of reversing the form.
The hat-trick seeking Breeze Burner (4) has worked well since a claim by trainer Gary Contessa. He used to be trained by Rudy Rodriguez. The meet's top man runs Italian Syndicate (7) here. He looked like a new horse first time with him last month. He blew away a field of New York breds by eight lengths in a maiden claimer. If he runs the same sort of race now facing winners, he'll go very close.
Mission Leader (1) has worked nicely a couple of times since graduating by half a dozen lengths.
Two Charley's (5)
Reversed Exacta (2 bets): Two Charley's (5) and Italian Syndicate (7)
Gulfstream Park Race 8 (8.06pm)
Starter Optional Claiming - 3 year olds - 1 1/16 Miles - Turf
Passport to Chaos (3) is the standard setter at this level. He ran third in a similar event last month. Flowmotion (6) finished just over a length behind him but he was hung very wide. In addition, he was making his first start since running second in a stake at Woodbine in early December. He may be the one to take out of that event.
There are a couple of last time out maiden breakers that catch the eye. Conquest Bandit (7) graduated when returned to the turf last month. He was claimed out of that event and now runs for Mike Maker. Just as interesting is Halloween Horror (1). Connections may have got away with running him in a maiden claimer on debut. That victory means he's eligible to run in this event under the allowance conditions. He may have a lot better to come.
Halloween Horror (1)
Combination Exacta (6 bets): Halloween Horror (1), Flowmotion (6) and Conquest Bandit (7)
Aqueduct Race 7 (8.20pm)
Allowance Optional Claiming - 4 year olds and upwards - 1 Mile - Dirt
Testosterstone (7) did best of a trio of these in a similar event last month. He came very close to back to back victories, losing by a head with Stormin Monarcho (2) and win shy Mills (9) a couple of lengths further back. The bare result doesn't tell the full story. Stormin Monarcho was right in contention until jumping 'Dayjur Breeders' Cup' style in mid straight. He could be the one to take out of that race.
Mr Palmer (3) has had an Indian summer since turning eight. He has rattled up a hat-trick since being claimed by red hot trainer Joseph Parker. The first two were in claiming company but the latest was in a similar event to this. He plots to get a nice stalking trip here.
Mr Palmer (3)
Reversed Exacta (2 bets): Stormin Monarcho (2) and Mr Palmer (3)
Gulfstream Park Race 9 (8.37pm)
Maiden Claiming $20,000 - 4 year olds and upwards - 1 1/16 Miles - Turf
Bourbon Commander (10) has the best recent form when second in a similar event last month. He sat far off the early pace that ultimately collapsed and the run may flatter him a little.
Hope Is Rising (4) ran second here in January with Rory (9) back in fifth before disappointing next time. Rory has subsequently been runner up at this level. Kitten for Granny (2) was a length back in third. It was a career best on his third start. There may be more improvement to come. He is taken to reverse the form with a revised draw.
Kitten for Granny (2)
Aqueduct Race 8 (8.50pm)
The Correction - A stake for fillies and mares - 4 year olds and upwards - 6 Furlongs - Dirt
Disco Chick (2) ran third in stake at Belmont in October. Since then she's been the bridesmaid in all three stakes starts. In the latest in January, she lost by a neck with Hot City Girl (5) a length back in third and Clothes Fall Off (3) a below par fifth. Hot City Girl gave the form a boost when beating Jet Majesty (7) in a stake for New York breds since.
Clothes Fall Off (3) was making her first start April and was entitled to be a short horse. In her next start, she finished a close third in a Grade 2 at Laurel last month. She had a similar preparation and result in 2016 before winning this very race.
Ultimate Holiday (4) slammed an allowance field in wire to wire fashion on her second start since moving to the east coast. If she gets clear in this field, she could cause a minor upset. Like her, Kalabaka (1) is stepping up in class after an allowance victory.
Clothes Fall Off (3)
Gulfstream Park Race 10 (9.08pm)
Maiden Special Weight - 3 year olds - 6 Furlongs - Dirt
Blame the Thief (2) and Mr Vargas (4) were both second last time out. The latter came on his debut after showing fine early speed. They haven't achieved the par figure for the level and there are a host of newcomers in here, many with eye-catching pedigrees.
Tolstoy (6) cost his owners $ ½ Million at the sales and debuts for Todd Pletcher. The son of Uncle Mo has been working well. So too has Burgameister (1) although he has a tricky draw unless he breaks really well. Souper Wish (7) is another who is related to stakes winners. King Power (9) is a half brother to Anchor Down who won multiple graded stakes for Todd Pletcher. He won on his career debut and maybe Chad Brown's firster can do the same.
King Power (9)
Gulfstream Park Race 11 (9.39pm)
The Inside Information (Grade 2) - Fillies and Mares - 4 year olds and upwards - 7 Furlongs - Dirt
Curlin's Approval (8) has won back to back graded stakes since being turned over at odds on in December. The latest was over at extended mile last month. Prior to that, she won a Grade 3 over course and distance. She had Distinta (6) two and half lengths adrift in third. Curlin's Approval has an adaptable running style and being drawn outside in a small field may be an advantage.
Distinta has subsequently run second in a stake to Moment of Delight (7). Prior to that, the winner finished a close third to Mia Torri (4) in a Florida bred stake in January. She is a progressive four year old but needs to take another step forward.
Dearest (5) who has won all but two of her seven career starts may be the biggest danger to Curlin's Approval. She won her first graded stake in December and has been working forwardly for her return. Her very best form may be at six furlongs but has won both her starts over seven.
Wheatfield (1) ran a neck second in a stake at The Fair Grounds last month. That was on turf but she was a winner of stake on dirt at the same venue in December.
Curlin's Approval (8)