Paul Quigley's American Racing Preview

    Paul has selections with analysis for Wednesday night's Stateside action on December 13, from Aqueduct races 1 to 7 - Live on At The Races
  • Tuesday 12 December 2017
  • Tipsters

PAUL'S ANALYSIS FROM Aqueduct races 1 to 7
Wednesday 13 December 2017


Aqueduct Race 1 (5.50pm)
Maiden Claiming $40,000 – 3 year olds and upwards – 6 Furlongs - Dirt

Only a small field but there are angles in or out for that matter for most of these. Flying Arrow (5) was a $400,000 sales purchase. He now runs for sale second time out and on his return after a one paced effort at Laurel on debut in March. His trainer has an excellent record with second time starters. Linda Rice won a couple of maiden claimers with class droppers here last week.

Love Your Buttons (3) was claimed off a below par effort in September. That was on turf but he ran two nice races on dirt at the start of his career. Interestingly, he’ll be ridden by Irad Ortiz for the first time since then. Provided he doesn’t get too far behind, he looks a big shot here.

Seethisquick (6) gradually faded in a maiden special weight on his first run in seven months. He’s had a few chances but has run some nice races in better company on the past. He has to be respected now running again for sale.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Love Your Buttons (3)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Sky Bet | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets | Stan James


Aqueduct Race 2 (6.18pm)
Claiming $25,000 – Fillies and Mares - 3 year olds and upwards – 1 Mile - Dirt

Flick of an Eye (1) was stepped back up in trip and won at this level over course and distance at the start of October. She’s not raced since but has been working forwardly for his return. She has tactical speed in a pretty paceless affair. Likely market rival Tizsomethingroyal (4) may go lock horns with her from the get-go. She made a fine comeback at Delaware before running below par next time. Those races were on turf but both her career victories came on the dirt. She’s not raced since mid-summer and she plunges in class. First time back is often the best time for the big drop and her trainer excels with returnees.

Spring for More (3) has been on the edges in allowance company lately. She looks competitively spotted here. This is her best chance to win since beating New Jersey breds at Monmouth in July. She is likely to be a square price. Probably bigger than Maddizaskar (2). She ran a fine second in a $16,000 first time for her current trainer.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Spring for More (3)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Sky Bet | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets | Stan James


Aqueduct Race 3 (6.47pm)
Maiden Claiming $40,000 – Fillies and Mares - 3 year olds and upwards – 7 Furlongs - Dirt

Lemondrop Lollipop (6) has the best form. She’s been running on the turf but did run third in a maiden special weight the last time she raced on dirt. The five year old is a veteran of fifteen attempts to graduate. In addition, she is likely to get behind early on cutting back from route racing. This event may be weak enough for her to win but she’s chancy at a short price.

Goldmakesmesmile (5) and Mama's Red Hat (3) are much better on the grass. That appears to be the case with Buy for Less but she’s only had one start on dirt. She may wake up on the surface switch and racing with lasix for the first time.

As Summer Punch (1) refused at the break on her career debut she’s hardly prime punting material. In such as winnable maiden she does have upside. She was the subject of strong support at Saratoga and now races on the surface she’s bred for. Robertino Diodoro claimed her upstate. Some freshening and aggressive placement are often strong angles for the trainer. He’s also bang in form at this meet.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Summer Punch (1)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Sky Bet | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets | Stan James


Aqueduct Race 4 (7.17pm)
Maiden Claiming $40,000 – New York bred Fillies and Mares - 3 year olds and upwards – 6 Furlongs - Dirt

Impazible Creek (7) has shown plenty of ability in a pair of maiden special weights so far. She looks the filly to beat now dropping in class into a maiden claimer. The worry for backers is her trainer is 0 from his last 16 and she may be on the wrong side of even money.

There are some alternatives at likely odds. The comebacking Goldtown (6) makes the same drop in class. She ran an encouraging debut in a warm maiden at Gulfstream before running poorly second time out. She’s been away since April. She only shows two workouts in New York but was readied on the farm in Florida prior to that.

Spiral Bound (1) may have needed the run badly on debut here last month. She’s another now running first time for sale. Linda Rice’s second time starters are always worth a look. She’s in great form at this meet. So too is Jimmy Bond. He introduces Magari (2) here. This is a maiden claimer were a well meant debutante could easily contend. She’s worth a look in the market.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Goldtown (6)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Sky Bet | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets | Stan James


Aqueduct Race 5 (7.47pm)
Claiming $12,500 – 3 year olds and upwards – 6 Furlongs - Dirt

Bluegrass Prevails (2), Too Fast to Pass (3) and Bluegrass Singer (7) are taking big plunges in class. The last named two both faded late on in a $32,000 claimer last month. Too Fast to Pass did the better. He’s a 13 time career winner but has a 15 race losing streak going. This is by far his easiest opportunity for a long time. The same can be said for Bluegrass Singer. The worry with both of them is being used up in a speed duel with pace types Drover Crazy (1) and No Hiding Place (5) in this event.

Unless there are any key scratches, this may be a race to side with a stalker/closer. Bar None (6) had Bear Clause (9) a neck adrift when they filled the places here last month. It was a cheaper claimer than this one but the winner had back class and he faced a tough task. Bear Clause suggested that by running well in a deep event for New York breds next time. Bar None is a progressive four year old. If the class droppers are softened up, he could well go close at a price.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Bar None (6)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Sky Bet | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets | Stan James


Aqueduct Race 6 (8.17pm)
Claiming $25,000 – 3 year olds and upwards – Non winners of 2 races lifetime - 6 Furlongs - Dirt

I Miss My Father (8) makes a quick reappearance after breaking his maiden here last Friday. He has claims but this is a better field than he beat a neck at odds of 2/5. In addition, he’s likely to have at last one pace partner in the class dropping Valyrian (9). He’s been in too deep since a maiden win in October. He gets the services of Irad Ortiz who won on I Miss My Father.

Like a few in here, Gorelli (5) has had a few chances to win career race number two. In his defence, he’s ran in a series of allowance events since graduating in January. He’s not been beaten far and this is a drop in class. His trainer is in fine form and he’ll rightly have his supporters. Less so Gehrig (4) and he may sneak under the radar of bettors. He didn’t seem to stay a mile last time. He’s been freshened up and may get plenty of pace to chase down.

Take out his last run and Nut Nut (3) has at least place claims. He beat I Miss My Father in September. Casigordo (6) is another who needs to rebound. He now runs via a claim for trainer David Jacobson.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Gehrig (4)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Sky Bet | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets | Stan James


Aqueduct Race 7 (8.47pm)
Allowance (entry level) – 3 year olds and upwards – 6 Furlongs - Dirt

Only a small field but a trio of these are best when on the lead. That means Portfolio Manager (2) is likely to get a productive stalking trip. The consistent four year old won a starter allowance event by four lengths on his return. A repeat of that effort is likely to be good enough. His owners have subsequently moved him and all their New York based string to trainer Steve Asmussen. Provided the switch hasn't affected his form, he’s the one the rest have to hold off late on. His former trainer Danny Gargan has a runner in here. He claimed Cinderela El Crome (4) last time and the chances are he’ll improve him.

Both Gorgeous Charli (5) and Curtis (1) were made favourite in away days to Parx in recent months and lost. The first named has since run much better in a similar event to this locally. His outside draw may give his rider tactical options. Curtis won back to back races at Belmont before defeat at odds on in Pennsylvania. He can rebound if he breaks cleanly and outsprints the other speed. As well as Gorgeous Charli that’s also Foreset (3). He made most of the class relief to wire a field of claimers last month.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Portfolio Manager (2)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Sky Bet | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets | Stan James


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