17:35 Carlisle 12 Jul 2018

Smarkets Betting Exchange Handicap (Class 6) (3YO plus)

Winner £3,234 - 9 run - Draw Advantage: None

7
No.
(Draw)
Form
Horse
Age / Wt / OR
Jockey / Trainer
Age / Wt / OR
Jockey / Trainer
Timeform says (star rating)
Timeform says (star rating)
Printouts
Data quality72%
Position
1 (8)
49-6252
iT
Light blue and yellow diabolo, white sleeves and cap (Mrs A Pickering)

Roys Dream 5 

b f Monsieur Bond - Velvet Jaguar (Hurricane Run)

4 10-0 p
65 1
4 10-0 p
65 1

Fourteen runs since last win in 2016. Good second of 10 in handicap at this C&D (good, 6/1) 5 days ago, albeit well positioned. Nevertheless, she's respected with a repeat.

Fourteen runs since last win in 2016. Good second of 10 in handicap at this C&D (good, 6/1) 5 days ago, albeit well positioned. Nevertheless, she's respected with a repeat.

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Roys Dream Score: 381

3
2 (5)
788-096
iT
royal blue, yellow hoop, diamonds on sleeves, red cap (Thoroughbred Homes Ltd)

Alfie's Angel (IRE)  8 

b g Dark Angel - Penolva (Galileo)

4 10-0
65
4 10-0
65

33/1, best effort of current campaign when sixth of 11 in handicap at Thirsk (7f, good to firm) 8 days ago. Has fallen 6 lb below last winning mark if he can scale is resurgence a little further.

33/1, best effort of current campaign when sixth of 11 in handicap at Thirsk (7f, good to firm) 8 days ago. Has fallen 6 lb below last winning mark if he can scale is resurgence a little further.

Alfie's Angel Score: 389

2
3 (7)
00-0056
iT
Dark blue, red chevron, white sleeves, red cap, white star (Ventura Racing 7 & Partner)

Guardia Svizzera (IRE)  13 

b g Holy Roman Emperor - Winged Harriet (Hawk Wing)

4 9-12 h
63
4 9-12 h
63

10/1, below form sixth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 13 days ago, ridden too aggressively. Hood back on. Given a chance by the assessor and he's one to keep an eye on.

10/1, below form sixth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle (6f) 13 days ago, ridden too aggressively. Hood back on. Given a chance by the assessor and he's one to keep an eye on.

Guardia Svizzera Score: 332

4 (1)
837-841
iT
Royal blue, yellow sleeves, white armlets, white cap (Mount Pleasant Racing)

Gullane One (IRE)  13 

ch g Dream Ahead - Shamsalmaidan (Fantastic Light)

3 9-7 t
64
3 9-7 t
64

1 win from 3 runs this year. 10/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, career best when winning 12-runner handicap at Doncaster (6f, firm) 13 days ago, digging deep. May yet have more to offer.

1 win from 3 runs this year. 10/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, career best when winning 12-runner handicap at Doncaster (6f, firm) 13 days ago, digging deep. May yet have more to offer.

Gullane One Score: 378

4
5 (3)
272686
iT
White, maroon epaulets, hooped sleeves, quartered cap (Mr David Tate)

Hadley 34 

b g Royal Applause - Brush Strokes (Cadeaux Genereux)

5 9-6 p
57
5 9-6 p
57

One win from 27 Flat runs. Sixth of 9 in handicap at this course (5f, good, 20/1) 34 days ago. Strike rate tempers enthusiasm.

One win from 27 Flat runs. Sixth of 9 in handicap at this course (5f, good, 20/1) 34 days ago. Strike rate tempers enthusiasm.

Hadley Score: 339

6 (4)
834-882
iT
White, red braces, royal blue sleeves and cap (Hope Eden Racing Ltd & Mrs E Burke)

Havana Mariposa 15 

b f Havana Gold - Critical Path (Noverre)

3 9-5 p1
62
3 9-5 p1
62

Good second of 5 in handicap (7/1) at this course (6.9f, good to firm) 15 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Has good chance on form with a repeat.

Good second of 5 in handicap (7/1) at this course (6.9f, good to firm) 15 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Has good chance on form with a repeat.

Havana Mariposa Score: 484

1
7 (9)
421827
iT
Dark blue, orange triple diamond, sleeves and diamonds on cap (Mrs Camille Macdonald)

Scotch Myst 20 

gr g Sepoy - Shena's Dream (Oasis Dream)

4 9-3
54
4 9-3
54

Latest win at Southwell in April. 20/1, bit below form seventh of 12 in handicap at Ayr (7.2f, good) 20 days ago.

Latest win at Southwell in April. 20/1, bit below form seventh of 12 in handicap at Ayr (7.2f, good) 20 days ago.

Scotch Myst Score: 360

8 (2)
375141
iT
Royal blue, yellow hoop, diamonds on sleeves, royal blue cap, yellow spots (Thoroughbred Homes Ltd)

Gaelic Wizard (IRE)  14 

b g Fasliyev - Fife (Lomond)

10 8-13 p
50
10 8-13 p
50

C&D winner. Won 9-runner handicap (9/4) at Hamilton (5f, good to firm) 14 days ago, suited by strong pace.

C&D winner. Won 9-runner handicap (9/4) at Hamilton (5f, good to firm) 14 days ago, suited by strong pace.

Gaelic Wizard Score: 355

9 (6)
4-08770
iT
Black, orange hoops, red sleeves (Kirkby Lonsdale Racing)

Kirkby's Phantom 5 

gr f Sayif - Demolition Jo (Petong)

4 8-9 p
46 16
4 8-9 p
46 16

Last of 10 in handicap (100/1) at this C&D (good) 5 days ago. Very difficult to make a case for.

Last of 10 in handicap (100/1) at this C&D (good) 5 days ago. Very difficult to make a case for.

Kirkby's Phantom Score: 189

Verdict

C&D winner GAELIC WIZARD has won two of his last three outings both at Hamilton and, with a proven liking for a stiff finish, should appreciate this challenge from a 3lb higher mark. Havana Mariposa knocked on the door with a much improved showing here over 7f last time and the drop to 6f and addition of cheekpieces could aid her cause here. Track-and-trip second Roys Dream and Doncaster winner Gullane One are others who need considering.

Verdict

This looks wide open but HAVANA MARIPOSA didn't shape at all badly when runner-up over further here 2 weeks ago, and given she will be at least as effective back at this shorter trip, she could be worth chancing equipped with first-time cheekpieces. Gullane One and Roy's Dream are a couple of others to consider.

Previous Winners
Year Going Ran Winner Draw Age Weight OR Form Last run Trainer (Distance) Jockey SP Time
2017 Good to Firm 14 Ypres 11 8 9 3 56 304-034 21 days J Ward (76 miles) K Stott 8/1 1:13.39