Updated 9:09, 9:35 - all selections online
** Hugh recorded a +281pts profit for 2016 with a return on investment of 1.44, his highest ROI ever. **
BROOKES POINT looks the most interesting runner in the 1m3f handicap that opens Kempton’s card (4.20).
Having achieved little in three starts in maidens, he showed much-improved form on his handicap debut at Chepstow when last seen in August, finishing best of all and going down only narrowly in a race where three horses pulled clear.
The two other horses in the photo finish both won their next turf start, but perhaps more pertinently, Brookes Point shaped as if he’d be well suited by a step up in trip.
He’s from the family of Oaks winner Moonshell, his dam is a half-sister to a horse who won over 1m6f and ran in the St Leger, and Brookes Point himself is a half-brother to the top class and versatile mare Miss Finland, who won Group One races at up to 1m4f in Australia.
There’s every chance there will be more to come from him over middle distances this year, and he’s in the weakest grade of race here.
It’s a slight concern that Adam Kirby is on Master Of Heaven given he has ridden both Neil Mulholland’s all-weather winners this year, but Brookes Point, who holds two further entries in the next five days, still looks the horse with the most potential in this field.
ZABDI is still a maiden, but he looks to have a decent chance of breaking his duck in the 7f handicap at Lingfield (4.05) providing he can negotiate the final bend without giving too much ground away.
It’s an obvious concern that he ran wide on the home turn despite having George Baker in the saddle last time, but he had appeared to handle the bend without a problem on his previous start here and despite running wide he produced a decent effort on the clock that day in the context of this race.
That was his second good effort in a row, having pulled well clear of the remainder when chasing home the in-form Kenstone at Chelmsford on his previous start.
He’s well drawn and has one of the more experienced apprentices on board, and if he doesn’t give up too much ground round the final bend he should be thereabouts.
Hugh's Best Bets (scale 1-5 points):
1pt win BROOKES POINT (4-1 Betfred, Coral, Ladbrokes, Paddy Power, Skybet)
1pt win ZABDI (9-2 bet365, Betfred, Paddy Power, Skybet)
Hugh gives a daily indication of when the column will be published via Twitter.com (username is HughRacing).
Hugh recorded a +281pts profit for 2016 with a return on investment of 1.44, his highest ROI ever. You can view his monthly figures by clicking the links below:
2016 results ROI 1.44 +281pts
2015 results ROI 1.34 +207pts
2014 results ROI 1.32 +199.79pts
2013 results ROI 1.32 +210pts
2012 results ROI 1.31 +222.65pts
2011 results ROI 1.28 +302.64 pts
2010 results ROI 1.23 +324.79 pts
2009 results ROI 1.26 +500.36 pts