Updated 9:03, 9:35 - All selections are now online
** Hugh recorded a +281pts profit for 2016 with a return on investment of 1.44, his highest ROI ever. **
CLON COULIS was allowed to go off at 10-1 when beating four rivals in what looked a weak fillies’ maiden at Carlisle on her debut, but the evidence of the clock suggests that was a very good performance and she looks an interesting runner in the 6f fillies’ handicap at Newmarket today (7.45).
She knew her job at Carlisle, but the manner in which she surged away from odds-on favourite World Power, who is relatively exposed but seems a fair yardstick, was most impressive.
She recorded a much quicker time than the following 0-70 3yo handicap, which was won easily by 69-rated gelding Hee Haw, who followed up off a mark of 77 next time. That quicker time came despite the first half of Clon Coulis’ race being run at a much steadier pace than the handicap, and Clon Coulis covered the final 3f in a time more than two seconds faster than Hee Haw.
Clon Coulis left the impression she might be something well above average that day, and her opening mark of 83 looks on the lenient side.
LOOKS A MILLION might face a stiff task in the Listed Rose Bowl Stakes at Newbury (3.50), but she did well to win at Sandown last time and she looks a bit overpriced.
After a satisfactory debut at Goodwood, where she showed clear signs of greenness, she looked up against it at Sandown last time, even in receipt of 7lb, against Validator, who had won easily on her previous start and was sent off 1-2 favourite from stall 1. Validator grabbed the rail and appeared to run her race, but despite racing widest of all Looks A Million wore her down in the final furlong, shaping as if 6f wouldn’t be a problem.
It’s hard to assess whether or not the far rail was its usual big advantage that day – it was the only race on the card on the 5f track and there have been one or two meetings where the advantage hasn’t seemed obvious. However, more often than not it’s been a big disadvantage to race wide there, and if that was the case that evening then it was a big performance by the winner.
This is a big step up in class, but she’s priced accordingly, has a good jockey booking, and might run a lot better than her odds suggest.
Hugh's Best Bets (scale 1-5 points):
1pt win LOOKS A MILLION (25-1 and 22-1 general - use *BOG Firms)
2pts win CLON COULIS (6-1 bet365, Skybet, William Hill, Paddy Power, 11-2 general - use *BOG Firms)
all firms listed above are Best Odds Guaranteed.
Hugh gives a daily indication of when the column will be published via Twitter.com (username is HughRacing).
Hugh recorded a +281pts profit for 2016 with a return on investment of 1.44, his highest ROI ever. You can view his monthly figures by clicking the links below:
2016 results ROI 1.44 +281pts
2015 results ROI 1.34 +207pts
2014 results ROI 1.32 +199.79pts
2013 results ROI 1.32 +210pts
2012 results ROI 1.31 +222.65pts
2011 results ROI 1.28 +302.64 pts
2010 results ROI 1.23 +324.79 pts
2009 results ROI 1.26 +500.36 pts