Updated 9:38, 10:06 - all selections online
** Hugh recorded a +281pts profit for 2016 with a return on investment of 1.44, his highest ROI ever. **
The most interesting race of the day on the Flat is arguably the last at Chelmsford (8.45), where there are plenty of 3yos who might be some way ahead of their mark. Mystique Moon, in particular, is feared, as his two efforts in steadily-run races might have disguised his ability and left him a long way ahead of his mark (produced some very fast sectionals last time), but there’s every chance NATIVE SOLDIER is well handicapped too and at the prices he looks a bit of value.
Native Soldier He came from last to first to win on his second start at Newcastle, having shaped with plenty of promise on his debut at Kempton, and it’s unlikely that his opening mark of 80 reflects his ability, his superiority not reflected by the winning margin.
He’s well drawn here in stall one, and looks the type to progress well as a 3yo, so although his chance here may well depend on how far ahead of their marks other rivals may be, he looks worth chancing at his current odds.
OUTER SPACE doesn’t have anything in hand of the handicapper on the face of it, but he should have the race run to suit in the 7f handicap at Chelmsford and unless there’s a big improver in the race he might be able to follow up his February win over this course and distance.
He travelled well in the rear and quickened up nicely that day, and he has shaped as if in good form on both subsequent starts at Southwell, unlucky to run into an improver on the surface on each occasion.
On the face of it he’s handicapped to the hilt, but he has plenty of efforts on the clock that would still give him a leading chance here, and most importantly, there promises to be a decent gallop here, with three or four prominent racers in the line- up. He’s well drawn, and granted luck in running he’s capable of going close even off his current mark.
Hugh's Best Bets (scale 1-5 points):
1pt win OUTER SPACE (15-2 general, 7-1 bet365)
1pt win NATIVE SOLDIER (10-1 general)
all firms listed above are Best Odds Guaranteed.
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Hugh recorded a +281pts profit for 2016 with a return on investment of 1.44, his highest ROI ever. You can view his monthly figures by clicking the links below:
2016 results ROI 1.44 +281pts
2015 results ROI 1.34 +207pts
2014 results ROI 1.32 +199.79pts
2013 results ROI 1.32 +210pts
2012 results ROI 1.31 +222.65pts
2011 results ROI 1.28 +302.64 pts
2010 results ROI 1.23 +324.79 pts
2009 results ROI 1.26 +500.36 pts