** Hugh recorded a +282pts profit for 2017 with a return on investment of 1.46, his highest ROI ever. **
Updated 8:46 - All selections are now online
MIDNIGHT MERLOT took very well to fences last time at Wetherby in a race where he had little chance at the weights, and he looks to have been found a more realistic opportunity in the extended 2m3f handicap chase at Market Rasen today (4.20).
He finished fourth at Wetherby despite losing a shoe, his jumping smooth and swift until a mistake at the third last, and although he was beaten a little over 20 lengths, that’s hardly surprising given the three that finished in front of him (and the fifth home) would all have been at least a stone worse off with him in a handicap.
His sire Midnight Legend continues to maintain a remarkable record with chasers after his death; the strike rate of his progeny over fences was always much higher than over hurdles, and he still shows a profit of 180 points in all races over fences in Britain and Ireland despite never having had a winner above 33-1.
Midnight Merlot has to back up the promise of that chase debut, but this doesn’t look a very strong race for the grade and if he jumps as well as he did last time he might prove himself well handicapped over fences.
Hugh's Best Bets (scale 1-5 points):
MARKET RASEN 4.20
1pt win MIDNIGHT MERLOT ( 6-1 William Hill, Coral, Betfair Sportsbook, Betvictor, 11-2 general )
Hugh gives a daily indication of when the column will be published via Twitter.com (username is HughRacing).
Hugh recorded a +281pts profit for 2016 with a return on investment of 1.44, his highest ROI ever. You can view his monthly figures by clicking the links below:
2017 results ROI 1.46 +282pts
2016 results ROI 1.44 +281pts
2015 results ROI 1.34 +207pts
2014 results ROI 1.32 +199.79pts
2013 results ROI 1.32 +210pts
2012 results ROI 1.31 +222.65pts
2011 results ROI 1.28 +302.64 pts
2010 results ROI 1.23 +324.79 pts
2009 results ROI 1.26 +500.36 pts