Updated 9:13, 9:28 - all selections online
** Hugh recorded a +281pts profit for 2016 with a return on investment of 1.44, his highest ROI ever. **
TRED SOFTLY has two strong pieces of form to his name on Tapeta, and with his latest run easy to excuse, he can bounce back to form in the 1m5f handicap at Wolverhampton today (6.15).
He did really well to win over 1m4f here two outings ago, shuffled back just as the race was starting to take shape and finding plenty to lead close to the finish having still had plenty to do a furlong out. That form looks very solid for the grade, with runner-up My Renaissance (much improved for his new yard) having won his previous start at Newcastle and also his next two at Southwell.
Tred Softly’s previous Tapeta form at Newcastle, where he pulled clear off a steady pace with the progressive Go George Go and the above-mentioned My Renaissance, also has an extremely solid look to it. His latest run at Kempton is worth forgiving as he did too much too soon in a race where the leaders kicked for home a long way out – it’s worth noting that another of those ridden aggressively, Tractive Effort, finished just behind Tred Softly before winning at 33-1 next time.
Dundalk regular Asian Wing is a danger, 16lb lower than when previously tried on the all-weather over here, but Tred Softly is proven at the track, the extra distance shouldn’t be a problem and he’s probably better than a class 6 performer, so he looks the one to beat.
At Lingfield (4.00) TAKE THE HELM has to overcome what is developing into a longish losing run, but he hasn’t had the run of things on any of his three starts here this winter and he gives the impression he’s capable of winning off his current mark.
He raced wide all the way round last time and did well to keep on into second, and he was left with a lot to do and ran into traffic problems on his two previous starts here this season. He had some very solid form over this course and distance last winter, rated 93 after a fine fifth in the Listed Spring Cup, and although he’s the type who will always need luck in running, he’s fairly handicapped if getting the breaks.
Hugh's Best Bets (scale 1-5 points):
2pts win TRED SOFTLY (7-2 bet365, Skybet, Paddy Power)
1pt win TAKE THE HELM (7-1 general with Best Odds Guaranteed bookmakers)
all firms listed above are Best Odds Guaranteed.
Hugh gives a daily indication of when the column will be published via Twitter.com (username is HughRacing).
Hugh recorded a +281pts profit for 2016 with a return on investment of 1.44, his highest ROI ever. You can view his monthly figures by clicking the links below:
2016 results ROI 1.44 +281pts
2015 results ROI 1.34 +207pts
2014 results ROI 1.32 +199.79pts
2013 results ROI 1.32 +210pts
2012 results ROI 1.31 +222.65pts
2011 results ROI 1.28 +302.64 pts
2010 results ROI 1.23 +324.79 pts
2009 results ROI 1.26 +500.36 pts