Paul Quigley's American Racing Preview

    Paul has selections with analysis for Wednesday night's Stateside action from Zia Park stakes races 4 to 10 - live on At The Races.
  • Tuesday 20 November 2018
  • Tipsters

PAUL'S ANALYSIS FROM Zia Park stakes races 4 to 10
Wednesday 21 November 2018


I was a bit hasty stating in last weekend’s preview that until Tampa Bay Downs and particularly Gulfstream Park start soon, stakes events Stateside can be thin on the ground. Mahoning Valley in Ohio hosted a multiple stakes card last night including a $250,000 highlight. A day later and Zia Park in New Mexico has no less than seven stakes. With prize money totaling a $1,000,000, the races have attracted quality entrants from far and wide, particularly California. Of the out of state based trainers, nobody has more runners entered than Steve Asmussen (7). The first couple of contests may clash with Dundalk but hopefully The ATR team will at least show recordings of them. There should be no problem with the later events being shown live.


Zia Park Race 4 (8.21pm)
The Zia Park Juvenile – A stake for 2 year olds – 6 Furlongs - Dirt

Steve Asmussen has the likely favourite here. His Stupify (3) was a wide margin winner of an allowance event at Remington Park in September. Later that month, he ran third in a stake at the same venue. Although he ran a tad below his best, he was involved in a speed duel and in fast early fractions.

Local trainer Todd Fincher is double-handed here. Sidney's Hope (2) won his only start to date, a maiden at Albuquerque in August. Barn mate Myhotrodlincoln (1) is a maiden but talented one at that. He missed by head in a stake at Churchill in May. He ran into one in a productive and swift event on his local debut last month. He’s been working well since. He will have his supporters along with Oil Money (6), a last time maiden winner at Turf Paradise for high percentage trainer Robertino Diodoro.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Stupify (3)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Zia Park Race 5 (8.48pm)
The Zia Park Distaff – A stake for fillies and mares – 3 year olds and upwards – 6 Furlongs - Dirt

Alliford Bay (4) is on a stakes five timer. She won back to back events by wide margins at Hastings before being equally dominant at Emerald Downs and Sacramento. An absence since July may not stop her as she has a good record fresh and has been working well. The daughter of City Zip may need a canny ride as there is other speed types in here.

The late-running K P Wildcat (2) could never get to Super Humor (5) in a local stake over a mile last month. The last time she ran over six furlongs, she won a stake at Ruidoso by over four lengths. Her late running style is seen to better effect in swiftly run events over one turn. That is backed up with a five from six career record over today’s distance. She was second best to Kell Paso (1) over a mile in March. That seems to be that filly’s best distance, when she can dominate staying types early on. She may be part the heated pace brigade with Alliford Bay, Super Humor and Woman At the Well (7). Life of Illusion (6) would be one of the beneficiaries if that happens.

Chauncey (8) was in deep last time in a Grade 2 at Keeneland. Even allowing for that, she ran poorly. She runs with blinkers off today. Off a neck runner up in a Grade 3 at Charles Town in September, she’s a big threat.

PAUL'S SELECTION
K P Wildcat (2) and Chauncey (8)
EXOTIC BETS
Reversed Exacta (2 Bets) K P Wildcat (2) and Chauncey (8)

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Zia Park Race 6 (9.15pm)
The Zia Park Princess – A stake for 2 year old fillies – 6 Furlongs - Dirt

Steve Asmussen’s Adventurous Lady (2) will be a very skinny price. She won a stake at Lone Star in July but ran even faster when dominating another at Remington Park in September. That effort puts her well ahead of her rivals. She only has to avoid a costly speed duel with California invaders Watch Me Burn (5) and Six Pack Gal (6) to prevail her.

Elusive Rose (3) looked very professional when winning on her debut locally last month. The form was immediately franked when runner up Peaceoutyourhono (7) slammed an overmatched field of maiden claimers next time.

Cover Charge (4) can at least pass horses late. That could even get her into the exacta position. With the right sort of trip, Watch Me Burn (5) is even more likely to. She has been flat out overmatched in stakes at Del Mar and Santa Anita since a seven length winner of a starter optional claimer in Southern California.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Adventurous Lady (2)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Zia Park Race 7 (9.42pm)
The Zia Park Sprint – A stake for 3 year olds and upwards – 6 Furlongs - Dirt

Stallwalkin' Dude (3) is or was the class of this event. That’s the conundrum for backers here. The graded stakes winner in New York in 2017 has not looked a tip-top sprinter this year. He’s lost narrowly in two local events since joining trainer Justin Evans in the autumn. He had Cowboy Cool (9) and barn mate Classy Class (4) behind him last time. All is not lost for the last named, another former New York based runner. He was pace compromised last time and may wake up in blinkers. Cowboy Cool has a decent draw and is a decent place chance. He’s had a frustrating runs of near misses since he returned in June.

The improving Anyportinastorm (2) is trying the dirt for the first time. The Steve Asmussen trained Devils Halo (5) has a similar profile, winning on the dirt at Remington Park last month. Flashaway (6) has strong back form but has a lay off from February to defy. The speedy Mt Veeder (7) didn’t last home over six and a half furlongs when last seen out in July. Diabolical Gator (8) is a New Mexico bred but a very good one at that.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Classy Class (4)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Zia Park Race 8 (10.09pm)
The Zia Park Championship Handicap – A stake for 3 year olds and upwards – 1 Mile 1 Furlong - Dirt

Backers have a choice of the principals from a local stakes event, one at Remington in late September or at Canterbury a fortnight earlier. Harlan Punch (2) was the beneficiary of an easy lead on and a soft pace when wiring Deputy's Echo (4) and Sky Defence (6) here. He meets other speed here. Course specialist Sky Defence had a wide trip. He’s a chance to reverse the form.

In Oklahoma, Forevamo (5), Shotgun Kowboy (7) and Pinson (8) filled the minor places behind the Grade 1 class dropping Hence in a stake over today’s distance. Shotgun Kowboy (7) franked the form by easily beating state breds next time.

Patriots Rule (1) is a deep closer. He came from almost 20 lengths back to win a stake at Canterbury when last seen out in September. He may get a decent pace to chase down and gets a tepid nod in a tricky event.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Patriots Rule (1)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Zia Park Race 9 (10.36pm)
The Zia Park Oaks – A stake for 3 year olds and upwards – 1 1/16 Miles - Dirt

The problem filly here is The California based Secret Spice (1). She didn’t look up to stakes class until she made her comeback at Santa Anita last month. She smashed an entry level allowance field by almost dozen lengths in a quick time. If she runs anything like that, she’ll beat the established stakes filly She's a Julie (7). Two nice workouts lately suggest that run may not have bottomed her which can often be the case.

For non believers, She's a Julie (7) is the filly to beat. She beat Cosmic Burst (4) in The Grade 3 Iowa Oaks in July and Grade 3 Remington Park Oaks in July and September. In between, she was a respectable if well held second in The Grade 1 Alabama at Saratoga. She didn’t beat her old rival as well last time. If she and Secret Spice are dragged through fast fractions by likely frontrunner Baydar (2), Cosmic Burst and Rose of Malibu (3) have a chance from off the pace.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Secret Spice (1)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Zia Park Race 10 (11.03pm)
The Zia Park Derby – A stake for 3 year olds – 1 1/16 Miles - Dirt

The Steve Asmussen trained pair have vastly contrasting running styles. Grade 3 Oklahoma Derby fourth Combatant (8) makes things tough for himself by lagging behind in the early stages. Barn mate Limation (1) appears to be the choice of jockey Ricardo Santana Jr. He was used up in a speed duel last time. He’s better judged on a near six length victory in The Grade 3 Super Derby at Louisiana Downs.

There is a strong California raiding party for this event. Air Strike (2) has won back to back races since moving to trainer Philip D'Amato. Preference is for fellow Golden State shipper All Out Blitz (9). He was no match for a talented older horse in Battle of Midway last month. This distance is at the upward range of his stamina limitations. With him and the rail drawn runner having speed, he may be in the right position the way the race is likely to be run.

Sky Promise (7) has rattled up a hat-trick of stakes in Canada including a pair of Grade 3’s since joining trainer Robertino Diodoro. Yulong Warrior (6) comes off a nice victory in a stake at Emerald Downs. Restrainedvengence (5) is The X Factor here making a race start on dirt.

PAUL'S SELECTION
All Out Blitz (9)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


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