Paul Quigley's American Racing Preview

    Paul has selections with analysis for Wednesday night's Stateside action on September 19th from Belmont Park, Louisiana Downs and Presque Isle Downs - live on At The Races.
  • Tuesday 18 September 2018
  • Tipsters

PAUL'S ANALYSIS FROM Belmont Park, Louisiana Downs and Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday 19 September 2018


Louisiana Downs Race 3 (10.11pm)
Claiming $12,500 – 3 year olds and upwards – Non winners of 2 races in 2018 – 1 Mile - Turf

This is a competitive event. If Let Us Be Glad (2) is to back up a victory in July, he will have to run at least as well. He draws well and should get a productive stalking trip behind likely leader Mostly Sunny (1). His in form trainer Jose Camejo has a fine record with freshened up runners so some time away shouldn’t be an issue.

Menewa (9) was a well held third in a better event last month. His three length victory in early July is the best piece of recent form in this race. The six year old can run the odd stinker but is one to fear. Another is Runnin Sky (10). The last time he ran on the turf, he was a ready winner of an open claimer at Evangeline Downs.

Perfect Saint (7), Cameron Rules (3) and Commander Sport (5) have the form to contend. They may be prices too.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Let Us Be Glad (2)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Belmont Park Race 8 (10.18pm)
The Joseph A. Gimma – A stake for New York bred 2 year old fillies – 7 Furlongs - Dirt

The first three from a similar stake run at Saratoga re-oppose. Party Like Grandma (5) maintained her unbeaten record making all the running. At the wire, she had just over a length in hand over Maiden Beauty (2) with favourite She's Trouble (3) a below par third. Party Like Grandma in theory should confirm the form but the runner up has since worked really well.

Ma Meatloaf (6) was a close up second in a stake at Finger Lakes last time. The rest of this field are last time out maiden winners. Chad Brown’s More Mischief (1) got on a dry track second time out and left her maiden form way behind. Based on speed figures, she is likely to be competitive with the stakes trio from Saratoga. So should Elegant Zip (4). She ran a fine second on debut before going one better next time out. She only won by less than a length but the third was a further 11 lengths back. The mount of Manuel Franco gets a narrow vote here.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Elegant Zip (4)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Presque Isle Downs Race 1 (10.25pm)
Claiming $8,000 – 3 year olds and upwards – 6 Furlongs – Tapeta

Trainer Tim Girten has two live chances here. It appears that Pablo Morales has chosen El Seventyseven (2) over Save the Drama (3). The evergreen veteran is on a hat-trick after victories in claimers in open company and last time out vs fellow Pennsylvania breds. He has the speed to get a good early position in a race that lacks a bona fide frontrunner. His barn mate Save the Drama is cutting back from a rare start in a route event. He has sat near the front when in some of his sprint races at this meet. Although Pablo Morales was the last jockey to win on him, Scott Spieth was aboard when he ran a fine second two starts back.

The late running Talk to the Media (5) has been in tougher races lately. His last effort was a modest one but the pair prior to that give him claims. This is his best chance to win since beating a field of three time career winners by open lengths in July. He’s likely to get behind early on. In a paceless affair that may mean he has too much ground to make up on horses who won’t be stopping.

PAUL'S SELECTION
El Seventyseven (2)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Louisiana Downs Race 4 (10.40pm)
Claiming $12,500 – Fillies and Mares - 3 year olds and upwards – Non winners of 2 races lifetime – 6 Furlongs - Dirt

Yours and Mine (6) has run a pair of fine races since returning from a break. She’s been placed in back to back starts at today’s level. Off those and other efforts, she is the gal to beat. The one knock on her is a big one. She’s has over a dozen tries to win career race number two and will be a short price considering her record.

In contrast to Yours and Mine, Honest Woman (3) broke her maiden only three weeks ago. On the face of it, that effort looks easily good enough for her to contend here. She did sit close to a soft pace and that run may have flattered her a little. Echoesoftime (2) is likely to set a much quicker tempo. She has dangerous early speed and may get very brave if she makes the lead on her own. That may depend how Tsuba (7) reacts to running in blinkers first time. The headgear goes on after she failed to run to her maiden breaking form when facing winners for the first time.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Yours and Mine (6)
EXOTIC BETS
Reversed Exacta (2 Bets) Echoesoftime (2) and Yours and Mine (6)

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Belmont Park Race 9 (10.50pm)
Maiden Claiming $25,000 – New York bred fillies and mares – 3 year olds and upwards – 6 ½ Furlongs - Dirt

Zecha (5) got back on a dry track and racing with blinkers off came back to form. She missed by a head in a similar event to this at Saratoga last month. That makes her the pick on form here. Ramblin' Ma'am (6) who was four and a half lengths behind her last time has some upside. That was her first run since January and only her third in total. Add in that she was off a step slowly and has worked well since her comeback and you have a play at a likely decent price.

Tequila Sunday (4) was beaten less than three lengths in her latest start at Saratoga. That and her back form when she was disqualified after winning gives her sound claims here. She has had 15 starts and is vulnerable to the unexposed gals in this event. That includes That'snothername (3) who tries dirt for the first time. She drops in class but not as much as Chutzpah (2) who was an early factor in a maiden special weight on only her second career start last month. Not only does she drop significantly in class but races with lasix for the first time.

Party in the Sand (7) was hung wide when running below par at the start of this meet. She’s better judged on a pair of solid efforts prior to that.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Chutzpah (2) and Ramblin' Ma'am (6)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Presque Isle Downs Race 2 (10.50pm)
Maiden Claiming $25,000 – 3 year olds and upwards – 1 Mile 70 yards – Tapeta

Just about the pick on form here is the class dropping Go Harley Go (2). He’s been placed in a quartet of maiden special weights, the latest coming over course and distance last month. Now dropping in class, it will be no surprise if he graduates. He’ll be a short price considering he’s had 20 chances, many in maiden claimers in the past.

Whisper Barrow (4) is another longstanding maiden. Like Go Harley Go, he takes a meaningful drop in class. He is now stepped up in distance after multiple tries over six furlongs. So too is Cailin Alainn (6) who has ran well in turf routes in the past.

Bankingonthedude (5) has been runner up in his last two starts. The first in July was a much better effort. He will go close if he can repeat that effort.

Yamburg (3) gets a class hike after a fine third in a much cheaper maiden claimer. The move up to a mile seemed to improve him markedly. In a race where the shorter priced runners have obvious flaws, he may be worth chancing that he improves again.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Yamburg (3)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


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