Paul Quigley's American Racing Preview

    Paul has selections with analysis for Wednesday night's Stateside action on January 17, from Gulfstream Park and Tampa Bay Downs - Live on At The Races
  • Tuesday 16 January 2018
  • Tipsters

PAUL'S ANALYSIS FROM Gulfstream Park races 5 to 8 and Tampa Bay Downs races 5 to 8
Wednesday 17 January 2018


Tampa Bay Downs Race 5 (7.23pm)
Maiden Claiming $25,00 – 3 year olds – 5 ½ Furlongs - Dirt

With so many first time starters, this is not an easy maiden to evaluate. That said Nomarginforerror (1) sets a fair standard. He’s been placed in both his starts, running second to a runner that freaked last time. He is likely to sit just behind the pacey Loco Martillo (5) and Pokerist (6). Both of those runners showed bright speed in different maiden claimers on their respective debuts.

Those who like to play follow the jockey are likely to land on Real Fast Music (2). Antonio Gallardo rode Nomarginforerror in both his starts and now is aboard a newcomer who goes for an in form and capable trainer. A market move for him should be noted. So should one for Open Out (3). He’s a son of Flat Out. Although his sire was a top class mile and a mile and a quarter runner, many of his progeny have speed.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Nomarginforerror (1)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Sky Bet | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets | Stan James


Gulfstream Park Race 5 (7.35pm)
Maiden Claiming $35,000 – 3 year old fillies – 5 Furlongs - Dirt

Super Witch (1) has run second on both her career starts to date. The latest came on her return last month. She has decent claims under Tyler Gaffalione. Her form is marginally better than Heidi Ho (3). She was a decent runner up on her career debut and may improve off that.

Trapped At Sea (5) is cut back in distance after just missing over two turns last time. She may cope with this shorter distance. It will definitely suit the pacey Lisa Mila (6). As well as running first time for sale, she may make the lead on her own here. That could mean a big effort at a big price.

The twice-raced Uncle Junior (4) goes for top connections and is another running in a maiden claimer for the first time. Givonna's Magic (2) debuts for savvy connections too. A market move for her would be interesting.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Lisa Mila (6)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Sky Bet | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets | Stan James


Tampa Bay Downs Race 6 (7.53pm)
Claiming $8,000 - Fillies and Mares - 4 year olds and upwards – 1 Mile 40 yards - Dirt

The front four on the morning line all have questions to answer. Freakin' Me Out (1) didn’t look a stayer the only time she tried two turns in the summer. Lucky Chica (4) may need a wet track to show her best form. Atlantic Blue (6) who has strong back races, didn’t run a step on her local debut last month. She may show more now stepping up in distance.

Diva Chick (2) is a tough read. She won her only start so far. The worry is it was a bargain basement maiden claimer at Mountaineer. In addition, it came in the slop and she closed from almost 20 lengths behind. She has to be considered but preference is for Golden Fire Fly (8) who is 12/1 on the morning line. She’s been struggling in claimers in Kentucky at Indiana. This is a much more winnable event. The only time she raced over two turns, she was a creditable third the way the race was run at Indiana Grand.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Golden Fire Fly (8)
EXOTIC BETS
Reversed Exacta (2 Bets) Atlantic Blue (6) and Golden Fire Fly (8)

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Sky Bet | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets | Stan James


Gulfstream Park Race 6 (8.05pm)
Claiming $30,000 – 4 year olds and upwards – Non winners of 3 races lifetime – 7 ½ Furlongs – Turf

Takeittotheedge (4) got away with soft fractions when making all last time. The back in form Adonis Creed (3) looks quicker and if anything were to make all here, it is likely to be him. He may have pace partners in Harlan's Quest (7) and Conquest Sandman (5). The last named went to the sidelines after being claimed at Saratoga in the summer. He has the back class to contend in an event with virtually no throw outs. Squadron (8) has been away a little longer. He’s never raced in a claimer before and was a fringe player in stakes company last year. His new trainer has placed him aggressively and he may be worth siding with.

Reflected Star (2) drops in class first time back after a long absence. Zefiro (6) has a recency edge on him and a few of these. He’s shown improved form since joining his current trainer, running second in back to back claimers.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Squadron (8)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Sky Bet | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets | Stan James


Tampa Bay Downs Race 7 (8.23pm)
Starter Allowance - 4 year olds and upwards – 1 1/8 Miles - Turf

Tutti Sanno (2) has been freshened up after a very creditable fifth in a stake at Gulfstream Park West in November. He has big claims on the class drop. Slight preference at the likely odds is for Sweet Soul Music (7). He was beaten by Celebrity Warrior (3) in a starter handicap at the start of this month. However he bobbled the break. If he has no mishaps this time, he may sit handily placed in a pretty paceless race. He gets a massive jockey switch to the evergreen Jesus Castanon.

The ex Australian based The Bull (9) improved second time Stateside. He ran third in a allowance optional claimer at Gulfstream last month. She gets the services of the meet’s leading rider Antonio Gallardo. Repeat Repeat (1) ran a nice first race for trainer Mike Stidham. His best races may be in front of him.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Sweet Soul Music (7)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Sky Bet | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets | Stan James


Gulfstream Park Race 7 (8.35pm)
Starter Optional Claiming – 4 year olds and upwards – 1 1/16 Miles - Turf

Some of these ran well in productive events last time. Bingo Kitten (8) and D'craziness (2) both come out of The Claiming Crown Emerald that produced four next time out winners. The first named was a closing runner up. He should get some pace to chase down. D'craziness finished two lengths behind him. He goes for a low profile trainer and may be a price. He has the tactical speed to get a good position.

The only tine Sinatra (1) lost in his last six starts was in The Claiming Crown Emerald. He was caught up in traffic there. He got back to winning ways in claiming company at the end of last month. Interestingly, the winning rider that day Jose Ortiz lands on Mambo At the Gym (9). He’s a barn mate of Bingo Kitten who has worked well since shipping down to Florida.

PAUL'S SELECTION
D'craziness (2)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Sky Bet | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets | Stan James


Tampa Bay Downs Race 8 (8.53pm)
Maiden Special Weight – 3 year old fillies – 1 Mile 40 yards - Dirt

This could be a strong maiden for the track. Top trainer Arnaud Delacour complicates matters by entering a pair of runners. Jockey bookings suggest Ten Demerits (9) is the first string. She improved off her debut to run second over seven furlongs last month. The extra ground should suit her and also Show Cat (6) who lacked experience when only a neck behind her.

History Made (1) is a barn mate of Ten Demerits. She came from some way back to run a length second on her debut. Although Danny Centeno seems to prefer the other Delacour filly, Wilmer Garcia has an excellent strike rate when he rides for the trainer. She’s bred top and bottom to be a router so the step up from six furlongs looks sure to bring out plenty of improvement.

Christophe Clement ships up Commentary (3) from Payson Park to make her career debut. She was a $475,000 sales purchase. The fact that she starts off her career here and not at Gulfstream may be a concern but it will be no surprise if she upstages the locals.

PAUL'S SELECTION
History Made (1)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Sky Bet | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets | Stan James


Gulfstream Park Race 8 (9.06pm)
Allowance Optional Claiming – Fillies and Mares - 4 year olds and upwards – 5 Furlongs - Turf

Sound Defence (4) was claimed off a fading third across town in November. She’s been freshened up which is a winning M.O. for her new trainer. The five times career winning has a stalking gear in her. However, it will be no surprise if Edgard Zayas puts her on the lead and ask the rest to play catch me if they can.

Christophe Clement is doubly represented with Quality Time (3) and Anais (6). There was little between them when they ran in a similar event over course and distance last month. If April Rose (1) and/or Jumby Bay (7) can soften up Sound Defence, their chances increase considerably.

Unbridled Courage (8) ran big when third against Florida breds on her first start for her current trainer. She is a likely late player.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Sound Defence (4)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Sky Bet | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets | Stan James


  • Race Type
  • Location
  • Date Range
More options
  • Race Class
  • Distance
  • Official Going
  • Race Types

Feature Races

×