Speed Ratings - by Lawrence Taylor

    Speed expert Lawrence Taylor provides exclusive ratings and Speed Six analysis every day for At The Races. His best bets for Monday go at Wolverhampton and Plumpton and are live on ATR.
  • Monday 18 December 2017
  • Tipsters

POPPY IS FANCIED TO OBLIGE AT DOUBLE-FIGURE ODDS

POPPY IN THE WIND (nap) rates top on the clock for this 12-runner sprint handicap, thanks in part to her plunging official mark of 66.

The mare has done all of her winning over the minimum trip of five furlongs, but has gone close over six in the past, and as a come from behind performer could be favoured today if the track rides on the slow side of standard (as it did on Dec 13).

Not disgraced on her three comeback races this term, it will come as no surprise if she manages to oblige at double-figure odds this afternoon.

Wolverhampton 3-10 Handicap (Class 5) 6f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Poppy In The Wind  83  71  56  83  (25)  69  --
 Hamish McGonagain  82  82  72  72  58  (73)  (71)
 Air Of York  79  67  (64)  (73)  (71)  (43)  (59)
 A Sure Welcome  79  77  79  59  63  (52)  --

LTO Speed: Hamish McGonagain 82 Run With Pride 78 A Sure Welcome 77

Rest of the Speed Six...

Ffos Las 1-00 Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Oxwich Bay  107  107  75  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Oxwich Bay 107

OXWICH BAY is still a maiden following four career outings over hurdles, but did post a speed rating of note when runner-up to Magic Dancer at Cheltenham last month, and finished strongly enough to suggest that today's extra half mile could be in his favour. Placed on heavy ground at this venue last December, the gelding has ticks in most of the important boxes and must go well again here.

Musselburgh 1-40 Novices Hurdle (Class 4) 19f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Some Reign  93  43  93  --  --  --  --
 Drums Of War  66  66  (--)  (--)  --  --  --
 Ballycrystal Court  54  54  --  --  --  --  --
 The Road Home  51  51  (--)  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Drums Of War 66 Ballycrystal Court 54 The Road Home 51

SOME REIGN wasn't required to post a speed rating of note when a ready odds-on winner at Kelso in October, but did show his prowess on the clock when finishing a fast-time second to Beyond The Clouds (a good winner at Musselburgh next time) at the same venue on his previous outing. A consistent sort, who acts on any ground, all looks set for this 6yo son of Kayf Tara to go in again this afternoon.

Musselburgh 2-50 Handicap Chase (Class 4) 24f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 John Williams  90  90  --  --  --  --  --
 Havana Jack  83  --  83  --  --  --  --
 Doktor Glaz  78  78  75  --  --  --  --
 An Laoch  56  56  --  19  (--)  --  --

LTO Speed: John Williams 90 Doktor Glaz 78 An Laoch 56

JOHN WILLIAMS rates top on the clock for this seven-runner handicap chase, courtesy of his ready victory in a two mile contest at this track last month. Has yet to fully prove himself over today's longer trip of three miles, but went well over a stiff 2m 5f at Kelso back in April. Taking on same class opposition this afternoon, he looks the one they all have to beat.

Plumpton 1-50 Handicap Chase (Class 4) 26f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Bears Rails  94  94  --  --  --  --  --
 Riddlestown  85  58  85  68  (75)  --  --
 Velvet Cognac  78  --  --  59  78  47  --
 Talk Of The South  59  --  20  --  59  --  --

LTO Speed: Bears Rails 94 Riddlestown 58 Leith Hill Lad 50

BEARS RAILS (nb) gave a strong hint that his turn is near when just denied by Krackatoa King at Uttoxeter three weeks ago, a performance that also saw him generate a list-dominant speed rating of 94. Fully effective at this sort of trip, and when conditions are testing underfoot, there seems little reason why this in-form gelding shouldn't go one place better in today's same class handicap chase.

Wolverhampton 4-10 Stakes (Class 5) 9.5f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Zalshah  80  80  70  (38)  (68)  (37)  (45)
 Overtrumped  69  69  --  --  --  --  --
 Craving  67  67  53  62  --  --  --
 Voyager Blue  58  58  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Zalshah 80 Overtrumped 69 Craving 67

ZALSHAH made it thirteenth time lucky when landing a seven furlong handicap at Chelmsford earlier in the month, a performance that also saw him generate a list-dominant speed rating of 80. Granted, the gelding isn't ideally bred to stay this longer trip of nine and a half furlongs, but does have a fair amount of stamina on the distaff side of his pedigree. There are also several unknowns in this 13-runner line up, so maybe an each-way play on this forecast 6-1 shot is the way to go here.

Rest of the racecards... 

Ffos Las

Ffos Las 12-30 Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 20f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Moontripper  80  --  --  --  58  69  80
 Princess Roania  72  --  --  55  63  60  72
 Double Court  44  44  --  --  --  --  --
 Asking Questions  35  --  35  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Steel Native 53 Double Court 44 Flanagans Field 30

Ffos Las 1-00 Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f  (See Speed Six)

Ffos Las 1-30 Handicap Chase (Class 4) 21f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Looksnowtlikebrian  87  87  --  --  --  --  --
 Alf 'N' Dor  60  --  --  (46)  60  --  --
 Kit Casey  11  --  11  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Looksnowtlikebrian 87 Sutter's Mill 84 Cougar's Gold 62

Ffos Las 2-05 Novices/Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Fairmount  66  66  (--)  (--)  --  --  --
 Holdbacktheriver  24  24  --  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Fairmount 66 Holdbacktheriver 24

Ffos Las 2-40 Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 16f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Capitoul  93  86  --  93  --  --  --
 Rayvin Black  66  --  66  --  --  --  --
 Potters Story  47  47  26  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Capitoul 86 Tornado In Milan 63

Ffos Las 3-15 Handicap Chase (Class 4) 25f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Astigos  73  62  73  --  --  --  --
 Wood Yer  70  70  --  --  --  --  --
 Misty Mai  69  69  --  --  --  --  --
 Magical Man  67  67  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Wood Yer 70 Misty Mai 69 Magical Man 67

Ffos Las 3-45 NH Flat Race (Class 6) 16f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: No Qualifiers

Musselburgh

Musselburgh 12-10 Novices/Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Silver Concorde  80  80  37  --  80  --  --
 Kelpies Myth  69  69  44  --  --  --  --
 Felix Mendelssohn  65  50  --  65  --  --  --
 Cheenys Venture  39  --  39  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Silver Concorde 80 Kelpies Myth 69 Felix Mendelssohn 50

Musselburgh 12-40 Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 24f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Cadore  76  29  64  76  --  --  --
 Apachee Prince  74  47  20  --  74  33  58
 Fraser Canyon  64  --  64  --  --  --  --
 Lady London  44  44  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Apachee Prince 47 Lady London 44 Maraweh 40

Musselburgh 1-10 Handicap Chase (Class 4) 20f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Mullaghmurphy Blue  80  (63)  --  --  80  69  --
 Champagne Chaser  73  --  73  (98)  --  --  --
 Running In Heels  0  --  (63)  (94)  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Mullaghmurphy Blue 63

Musselburgh 1-40 Novices Hurdle (Class 4) 19f  (See Speed Six)

Musselburgh 2-15 Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 19f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Romulus Du Donjon  105  95  84  --  105  --  --
 Thorpe  105  --  94  105  54  74  40
 Man Look  99  85  99  41  55  75  87
 Jonny Delta  99  99  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Jonny Delta 99 Romulus Du Donjon 95 Man Look 85

Musselburgh 2-50 Handicap Chase (Class 4) 24f  (See Speed Six)

Musselburgh 3-20 Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 16f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Richard Strauss  109  51  70  53  109  --  --
 Endeavor  92  (68)  (88)  92  --  43  (--)
 Wot A Shot  91  85  84  84  --  91  (24)
 King's Wharf  82  82  27  51  (--)  (104)  --

LTO Speed: Wot A Shot 85 King's Wharf 82 Royal Mandate 68

Plumpton

Plumpton 12-20 Novices/Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Dream Baie  84  84  (--)  --  --  --  --
 Knocknanuss  79  79  74  --  --  --  --
 Not A Role Model  63  63  --  --  --  --  --
 Must Havea Flutter  48  48  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Dream Baie 84 Knocknanuss 79 Not A Role Model 63

Plumpton 12-50 Novices/Maiden Chase (Class 3) 20f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: No Qualifiers

Plumpton 1-20 Novices/Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Delire D'Estruval  81  81  56  --  --  --  --
 Landin  80  80  67  --  --  --  --
 New To This Town  69  69  --  --  --  --  --
 Waikiki Waves  47  47  (--)  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Delire D'Estruval 81 Landin 80 New To This Town 69

Plumpton 1-50 Handicap Chase (Class 4) 26f  (See Speed Six)

Plumpton 2-25 Handicap Hurdle (Class 5) 16f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Kastani Beach  86  47  71  66  --  86  --
 Grams And Ounces  79  27  62  79  --  --  --
 Thundering Home  78  --  45  41  --  51  55
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Kastani Beach 47 Grams And Ounces 27

Plumpton 3-00 Handicap Chase (Class 5) 20f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Finnegan's Garden  70  70  62  --  --  --  --
 Stoical Patient  68  68  --  --  --  --  --
 Sir Hubert  66  66  --  --  --  --  --
 Le Coeur Net  51  --  51  (53)  (34)  --  --

LTO Speed: Finnegan's Garden 70 Stoical Patient 68 Sir Hubert 66

Plumpton 3-30 NH Flat Race (Class 6) 18f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: No Qualifiers

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton 2-00 Handicap (Class 5) 10f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Luv U Whatever  70  38  64  48  33  63  64
 Barnaby Brook  67  67  29  56  (--)  --  --
 Archipeligo  65  19  47  --  29  34  65
 Berlusca  58  20  48  55  31  (38)  58

LTO Speed: Barnaby Brook 67 X Rated 47 Jersey Jewel 44

Wolverhampton 2-35 Seller (Class 6) 6f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Bernie's Boy  83  83  (66)  (84)  (84)  (69)  (77)
 Haraz  82  67  40  58  82  (68)  --
 Ballymore Castle  80  80  80  73  (57)  (--)  (62)
 Dream Start  78  77  --  63  (80)  57  (77)

LTO Speed: Bernie's Boy 83 Ballymore Castle 80 Dream Start 77

Wolverhampton 3-10 Handicap (Class 5) 6f  (See Speed Six)

Wolverhampton 3-40 Handicap (Class 5) 5f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Bomad  79  68  79  (48)  (47)  (--)  52
 Magic Pulse  74  48  74  67  (48)  (36)  (48)
 Tiger Lyon  73  73  37  63  (27)  --  --
 Deviate  62  56  62  (48)  (38)  (69)  46

LTO Speed: Tiger Lyon 73 Bomad 68 Global Rose 66

Wolverhampton 4-10 Stakes (Class 5) 9.5f  (See Speed Six)

Wolverhampton 4-40 Claimer (Class 5) 9f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Carp Kid  78  56  78  58  66  (40)  (56)
 That's My Girl  75  62  61  75  51  (61)  (71)
 Blue Harmony  71  57  71  (55)  (23)  --  --
 Zapateado  66  52  62  --  66  (56)  (71)

LTO Speed: That's My Girl 62 Kheleyf's Girl 61 Blue Harmony 57

Wolverhampton 5-10 Maiden (Class 5) 9f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Pure Shores  78  78  --  --  --  --  --
 Middle Creek  26  26  --  --  --  --  --
 Wonderfillo  0  (42)  --  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Pure Shores 78 Wonderfillo 42 Middle Creek 26

 

 

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