Speed Ratings - by Lawrence Taylor

    Speed expert Lawrence Taylor provides exclusive ratings and Speed Six analysis every day for At The Races. His best bets for Tuesday go at Southwell and Wolverhampton and are live on ATR.
  • Tuesday 28 March 2017
  • Tipsters

CHAMPION CHASE A LIKELY IMPROVER AT SOUTHWELL

CHAMPION CHASE (nap) hinted at better things to come when finishing third to Groundunderrepair at Lingfield latest, and stayed on well enough at the business end to suggest that today's step up in trip will suit.

Posting a list-topping speed rating of 82 on that occasion, and with the second running five points faster next time out, the form of the race couldn't be much stronger for its grade.

Raced just three times over hurdles, the gelding is also open to plenty more natural improvement.

Southwell 4-40 Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 20f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Champion Chase  82  82  23  11  --  --  --
 Friendship Bay  77  77  47  --  --  --  --
 Sauvignon  65  65  --  --  --  (--)  --
 Riddlestown  56  (--)  (40)  (--)  --  --  (--)

LTO Speed: Champion Chase 82 Friendship Bay 77 Sauvignon 65

Rest of the Speed Six...

Hexham 4-00 Handicap Chase (Class 5) 24f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Hattons Hill  79  79  44  --  --  --  --
 Smuggler's Stash  70  70  --  --  42  --  --
 Vincent Row  61  --  28  53  61  --  --
 Gibbstown  57  --  40  44  --  --  54

LTO Speed: Hattons Hill 79 Smuggler's Stash 70 The Bishop 51

HATTONS HILL was game in victory over this course and distance 12 days ago, having made a bad mistake earlier in the race. Posting a list-dominant speed rating of 79 on that occasion, there seems little reason why the form shouldn't stand up to close inspection, especially under today's similar conditions. Pencilled in odds of 4-1 must be seen as yet another positive.

Southwell 2-10 Handicap Chase (Class 5) 16f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Duhallowcountry  81  81  --  --  73  60  --
 The Society Man  79  --  --  79  29  --  --
 Blackwood Rover  56  56  (--)  (--)  --  --  --
 Gorran Haven  49  49  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Duhallowcountry 81 Blackwood Rover 56 Gorran Haven 49

DUHALLOWCOUNTRY was rewarded for some solid recent efforts when scoring at Sedgefield a fortnight ago, a performance that also saw him generate a list-topping speed rating of 81. Also successful at Sedgefield in March of last year, I'm hoping the gelding isn't a hardened track specialist, and that he will run with an equal amount of enthusiasm this afternoon. However, such speculation makes his pencilled in odds of 9-4 seem plenty short enough.

Wolverhampton 2-50 Maiden (Class 6) 8.5f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Armagnac  82  82  (--)  --  --  --  --
 Golden Wolf  54  54  --  --  --  --  --
 Diamante  50  50  (39)  --  --  --  --
 William Sayle  49  49  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Armagnac 82 Golden Wolf 54 Diamante 50

ARMAGNAC (nb) looks the one they all have to beat in this seven-runner maiden, having posted a list-dominant speed rating of 82 when runner-up to Poetic Force over this track and trip in November. Off the scene since then, the gelding's fitness will have to be taken on trust this afternoon, but all else looks to be in place for a big run. Having said that, I wouldn't want to take less than his early tissue odds of 2-1, as there are a couple of unknowns in the line up.

Wolverhampton 3-20 Handicap (Class 5) 7f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Mia Cara  79  64  53  79  66  78  34
 Sidewinder  77  77  47  55  49  --  --
 Dark Destroyer  77  34  77  (9)  --  --  --
 Bazwind  73  68  60  --  47  54  40

LTO Speed: Sidewinder 77 Bazwind 68 Mia Cara 64

I'm going to give an each-way shout to MIA CARA in this ten-runner handicap, as she posted a highly respectable speed rating of 78 when scoring over this track and trip in January, and went on to generate a list-topping speed rating of 79 when successful at Lingfield in February. Taking on same class opposition this afternoon, the filly has what it takes to make the frame at a decent price.

Wolverhampton 4-20 Handicap (Class 6) 5f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Penny Dreadful  78  56  66  50  58  39  22
 Loumarin  75  75  59  71  49  31  49
 Cruise Tothelimit  71  35  71  50  62  51  69
 Dandilion  70  60  70  65  67  51  41

LTO Speed: Loumarin 75 Pearl Noir 68 See Vermont 64

LOUMARIN has been knocking loudly on the door of late, and posting some speed ratings of note. Successful over this track and trip in November of 2015, the mare isn't being asked to do something she hasn't done before, and is racing off an official 5lb lower mark today. Penny Dreadful rates top on the master speed list with a figure of 78, but failed to fire at Chelmsford latest.

Rest of the racecards... 

Hexham

Hexham 2-00 Novices/Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Bruichladdich  56  56  46  (--)  (--)  --  --
 Well Above Par  35  35  (--)  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Bruichladdich 56 Well Above Par 35

Hexham 2-30 Handicap Chase (Class 5) 20f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Captain Sharpe  78  48  --  (--)  --  (65)  78
 Under The Red Sky  76  76  28  --  --  --  --
 Bandol  68  --  51  --  68  --  26
 Oak Vintage  67  --  --  67  --  (--)  (--)

LTO Speed: Under The Red Sky 76 Master Rajeem 52 Captain Sharpe 48

Hexham 3-00 Novices/Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 23f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 King Of Fashion  85  --  85  80  --  --  --
 Pinch Of Ginger  63  56  63  (--)  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Pinch Of Ginger 56

Hexham 3-30 Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 20f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Hollywood All Star  87  63  87  80  78  --  --
 Barrys Jack  86  77  --  --  --  86  76
 Modulus  86  79  86  --  82  --  (--)
 Rinnagree Rosie  86  86  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Rinnagree Rosie 86 Tikkandemickey 83 Modulus 79

Hexham 4-00 Handicap Chase (Class 5) 24f  (See Speed Six)

Hexham 4-30 NH Flat Race (Class 6) 16f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: No Qualifiers

Southwell

Southwell 2-10 Handicap Chase (Class 5) 16f  (See Speed Six)

Southwell 2-40 Handicap Chase (Class 4) 24f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Dawnieriver  84  41  --  --  --  84  --
 Azert De Coeur  72  45  --  --  72  --  --
 Fly Home Harry  66  --  --  66  --  --  --
 Make Me A Fortune  60  --  60  --  43  --  50

LTO Speed: Azert De Coeur 45 Dawnieriver 41

Southwell 3-10 Novices/Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Fattsota  87  87  86  58  --  --  --
 Global Ruler  41  41  --  (--)  --  --  --
 Hardrock Davis  16  16  --  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Fattsota 87 Global Ruler 41 Hardrock Davis 16

Southwell 3-40 Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 24f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Generous Helpings  77  --  77  59  45  --  --
 Boher Lad  72  --  72  22  --  69  52
 Honest Intent  69  25  55  59  69  58  (--)
 Midnight Gem  61  --  50  --  61  --  --

LTO Speed: Ballythomas 69 Honest Intent 25

Southwell 4-10 Novices/Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 20f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Goodgirlteresa  61  --  61  (--)  (--)  --  --
 Mariah's Legend  52  44  52  (--)  (--)  --  --
 Scorpio Queen  48  --  48  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Mariah's Legend 44

Southwell 4-40 Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) 20f  (See Speed Six)

Southwell 5-10 NH Flat Race (Class 6) 16f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: No Qualifiers

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton 2-20 Handicap (Class 6) 9f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Green Howard  79  27  39  36  70  79  (--)
 Hold Firm  77  38  77  72  58  59  62
 Spiritual Star  74  73  56  29  47  63  74
 Lucent Dream  72  69  59  55  72  37  --

LTO Speed: Spiritual Star 73 All You 71 Lucent Dream 69

Wolverhampton 2-50 Maiden (Class 6) 8.5f  (See Speed Six)

Wolverhampton 3-20 Handicap (Class 5) 7f  (See Speed Six)

Wolverhampton 3-50 Handicap (Class 5) 14f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Uncle Bernie  80  71  55  80  --  --  --
 Free Bounty  79  --  --  79  --  --  --
 Shamash  71  62  71  64  62  56  (7)
 Monjeni  69  69  (36)  (55)  (--)  --  --

LTO Speed: Uncle Bernie 71 Monjeni 69 Shamash 62

Wolverhampton 4-20 Handicap (Class 6) 5f  (See Speed Six)

Wolverhampton 4-50 Maiden (Class 5) 12f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Elite Icon  41  13  41  --  --  --  --
 Utopian Dream  33  33  --  --  --  --  --
 Astrostorm  32  --  32  --  --  --  --
   0  --  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Count Octave 50 Utopian Dream 33 Elite Icon 13

 

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