Dust Cover - Horse Profile & Next Race Odds

10 (12) Must Believe (GB) 12 (10) Mathematician (IRE)
69 10 1
  • Sire: Showcasing (UK)
  • Dam: Dusty Dream (UK)
  • Dam's Sire: Dubawi (IRE)

Video Highlights

  • Replay: 4th May 2026, finished 2nd - Kempton
     
  • Replay: 4th Feb 2026, finished 1st - Kempton
     
  • Replay: 20th Jan 2026, finished 1st - Southwell
     
  • Replay: 18th Dec 2025, finished 2nd - Southwell
     
  • Replay: 21st Nov 2025, finished 1st - Southwell
     

8500012 / 11025455

Type Starts Wins Places Prize Money Strike Rate P/L (£1 stake)
All Weather
9 3 2 £11,043 33.33% £6.5
Turf
6 0 0 0% -£6
Total 15 3 2 £11,043 20.0% £0.5

Next Race: Yarmouth, Monday 12th October 15:24, 14F Good to soft-good in places

Show more race detail

Race Attributes

Class: 6 runs, 2 wins, 1 place, 33.33%
Cl has previously won in this class
69

Pace (Forecast: Weak)

Pace Rating is 5

Draw check (Stall 7)

Expected Wins: 1.1
Actual Wins: 1
Result: -6.6%

Southwell 20:00
Beerly A Winner Handicap

Kempton 20:30
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Kempton 19:13
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Newbury 18:10
Coolmore Auguste Rodin Handicap

Kempton 16:55
Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap

Musselburgh 17:45
Sky Bet Extra Places Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Kempton 15:45
Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap

Southwell 20:00
Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap

Southwell 17:22
Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap

Southwell 19:00
Make The Move To Midnite Handicap

Nottingham 17:05
PricedUp The Flat Handicap

Sandown 15:50
Hwfa Williams - Founder Of Sandown Park Handicap

Lingfield 13:53
Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (AWT)

Windsor 19:30
Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Newmarket 14:25
bet365 Wood Ditton Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Date (days since) Race Details Wgt. OR Result SP FF Jockey Finish Speed % Efficiency Stride Data Video
10 Oct 2026 (59) Sth 14F St Cl5 Hcp £4k 10-1 74 5/7 (5), Neswick (4½) 3/1 2F Future

J Mitchell

 
59 Day break
12 Aug 2026 (35) Kmp 12F St/Slw Cl3 Hcp £8k 9-2 74 5/12 (2), Kokbastau (7) 16/1
ATR Future Form
Summary - Data does not include this horse
17 runs, 4 wins (3 horses), 3 placed, 10 unplaced
Next time out
9 runs, 2 wins, 1 placed, 6 unplaced
Class analysis
4 runs up in class, 1 win, 1 placed, 2 unplaced
Ratings check
Highest winning OR: 102; Highest placed OR: 102
Index value
812 from 9 horses

J Mitchell

109.73%
Speed Analysis
33.62 33.20 37.61

Early Pace: Fast
D 25.76ft
2.15sps
08 Jul 2026 (54) Kmp 16F St/Slw Cl4 Hcp £6k 9-4 75 4/9 (1), Baileys Khelstar (3) 13/2
ATR Future Form
Summary - Data does not include this horse
15 runs, 1 win (1 horse), 1 placed, 13 unplaced
Next time out
7 runs, 0 wins, 1 placed, 6 unplaced
Class analysis
5 runs up in class, 0 wins, 1 placed, 4 unplaced
Ratings check
Highest winning OR: 78; Highest placed OR: 78
Index value
1084 from 7 horses

J Mitchell

110.26%
Speed Analysis
30.63 33.08 36.80

Early Pace: Ev-Fs
B 24.60ft
2.24sps
54 Day break
15 May 2026 (11) Nbu 12F Gd Cl5 Hcp £5k 9-6 72 5/15 (12), Yokohama (10¾) 11/1
ATR Future Form
Summary - Data does not include this horse
60 runs, 7 wins (5 horses), 16 placed, 37 unplaced
Next time out
14 runs, 2 wins, 6 placed, 6 unplaced
Class analysis
17 runs up in class, 0 wins, 1 placed, 16 unplaced
Ratings check
Highest winning OR: 75; Highest placed OR: 75
Index value
552 from 14 horses

Cieren Fallon

98.61%
Speed Analysis
33.23 36.25 34.87

Early Pace: Fast
E 25.46ft
2.15sps
04 May 2026 (22) Kmp 11F St/Slw Cl5 Hcp £4k 9-6 72 2/10 (5), Must Believe (nse) 7/2 2F
ATR Future Form
Summary - Data does not include this horse
37 runs, 4 wins (4 horses), 11 placed, 22 unplaced
Next time out
8 runs, 1 win, 2 placed, 5 unplaced
Class analysis
17 runs up in class, 2 wins, 6 placed, 9 unplaced
Ratings check
Highest winning OR: 75; Highest placed OR: 82
Index value
824 from 8 horses

Paddy Bradley

107.89%
Speed Analysis
31.97 34.54 37.52

Early Pace: Fast
A 25.33ft
2.18sps
12 Apr 2026 (67) Mus 12½F Gd Cl4 Hcp £15k 9-2 73 14/14 (13), Fast Fred (31) 11/1
ATR Future Form
Summary - Data does not include this horse
68 runs, 6 wins (3 horses), 21 placed, 41 unplaced
Next time out
13 runs, 1 win, 5 placed, 7 unplaced
Class analysis
14 runs up in class, 0 wins, 10 placed, 4 unplaced
Ratings check
Highest winning OR: 82; Highest placed OR: 95
Index value
463 from 13 horses

Paddy Bradley

99.58%
Speed Analysis
30.20 34.62 33.16

Early Pace: Fast
F
67 Day break
04 Feb 2026 (15) Kmp 11F St/Slw Cl5 Hcp £4k 9-5 69 Won/13 (13), Something (1) 7/2 2F Future

Paddy Bradley

106.28%
Speed Analysis
31.95 35.39 37.44

Early Pace: Fast
B
20 Jan 2026 (33) Sth 11F St Cl5 Hcp £3k 9-4 67 Won/7 (3), Jodhpur Blue (hd) 6/4 F Future

Paddy Bradley

113.37%
Speed Analysis
29.70 33.15 38.07

Early Pace: Ev-Sl
D 24.29ft
2.39sps
18 Dec 2025 (27) Sth 11F St Cl6 Hcp £3k 9-11 65 2/13 (14), Hackney Diamonds (nse) 10/11 F Future

J Mitchell

105.04%
Speed Analysis
31.14 34.77 36.08

Early Pace: Fast
C 24.40ft
2.14sps
21 Nov 2025 (29) Sth 11F St Cl6 Hcp £3k 9-5 60 Won/14 (3), So Alex (nk) 15/2 Future

J Mitchell

108.32%
Speed Analysis
32.35 34.11 37.47

Early Pace: Fast
C 25.01ft
2.26sps
23 Oct 2025 (55) Ntt 10F Hy Cl6 Hcp £3k 9-6 64 14/15 (2), Velvet Whisper (88) 7/1 Future

Darragh Keenan

80.09%
Speed Analysis
32.03 30.48 22.22

Early Pace: Fast
F
55 Day break
29 Aug 2025 (25) San 8F Sft Cl4 Hcp £6k 8-10 67 11/13 (12), Man Of La Mancha (10) 80/1 Future

Darragh Keenan

103.62%
Speed Analysis
30.63 32.90 33.66

Early Pace: Ev-Fs
C
04 Aug 2025 (21) Lin 8F St Cl5 Mdn £3k 9-7 - 10/11 (12), Hachiman (12) 50/1 Future

J Mitchell

103.84%
Speed Analysis
31.72 36.89 36.78

Early Pace: Even
D 24.80ft
2.18sps
14 Jul 2025 (89) Wnd 8F GF Cl5 Nov £4k 9-4 - 5/9 (4), Competizione (14¼) 25/1 Future

J Mitchell

108.79%
Speed Analysis
31.43 35.34 37.82

Early Pace: Even
C 24.93ft
2.23sps
89 Day break
NEW YARD - MOVED FROM R M Beckett TO Ross Burdon
16 Apr 2025 Nmk 8F Gd Cl2 Mdn £11k 9-7 - 8/15 (9), High Stock (9¾) 22/1 Future

Rossa Ryan

103.25%
Speed Analysis
31.38 36.64 36.20

Early Pace: Even
B
View Full Racecard

R7 20:30 Kempton 12 Aug 2026

Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap (GBBPlus Race) (3YO plus)

Winner £8,246 - 12 ran - Draw Advantage: None

1m 3f 219y

Standard / Slow (AW - Polytrack)

Pos.
Dist Beaten
Horse
SP
1

8 Kokbastau (7)

11/10 F

2
5

3 Bulletin (IRE) (3)

3/1 2F

3
½

5 Forever Penywern (9)

11/2

3
dh

10 Must Believe (12)

50/1

5
1½

11 Dust Cover (2)

16/1

6
nk

7 Classical Allusion (1)

11/2

7
1½

2 The Green Mile (IRE) (4)

13/2

8
¾

4 Galaxy Star (8)

40/1

9
1½

6 Son Of Man (IRE) (5)

28/1

10
1¾

9 Duc De Kent (FR) (11)

150/1

11
4¼

1 Cumulonimbus (IRE) (6)

100/1

12
½

12 Mathematician (IRE) (10)

150/1

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