Too Darn Hot crowned top juvenile

Unbeaten Gosden colt rated Frankel’s equal at two

  • Wednesday 23 January
  • News
Get £20 in free bets

Too Darn Hot has been crowned the leading juvenile of 2018 following the publication of the European Two-Year-Old Classifications.

John Gosden’s charge has been given a rating of 126, ranking him as the best two-year-old in Europe since Frankel shared top honours with Dream Ahead on the same mark in 2010. There has been no juvenile rated higher since Xaar in 1997.

Too Darn Hot finished the campaign unbeaten in four starts – culminating in Dewhurst Stakes success at Newmarket last October – and he leads what was a strong division in 2018, with no fewer than six horses rated at 118 or above.

The British Horseracing Authority’s lead two-year-old handicapper Graeme Smith said: “Too Darn Hot confirmed himself an outstanding juvenile in the Dewhurst, where he put some strong form lines firmly in the shade.

“The last three two-year-olds rated at his level went on to win 15 Group Ones between them – and in what promises to be an above-average Classic crop, he already sets a lofty standard with the potential of better still.”

Smith added: “Too Darn Hot is a fascinating horse to watch. No two-year-old has been rated 126 since Frankel and Dream Ahead shared top honours in 2010. We are talking about a special juvenile here.

“I would like to point out, as the inevitable Frankel comparisons come, that Frankel did improve another stone as three-year and four-year-old. He is not at Frankel superstar levels yet, but he is very good.”

Smith believes Too Darn Hot has every chance of winning this year’s 2000 Guineas, but is less enthusiastic about his Derby claims.

He added: “He sets a good standard for the Guineas – 126 would win most Guineas. Obviously you have the weight-for-age factor as he has got to mature to the same level the average horse would through the winter.

“If he doesn’t, he still sets a good standard.

“He is not for me for the Derby. He could turn out to be a middle distance horse as it is certainly in his pedigree.

“He is an exuberant sort and he doesn’t settle 100 per cent – and if he is going to get beyond a mile, he will have to learn to settle. He has got fantastic speed at the end of his races, and that doesn’t lend its hand to staying races either.”

Gosden has another juvenile in the top 10 in the shape of Coventry Stakes winner Calyx, who is rated 115 despite having his season limited to just two races within 11 days in June.

Quorto was also unbeaten in three starts for Charlie Appleby, with his crowning glory coming in the National Stakes at the Curragh in September.

He is rated 121, just 1lb ahead of the Aidan O’Brien-trained Ten Sovereigns – who was the leading Irish juvenile colt in 2018.

The Irish Horseracing Regulatory Board’s two-year-old handicapper Mark Bird said: “Quorto put up the best performance by a juvenile in Ireland in 2018, following in the footsteps of his sire Dubawi in winning both the Bet365 Superlative Stakes and the Goffs Vincent O’Brien National Stakes at two, and he rates just 1lb below his sire as a two-year-old on 121.

“The leading Irish-trained juvenile was Aidan O’Brien’s Ten Sovereigns, who completed an unbeaten season with a defeat of Jash in the Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes and who ends the year on a rating of 120, which is 1lb ahead of the figure achieved by his sire No Nay Never at two.”

The Michael Bell-trained Pretty Pollyanna heads the juvenile fillies’ division on a perch of 116, having won the Prix Morny before disappointing in her final two starts of the season. Signora Cabello and Skitter Scatter are next best on 114.

But Smith believes American filly Newspaperofrecord is “head and shoulders” above any of the juvenile fillies from Europe in 2018.

Trained by Chad Brown, the daughter of Lope De Vega won each of her three starts last year, completing her hat-trick with a stunning display in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf.

Brown immediately raised the possibility of bringing his charge to Europe this year for either or both of the 1000 Guineas at Newmarket and the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot.

Smith said: “If it goes on ability alone she is head and shoulders above what we have seen in Europe this season. If she can translate that form from the Breeders’ Cup next season they will have a hell of a job coping with her.

“She is not a stereotypical American horse coming over here and she has the pedigree to cope with it over here. I’m looking forward to her coming, potentially for the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot, as she is potentially very special.

“My private figure for her is 123 and that puts her 7lb ahead of Pretty Pollyanna, whose form didn’t see last season through.

“Historically that figure is massive.”

When contacted on Wednesday and asked if any decision had been made on whether his filly will travel to Europe this year, Brown told Press Association Sport: “No, not yet. I’d love to, but no decisions have been made.”

Sign up to bet365. Click to View Bonus Code Details
Up to £30 in free bets
Get £20 in free bets
£20 Risk Free First Bet
Up to £20 in free bets
Up to £10 in free bets
Up to £40 in Bonus funds
100% Bonus up to £100
£20 Free Exchange Bet
Get a £10 risk-free first bet

Existing User?

Forgot your password?

New User?

Sign up using our simple one-page form and you'll be able to access free video form, tips and exclusive content straight away.