20:00 Southwell 20 Feb 2026
SBK Betting Podcast Handicap
Class 4 | 4YO plus
Winner £18,319 - 11 run
Standard (AW)
Draw Advantage: None
Forecast: Light rain
Temperature: 6.6° - 10.3°
Rainfall: 2.15mm
Wind: 15.4 mph W
Last Update: 20/02/2026 12:00
- Winner
- Top 3 Finish
- Top 2 Finish
- W/O Nogos Dream
- W/O Existent
- Insure 2 Places
- Insure 3 Places
- W/O Existent And Nogos Dream
- Top 4 Finish
- W/O Nogos Dream And Sams Hope
- W/O
- Finish Exactly 2nd
- Finish Exactly 3rd
- W/O Sams Hope
- Not To Be Placed
- Not To Win
- Win
Bookies best price percentage = 120.11% | Standard bookmaker terms: 3 places, 1/5 odds
AT THE RACES is not liable for any services or information offered or provided by its bookmaker partners. Please note: Whilst every effort is made to ensure odds and information are up to date and correct, differences between these and actual odds/information available from bookmakers at time of placing a bet may occur.
Did not see it out when beaten 2l off a 1lb higher mark at Lingfield last time; has a wide draw; suited by 5f on a sound surface; needs to bounce back.
Winner of six races at 5f including 4 wins on the all-weather (2 PO). Finished 2l behind Atomic Force when sixth of 8 at 15-2 on his latest outing at Lingfield over 5f last month.
Did not see it out when beaten 2l off a 1lb higher mark at Lingfield last time; has a wide draw; suited by 5f on a sound surface; needs to bounce back.
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Flat Races | 26 | 6 | 3 | 23.1% | |
| Flat (AW) | 16 | 4 | 3 | 25% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| CD | Course and Distance | 5 | 2 | 1 | 40% |
| C | Course | 5 | 2 | 1 | 40% |
| D | Distance | 25 | 6 | 3 | 24% |
| G | Similar Going | 14 | 3 | 3 | 21.4% |
| S | Surface(Tapeta) | 11 | 2 | 2 | 18.2% |
| Headgear | |||||
| Today (No Headgear) | 26 | 6 | 3 | 23.1% | |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 4 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 20% |
| Hcp | This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 9 | 1 | 1 | 11.1% |
| Connections | |||||
| J | Jason Hart | 18 | 5 | 3 | 27.8% |
| T | J & S Quinn | 26 | 6 | 3 | 23.1% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Ran to form when beaten 3/4l off a 2lb lower mark at Lingfield last time; suited by 5f and acts on a sound surface; much better of late.
He has won four times at 5f including 3 wins on the all-weather (2 PO). Beaten 3/4l by Michaela's Boy when second of 7 at 5-2jt-fav on his latest outing at Lingfield over 5f last month.
Ran to form when beaten 3/4l off a 2lb lower mark at Lingfield last time; suited by 5f and acts on a sound surface; much better of late.
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Flat Races | 36 | 4 | 12 | 11.1% | |
| Flat (AW) | 19 | 3 | 11 | 15.8% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| CD | Course and Distance | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% |
| C | Course | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% |
| D | Distance | 28 | 4 | 9 | 14.3% |
| G | Similar Going | 15 | 3 | 10 | 20% |
| S | Surface(Tapeta) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% |
| Headgear | |||||
| HG | Today (P only) | 19 | 3 | 7 | 15.8% |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 4 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 13.3% |
| Hcp | This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 10 | 1 | 5 | 10% |
| Connections | |||||
| J | J Mitchell | 8 | 1 | 4 | 12.5% |
| T | R M H Cowell | 28 | 3 | 9 | 10.7% |
| BF Was beaten favourite last time out | |||||
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Ran to form back up in trip and was not helped by late interference when fifth at Wolverhampton last time; usually held up; top jockey back on board; effective at 5/6f; new mark has kicked in and this is tougher, but the drop in trip helps.
Winner of six races from 5f to 7f on the all-weather (1 PO). Finished 3l behind Papa Cocktail when fifth of 9 at 5-1 on her latest outing at Wolverhampton over 6f last month. Has won twice at Southwell this season.
Ran to form back up in trip and was not helped by late interference when fifth at Wolverhampton last time; usually held up; top jockey back on board; effective at 5/6f; new mark has kicked in and this is tougher, but the drop in trip helps.
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Flat Races | 34 | 6 | 6 | 17.7% | |
| Flat (AW) | 30 | 6 | 5 | 20% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| CD | Course and Distance | 4 | 3 | 0 | 75% |
| C | Course | 9 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| D | Distance | 6 | 3 | 1 | 50% |
| G | Similar Going | 22 | 5 | 4 | 22.7% |
| S | Surface(Tapeta) | 19 | 5 | 3 | 26.3% |
| Headgear | |||||
| HG | Today (T only) | 21 | 5 | 4 | 23.8% |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Connections | |||||
| J | Oisin Murphy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% |
| T | Martin Dunne | 14 | 5 | 3 | 35.7% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Back to best and strong at the finish when dropped in trip to end a losing run, landing a handicap by a neck off a 3lb lower mark here last time; suited by 5/6f; remains on a competitive mark after a small rise.
He has won four times from 5f to 7f including 3 wins on the all-weather (1 PO). A winner at 11-2 over this course and distance on his latest outing last month, beating Ziggy's Triton by a neck.
Back to best and strong at the finish when dropped in trip to end a losing run, landing a handicap by a neck off a 3lb lower mark here last time; suited by 5/6f; remains on a competitive mark after a small rise.
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Flat Races | 61 | 4 | 16 | 6.6% | |
| Flat (AW) | 17 | 3 | 7 | 17.7% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| CD | Course and Distance | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20% |
| C | Course | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20% |
| D | Distance | 48 | 3 | 12 | 6.3% |
| G | Similar Going | 13 | 3 | 4 | 23.1% |
| S | Surface(Tapeta) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25% |
| Headgear | |||||
| Today (No Headgear) | 32 | 2 | 12 | 6.3% | |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 4 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 25% |
| Hcp | This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 14 | 2 | 6 | 14.3% |
| Connections | |||||
| J | Jack Dace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% |
| T | S C Williams | 53 | 3 | 13 | 5.7% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Not the best of runs and should have finished closer in reapplied blinkers when beaten 6l in a handicap at Newmarket last time; returning from a break; effective at 5/6f; chance if ready to roll back on AW.
Winner of seven races from 5f to 6f including 3 wins on the all-weather (2 PO). Finished 6l behind Roach Power when fifth of 11 at 12-1 on his latest outing at Newmarket over 5f (good) in October last year.
Not the best of runs and should have finished closer in reapplied blinkers when beaten 6l in a handicap at Newmarket last time; returning from a break; effective at 5/6f; chance if ready to roll back on AW.
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Flat Races | 64 | 7 | 20 | 10.9% | |
| Flat (AW) | 17 | 3 | 3 | 17.7% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| Course and Distance | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| C | Course | 4 | 1 | 0 | 25% |
| D | Distance | 39 | 5 | 10 | 12.8% |
| G | Similar Going | 9 | 1 | 2 | 11.1% |
| S | Surface(Tapeta) | 9 | 1 | 1 | 11.1% |
| Headgear | |||||
| HG | Today (V only) | 17 | 2 | 6 | 11.8% |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 4 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 23.8% |
| Hcp | This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 15 | 2 | 3 | 13.3% |
| Connections | |||||
| J | Lewis Edmunds | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| T | Jessica Macey | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Made too much use of off a break when beaten 3 1/2l off this mark at Dundalk last time; trainer in form; wide draw; suited by 5f; entitled to improve from that return run.
Winner of six races at 5f including 2 wins on the all-weather (1 PO). Third of 8 behind Prairie Girl beaten 3 1/2l at 14-1 on his latest outing at Dundalk over 5f earlier this month.
Made too much use of off a break when beaten 3 1/2l off this mark at Dundalk last time; trainer in form; wide draw; suited by 5f; entitled to improve from that return run.
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Flat Races | 46 | 6 | 15 | 13% | |
| Flat (AW) | 26 | 2 | 7 | 7.7% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| CD | Course and Distance | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| C | Course | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| D | Distance | 41 | 6 | 13 | 14.6% |
| G | Similar Going | 25 | 2 | 7 | 8% |
| S | Surface(Tapeta) | 14 | 1 | 4 | 7.1% |
| Headgear | |||||
| HG | Today (T & P) | 21 | 3 | 6 | 14.3% |
| HG | Cheek Pieces | 33 | 6 | 11 | 18.2% |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| Hcp | This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| Connections | |||||
| J | D Egan | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T | P J McKenna | 21 | 4 | 8 | 19.1% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Ran to current form when beaten 1 1/2l off this mark at Redcar last time; usually held up; suited by 5f and a sound surface; can bounce back down to the minimum trip.
Successful twice at 5f on the all-weather, but last win was over two years ago. Third of 9 behind Fluorescence beaten 1 1/2l at 18-1 on his latest outing at Redcar over 5f (good to firm) in August last year.
Ran to current form when beaten 1 1/2l off this mark at Redcar last time; usually held up; suited by 5f and a sound surface; can bounce back down to the minimum trip.
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Flat Races | 10 | 2 | 2 | 20% | |
| Flat (AW) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 40% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| Course and Distance | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| Course | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| D | Distance | 9 | 2 | 2 | 22.2% |
| G | Similar Going | 4 | 1 | 1 | 25% |
| S | Surface(Tapeta) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 40% |
| Headgear | |||||
| Today (No Headgear) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28.6% | |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Class 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| Connections | |||||
| J | Cam Hardie | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| T | A Brittain | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Ran to form when beaten 3/4l off this mark at Lingfield last time; suited by 5f; in-and-out performer but capable of another good run.
He has won four times at 5f including 2 wins on the all-weather (1 PO). Beaten 3/4l by Fidelius when second of 5 at 4-1 on his latest outing at Lingfield over 5f earlier this month.
Ran to form when beaten 3/4l off this mark at Lingfield last time; suited by 5f; in-and-out performer but capable of another good run.
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Flat Races | 38 | 4 | 18 | 10.5% | |
| Flat (AW) | 15 | 2 | 8 | 13.3% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| Course and Distance | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Course | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| D | Distance | 21 | 4 | 8 | 19.1% |
| G | Similar Going | 11 | 2 | 6 | 18.2% |
| S | Surface(Tapeta) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% |
| Headgear | |||||
| HG | Today (P only) | 18 | 3 | 9 | 16.7% |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 4 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 6.7% |
| Hcp | This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% |
| Connections | |||||
| J | Billy Loughnane | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| T | R Hughes | 38 | 4 | 18 | 10.5% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Below form but with excuses when fifth, beaten 3 1/4l off 77 last time and on the same mark here; effective at 5/6f and acts on AW; still on a competitive mark and could have a say if turned out again.
He has won four times at 5f on the all-weather (1 PO). Finished 3 1/2l behind Cressida Wildes when last of 5 at 9-4 on his latest outing at Wolverhampton over 5f earlier this month.
Below form but with excuses when fifth, beaten 3 1/4l off 77 last time and on the same mark here; effective at 5/6f and acts on AW; still on a competitive mark and could have a say if turned out again.
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Flat Races | 22 | 4 | 5 | 18.2% | |
| Flat (AW) | 20 | 4 | 5 | 20% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| Course and Distance | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Course | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| D | Distance | 15 | 4 | 4 | 26.7% |
| G | Similar Going | 16 | 3 | 3 | 18.8% |
| S | Surface(Tapeta) | 14 | 3 | 3 | 21.4% |
| Headgear | |||||
| HG | Today (T & P) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 40% |
| HG | Cheek Pieces | 5 | 2 | 2 | 40% |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 4 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8.3% |
| Hcp | This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0% |
| Connections | |||||
| J | R Havlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T | T Faulkner | 8 | 2 | 2 | 25% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Was a bit keen and raced wide, below form up in trip when beaten 4l off a 1lb higher mark at Catterick last time; returning from a break; suited by 5f; a pace collapse would help given his run style.
Winner of six races from 5f to 7f including a win on the all-weather. Beaten 4l behind Lipsink at 20-1 when eighth of 10 on his latest outing at Catterick over 6f (good) in October last year.
Was a bit keen and raced wide, below form up in trip when beaten 4l off a 1lb higher mark at Catterick last time; returning from a break; suited by 5f; a pace collapse would help given his run style.
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Flat Races | 62 | 6 | 15 | 9.7% | |
| Flat (AW) | 14 | 1 | 7 | 7.1% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| CD | Course and Distance | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33.3% |
| C | Course | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% |
| D | Distance | 43 | 4 | 11 | 9.3% |
| G | Similar Going | 10 | 0 | 4 | 0% |
| S | Surface(Tapeta) | 13 | 1 | 7 | 7.7% |
| Headgear | |||||
| HG | Today (P only) | 33 | 4 | 5 | 12.1% |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 4 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 5.9% |
| Hcp | This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 12 | 0 | 7 | 0% |
| Connections | |||||
| J | William Pyle | 3 | 1 | 0 | 33.3% |
| T | T D Barron | 52 | 5 | 14 | 9.6% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Below form when beaten 8 1/4l in a handicap at Sha Tin last time; effective at 6f on a sound surface; formerly raced in Hong Kong and has an absence to overcome.
A winner at 6f, but that win was over two years ago. Beaten 9l behind Mojave Desert when 10th of 12 on his latest outing at Sha Tin over 6f (good) in December '24. He is wearing a tongue-tie for the first time. Having his first run for a new stable today.
Below form when beaten 8 1/4l in a handicap at Sha Tin last time; effective at 6f on a sound surface; formerly raced in Hong Kong and has an absence to overcome.
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Flat Races | 9 | 1 | 3 | 11.1% | |
| Flat (AW) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| Course and Distance | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Course | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Distance | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| G | Similar Going | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| Headgear | |||||
| Today (T only) | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Class 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Connections | |||||
| J | J F Egan | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T | Lemos Souza | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Ran to form when beaten 2l off a 1lb higher mark here last time; top course trainer; usually held up; wide draw; suited by 5/6f on a sound surface; capable off this mark but a losing run is a concern.
Winner of seven races from 6f to 7f including 2 wins on polytrack, but last win was over two years ago. Third of 7 behind Spring Is Sprung beaten 1 3/4l at 13-2 on his latest outing over this course and distance last month.
Ran to form when beaten 2l off a 1lb higher mark here last time; top course trainer; usually held up; wide draw; suited by 5/6f on a sound surface; capable off this mark but a losing run is a concern.
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Flat Races | 61 | 7 | 14 | 11.5% | |
| Flat (AW) | 32 | 2 | 9 | 6.3% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| CD | Course and Distance | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| C | Course | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0% |
| D | Distance | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0% |
| G | Similar Going | 20 | 0 | 4 | 0% |
| S | Surface(Tapeta) | 15 | 0 | 4 | 0% |
| Headgear | |||||
| Today (No Headgear) | 44 | 7 | 11 | 15.9% | |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 4 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 6.3% |
| Hcp | This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 26 | 1 | 5 | 3.9% |
| Connections | |||||
| J | Jason Watson | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T | M Appleby | 35 | 4 | 7 | 11.4% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Verdict
A competitive field amasses but with only a few noted for being on the front end, this could get messy in the closing stages. However, in handicapping terms, JUAN LES PINS is very tempting after hinting at a revival of late. Set to run from 15lb below his last winning mark, the Mick Appleby-trained veteran looks worth another chance. Almaty Star, Nogo's Dream and the talented but luckless El Bufalo are others capable of being on the premises.
Expert View Verdict
This can go to EXISTENT, who ended a lengthy losing run over C&D last time, under this rider, and still appeals as being well treated following a 3lb rise - he's got plenty of form to his name from marks in the mid-80s from last summer. Sam's Hope is respected despite her new mark having kicked in. She needs to bounce back but the drop in trip should suit and she could give the selection most to think about. Juan Les Pins has found his form again of late, finishing a good third over C&D last time, and a reproduction of that should again see him go well.
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Race Record
| Distance | Record Time |
|---|---|
| 4f 214y | 0:56.20 |