13:32 Southwell 30 Jan 2026
Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap
Class 5 | 4YO plus
Winner £3,716 - 11 declared to run
Standard (AW)
Draw Advantage: None
Forecast: Light rain
Temperature: 5.5° - 8.0°
Rainfall: 1.89mm
Wind: 12.1 mph E
Last Update: 29/01/2026 17:00x
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Too keen and did too much early when finishing down the field in a handicap at Newcastle last time. Probably best at 7f and needs to settle, with recent form suggesting he has regressed.
He has won three times from 7f to 1m on the all-weather (2 PO). Beaten 11l behind Francesi at 18-1 when last of 9 on his latest outing at Newcastle over 1m earlier this month.
Too keen and did too much early when finishing down the field in a handicap at Newcastle last time. Probably best at 7f and needs to settle, with recent form suggesting he has regressed.
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Flat Races | 11 | 3 | 0 | 27.3% | |
| Flat (AW) | 8 | 3 | 0 | 37.5% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| CD | Course and Distance | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% |
| C | Course | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% |
| D | Distance | 4 | 1 | 0 | 25% |
| G | Similar Going | 7 | 2 | 0 | 28.6% |
| S | Surface(Tapeta) | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16.7% |
| Headgear | |||||
| Today (T & H) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| Hood | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% |
| Hcp | This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16.7% |
| Connections | |||||
| J | Dylan Hogan | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T | I Jardine | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Ran to form when beaten 3 1/2l off a 1lb higher mark at Newcastle last time. Effective over 6-8f on the all-weather and generally consistent in her performances.
Successful at 6f and 1m including a win on the all-weather. Finished 3 1/2l behind Gressington when fourth of 6 at 10-1 on her latest outing at Newcastle over 7f in December last year.
Ran to form when beaten 3 1/2l off a 1lb higher mark at Newcastle last time. Effective over 6-8f on the all-weather and generally consistent in her performances.
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Flat Races | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28.6% | |
| Flat (AW) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 25% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| Course and Distance | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Course | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| D | Distance | 3 | 1 | 1 | 33.3% |
| G | Similar Going | 4 | 1 | 1 | 25% |
| S | Surface(Tapeta) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 25% |
| Headgear | |||||
| Today (No Headgear) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28.6% | |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 33.3% |
| Hcp | This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| Connections | |||||
| J | Barry McHugh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| T | I Furtado | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Ran to form and was nicely on top late when landing a handicap by 1/2l off a 3lb lower mark here last time. Best at 8f and remains on a competitive mark.
Winner of five races at 1m including 2 wins on the all-weather. A winner at 11-2 over this course and distance on his latest outing in December last year, beating Down To The Kid by 1/2l.
Ran to form and was nicely on top late when landing a handicap by 1/2l off a 3lb lower mark here last time. Best at 8f and remains on a competitive mark.
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Flat Races | 40 | 5 | 8 | 12.5% | |
| Flat (AW) | 12 | 2 | 1 | 16.7% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| CD | Course and Distance | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% |
| C | Course | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% |
| D | Distance | 29 | 5 | 5 | 17.2% |
| G | Similar Going | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9.1% |
| S | Surface(Tapeta) | 12 | 2 | 1 | 16.7% |
| Headgear | |||||
| HG | Today (P only) | 33 | 5 | 6 | 15.2% |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 5 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 22.2% |
| This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| Connections | |||||
| J | Sean Kirrane | 7 | 2 | 1 | 28.6% |
| T | M Dods | 36 | 5 | 7 | 13.9% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Improved for a slightly longer trip when landing a handicap by 1 1/2l off a 6lb lower mark at Wolverhampton last time. Effective over 7-9f on the all-weather, with more to come.
Winner of five races from 1m to 1m 1f on the all-weather (2 PO). A winner at 3-1 at Wolverhampton over 1m 1f on his latest outing earlier this month, beating Threatening by 1 1/2l.
Improved for a slightly longer trip when landing a handicap by 1 1/2l off a 6lb lower mark at Wolverhampton last time. Effective over 7-9f on the all-weather, with more to come.
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Flat Races | 23 | 5 | 4 | 21.7% | |
| Flat (AW) | 14 | 5 | 3 | 35.7% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| CD | Course and Distance | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% |
| C | Course | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% |
| D | Distance | 13 | 3 | 2 | 23.1% |
| G | Similar Going | 12 | 5 | 2 | 41.7% |
| S | Surface(Tapeta) | 7 | 3 | 0 | 42.9% |
| Headgear | |||||
| HG | Today (P only) | 7 | 4 | 1 | 57.1% |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 50% |
| This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Connections | |||||
| J | Ryan Kavanagh | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% |
| T | Ian Williams | 21 | 5 | 4 | 23.8% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Bit below form when back down in trip, beaten 3 1/2l off a 1lb higher mark at Wolverhampton last time. Effective at 8f on the all-weather and 2lb above her last winning mark.
Successful at 7f and 1m on the all-weather (1 PO). Finished 3 1/2l behind Wilhelmina when sixth of 8 at 9-1 on her latest outing at Wolverhampton over 1m 1f in December last year.
Bit below form when back down in trip, beaten 3 1/2l off a 1lb higher mark at Wolverhampton last time. Effective at 8f on the all-weather and 2lb above her last winning mark.
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Flat Races | 13 | 2 | 2 | 15.4% | |
| Flat (AW) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 33.3% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| Course and Distance | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Course | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| D | Distance | 4 | 1 | 1 | 25% |
| G | Similar Going | 5 | 2 | 0 | 40% |
| S | Surface(Tapeta) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 50% |
| Headgear | |||||
| HG | Today (P only) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 33.3% |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22.2% |
| This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| Connections | |||||
| J | Daniel Muscutt | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T | J Parr | 10 | 1 | 2 | 10% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Ran to form when beaten 1/2l off a 1lb lower mark at Kempton last time. Effective from 8-12f on the all-weather and can go well again at a course he likes.
Successful at 1m 2f and 1m 4f including a win on the all-weather. Beaten 1/2l by Port Road when second of 9 at 3-1 on his latest outing at Kempton over 1m earlier this month.
Ran to form when beaten 1/2l off a 1lb lower mark at Kempton last time. Effective from 8-12f on the all-weather and can go well again at a course he likes.
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Flat Races | 16 | 2 | 4 | 12.5% | |
| Flat (AW) | 11 | 1 | 4 | 9.1% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| Course and Distance | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| C | Course | 3 | 1 | 0 | 33.3% |
| D | Distance | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0% |
| G | Similar Going | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16.7% |
| S | Surface(Tapeta) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 25% |
| Headgear | |||||
| Today (No Headgear) | 11 | 2 | 2 | 18.2% | |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 5 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0% |
| This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Connections | |||||
| J | Mason Paetel | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T | I Mohammed | 16 | 2 | 4 | 12.5% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Raced a bit wide and was below form when beaten 7 1/4l in a novice at Wolverhampton last time. Effective over 7-8f on the all-weather and a return to 8f may suit.
Placed in three of six starts. Finished 7l behind All Moonshine when fifth of 8 at 9-1 on his latest outing at Wolverhampton over 7f earlier this month.
Raced a bit wide and was below form when beaten 7 1/4l in a novice at Wolverhampton last time. Effective over 7-8f on the all-weather and a return to 8f may suit.
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Flat Races | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0% | |
| Flat (AW) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| Course and Distance | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| C | Course | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| D | Distance | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0% |
| G | Similar Going | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| S | Surface(Tapeta) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| Headgear | |||||
| HG | Today (H only) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Connections | |||||
| J | D Nolan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| T | D O'Meara | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Too keen and a bit below her best when sixth, beaten 5l off 74 last time, now 2lb lower. Effective over 8-10f on the all-weather but needs to bounce back.
Winner of five races from 1m to 1m 2f including 2 wins on the all-weather (1 PO). Finished 5l behind High On Hope when sixth of 8 at 80-1 on her latest outing at Kempton over 1m earlier this month.
Too keen and a bit below her best when sixth, beaten 5l off 74 last time, now 2lb lower. Effective over 8-10f on the all-weather but needs to bounce back.
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Flat Races | 39 | 5 | 9 | 12.8% | |
| Flat (AW) | 18 | 2 | 4 | 11.1% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| Course and Distance | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| Course | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| D | Distance | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12.5% |
| G | Similar Going | 12 | 2 | 3 | 16.7% |
| S | Surface(Tapeta) | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16.7% |
| Headgear | |||||
| HG | Today (P only) | 23 | 5 | 3 | 21.7% |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 5 | 26 | 2 | 5 | 7.7% |
| Hcp | This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| Connections | |||||
| J | Darragh Keenan | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| T | Michael Keady | 13 | 3 | 2 | 23.1% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Below form after a wind op when beaten 7 1/4l in a novice here last time. This is his second run after the procedure and he could do better now handicapping on the all-weather.
Unplaced in all four starts. Finished 7l behind Fight Your Corner when sixth of 10 at 28-1 on his latest outing over this course and distance in December last year.
Below form after a wind op when beaten 7 1/4l in a novice here last time. This is his second run after the procedure and he could do better now handicapping on the all-weather.
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Flat Races | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| Flat (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| Course and Distance | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| Course | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| Distance | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| Similar Going | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| Surface(Tapeta) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| Headgear | |||||
| Today (T only) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Class 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Connections | |||||
| J | Rowan Scott | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T | J Mackie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Again below his best despite a reduced mark when beaten 3l off a 2lb higher mark here last time. Suited by 7-9f on the all-weather and a return to 8f may suit.
Successful twice at 7f including a win on the all-weather. Finished 2 3/4l behind Down To The Kid when fifth of 12 at 12-1 on his latest outing here over 7f earlier this month.
Again below his best despite a reduced mark when beaten 3l off a 2lb higher mark here last time. Suited by 7-9f on the all-weather and a return to 8f may suit.
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Flat Races | 18 | 2 | 3 | 11.1% | |
| Flat (AW) | 15 | 1 | 3 | 6.7% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| Course and Distance | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Course | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| Distance | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| G | Similar Going | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9.1% |
| S | Surface(Tapeta) | 10 | 1 | 1 | 10% |
| Headgear | |||||
| HG | Today (B only) | 13 | 2 | 2 | 15.4% |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 5 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 7.1% |
| Hcp | This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9.1% |
| Connections | |||||
| J | P J McDonald | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T | J Mackie | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Ran to his best when beaten 1/2l off a 1lb lower mark here last time. Returning from a long layoff, he is effective over 7-8f on the all-weather and can go well again.
He has won four times at 7f on the all-weather. Beaten 1/2l by Saisons D'Or when second of 9 at 11-2 on his latest outing here over 7f in May last year.
Ran to his best when beaten 1/2l off a 1lb lower mark here last time. Returning from a long layoff, he is effective over 7-8f on the all-weather and can go well again.
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Flat Races | 51 | 5 | 14 | 9.8% | |
| Flat (AW) | 38 | 4 | 13 | 10.5% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| CD | Course and Distance | 15 | 0 | 6 | 0% |
| C | Course | 30 | 4 | 11 | 13.3% |
| D | Distance | 23 | 1 | 6 | 4.4% |
| G | Similar Going | 35 | 4 | 11 | 11.4% |
| S | Surface(Tapeta) | 38 | 4 | 13 | 10.5% |
| Headgear | |||||
| HG | Today (B only) | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28.6% |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 5 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 15.8% |
| Hcp | This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 13 | 1 | 6 | 7.7% |
| Connections | |||||
| J | K T O'Neill | 10 | 1 | 4 | 10% |
| T | S Dixon | 46 | 4 | 14 | 8.7% |
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Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Verdict
The hat-trick seeking Tonal is consistent at this level but a 6lb rise for his latest Wolverhampton success means another personal best is required. On the other hand, HALE END has done well off higher ratings in the past and a 3lb rise for his C&D win in December is a tractable assessment. Frostmagic, who is versatile regarding distance, is another strong contender, while King Of York is a lightly-weighted C&D winner to also bear in mind.
Expert View Verdict
TONAL has won four of his last five starts and scored with a bit in hand at Wolverhampton last time, being nicely on top late. He's got a further 6lb rise to deal with but is at home over this C&D and gets on particularly well for today's rider Ryan Kavanagh. Hale End got back to winning ways over C&D last time, being strongest in the final 100yds, and he could go well off 3lb higher, making him the danger. Frostmagic is third on the list, having returned to form when runner-up at Kempton last time.
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Previous Winners
| Year | Going | Ran | Winner | Draw | Age | Weight | OR | Form | Last run | Trainer (Distance) | Jockey | SP | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Standard | 10 | Joolianoss | 5 | 4 | 9 4 | 68 | 7753-11 | 10 days | H J Evans (126 miles) | Joe Leavy | 7/ 5 | 1:40.39 |
Race Favourite Stats
| Year | Favourite Finish Position | Winner Market Position |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | 1 |
Race Record
| Distance | Record Time |
|---|---|
| 1m 13y | 1:37.28 |
