Wednesday’s racing sees the 2020 renewal of the Kerry National at Listowel as the highlight race of the day in Ireland. Meanwhile, the feature of the day on this side of the Irish Sea is the Foundation Stakes at Goodwood. I’m aiming to bring up a Tote Win and Exacta in the aforementioned Listed race for our first best bets of the day, before heading over the jumps at Perth for Wednesday’s Placepot.
WEDNESDAY'S EXOTIC BET
The Listed Foundation Stakes at Goodwood looks an intriguing contest once again this year, with the likes of AIR PILOT (1), last year’s winner, attempting to retain his crown at the age of 11. However, I like the chances of younger legs in this year’s race.
Bullfinch (7) had been entered to run in the Listed Doonside Cup at Ayr last Saturday, but connections chose not to take on Addeybb and instead sighted this race as his preferred target. It was probably a wise move as there is no 122-rated Addeybb-type to contend with in this Listed contest. Bullfinch looks a very likeable horse and is very well bred, being by Kodiac out of Thistle Bird, who won the Pretty Polly for the same connections as this colt. So they will know what they have on their hands and how to campaign him.
The step up in trip, based on his dam’s exploits, to 1m1.5f here, looks a positive for him. You would also have confidence in him staying judged on the way he won last time out over 1m at Kempton in a Class 2 Handicap. That was a very impressive handicap debut to win by just shy of three lengths after doing all of his own donkey work at a decent pace.
If you were being critical, you may argue he was flattered by the pace bias Kempton has provided to front-runners this season. However, his novice win over the same course and distance prior to that latest win worked out nicely, and he won that by over three lengths from a Shadwell American-bred who won his next start over the same course and distance.
So, while the form is stacking up, we don’t necessarily know too much about him in terms of stepping up into Listed company just yet. Therefore, you are taking a small leap of faith with this horse. But, with his age allowance also factored in, I will select him for the win.
HIGH END (3) will be the other selection for our exacta and looks to be the biggest danger to Bullfinch. Previously, this horse had looked very promising as a three-year-old after winning his first three career starts, and quickly notched up a mark of 102 on just his fifth run. He subsequently had two years and nine months off the track, but came back with a very good second at Sandown last month.
It was quite a performance to be beaten only ¾ length by the winner, who received 17lb. He’s subsequently enjoyed a month’s break following that return effort to freshen up, and hopefully, avoid any bounce factor. He remains a smart horse with very low mileage for a six-year-old, and is capable of showing his ability here.
Tote Win: 7 (1 bet)
Tote Reverse Exacta: 3-7 (2 bets)
Perth hosts a cracking card on Wednesday with some competitive racing. The nature of each race lends itself perfectly to our Placepot perm with value in the decent sized fields of runners, and some likeable horses on display too.
Leg 1 (1.55) is Division 1 of the 2m4f Handicap Hurdle where I’ve selected three to hopefully, get us off to a winning start. TITUS BOLT (4) is a dual winner at Perth, one of which was over this course and distance back in 2014. Now an 11-year-old, he can come on from his reappearance and looks likely to be in the mix again. CONDARCIA (7) posted a good effort to finish third on her reappearance, and off 1lb lower here, she can go well again. WISE COCO (12) is a very consistent performer who has a good record at Perth, so will hopefully add some value to our perm.
Leg 2 (2.30) is a mares’ novices’ hurdle where I’m hoping PROPER TICKET (1) will be well supported to free up some value for Alpha Carinae (3), who remains unbeaten in two starts, and SOUTHERN GIRL (9), who was second over this course and distance last time out.
Again, I’m banking on Lucky Robin (1) and Beautiful Ben (4) to be popular in the market in Leg 3 (3.05) to allow MINT GOLD (2) and VINO'S CHOICE (8) to go off at each-way prices. Mint Gold (2) made his chasing debut last time out on his reappearance and ran well to finish third. Vino’s Choice (8) was unlucky not to finish closer last time out but for hitting the third hurdle from home. Back over fences here, he’s consistent enough to run into a place.
Leg 4 (3.40) is a wide-open handicap hurdle over 3m which made selections particularly challenging. I’ve chosen two runners starting with JUSTATENNER (2) who was a course and distance winner two years ago off a mark of 105. He’s since climbed the handicap ladder but remains a very consistent horse. WESTERN RULES (8) has returned in good form this season with a third on his reappearance followed by a second last time out. Up 2lb, he can run a solid race once more.
The feature race of the day comes in Leg 5 (4.15) where we have a cracking eight-runner line-up headed byLa Bague Au RoI (1). Warren Greatrex’s mare has been a quality performer for many years now, but also had her issues. I’m hoping this dual Grade 1 novice chase winner can post a decent effort with conditions in her favour. However, my banker for Wednesday’s Placepot is JARVEY'S PLATE (2), due to his more consistent profile than La Bague Au RoI (1). A faller last time out at the Cheltenham Festival, which is forgivable here, as he goes well fresh and is a likeable horse running for an in-form yard.
Our final Leg comes in a Class 4 Handicap Hurdle over 2m4f (4.50) where I’ve selected three to hopefully see our Placepot wrap up nicely. METHODTOTHEMADNESS (4) showed improved form last time out on the back of a wind operation, so can build on that here. PAMMI (5) won over this course and distance three starts ago and has a good record at Perth. CELTIC FLAMES (11) is also a previous course and distance winner in 2018, and remains 11lb better off with Pammi following his reappearance fifth behind his reopposing rival.
Leg 1: Titus Bolt (4), Condarcia (7), Wise Coco (12)
Leg 2: Alpha Carinae (3), Southern Girl (9)
Leg 3: Mint Gold (2), Vino’s Choice (8)
Leg 4: Justatenner (2), Western Rules (8)
Leg 5: Jarvey's Plate (2)
Leg 6: Methodtothemadness (4), Pammi (5), Celtic Flames (11)
Total 72 Lines