Overstatement - Horse Profile & Next Race Odds

Overstatement

  • Sire: Exaggerator (USA)
  • Dam: What A Sassy Gal (USA)
  • Dam's Sire: Mineshaft (USA)

Video Highlights

  • Replay: 10th Oct 2026, finished 2nd - Keeneland
     
  • Replay: 3rd Jun 2026, finished 2nd - Horseshoe Indianapolis
     
  • Replay: 8th Apr 2026, finished 1st - Horseshoe Indianapolis
     
  • Replay: 8th Oct 2025, finished 1st - Keeneland
     
  • Replay: 12th Sep 2025, finished 3rd - Churchill Downs
     
  • Replay: 17th Aug 2025, finished 2nd - Ellis Park
     
  • Replay: 10th Nov 2024, finished 1st - Churchill Downs
     
  • Replay: 4th Oct 2024, finished 2nd - Keeneland
     
  • Replay: 10th Sep 2024, finished 3rd - Horseshoe Indianapolis
     
  • Replay: 10th Aug 2024, finished 1st - Ellis Park
     

441326154 / 474231045 / 85713266472

Type Starts Wins Places Prize Money Strike Rate P/L (£1 stake)
All Weather
24 3 5 12.50% -£8.5
Turf
5 1 1 20.0% £1.5
Total 29 4 6 13.79% -£7

Keeneland 19:36
Claiming

Churchill Downs 21:22
Race 8 - Claiming

Ellis Park 18:05
Allowance Optional Claiming

Ellis Park 20:12
Allowance Optional Claiming

Churchill Downs 22:29
Race 2 - Starter Allowance

Horseshoe Indianapolis 23:57
Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming

Horseshoe Indianapolis 22:47
Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming

Horseshoe Indianapolis 20:43
Race 4 - Allowance

Turfway Park 19:13
Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming

Turfway Park 02:55
Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming

Turfway Park 01:55
Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming

Turfway Park 02:55
Race 9 - Allowance

Churchill Downs 23:26
Race 12

Churchill Downs 22:25
Race 10 - Starter Allowance

Keeneland 19:04
Race 3 - Starter Allowance

Churchill Downs 20:18
Race 6 - Starter Allowance

Ellis Park 18:48
Race 3 - Starter Allowance

Ellis Park 17:50
Race 1 - Starter Allowance

Turfway Park 02:55
Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming

Turfway Park 02:55
Allowance

Turfway Park 00:25
Race 4 - Allowance

Churchill Downs 18:00
Race 1 - Allowance

Churchill Downs 22:24
Race 10 - Claiming

Keeneland 19:04
Race 3 - Starter Allowance

Keeneland 18:00
Race 1 - Claiming

Horseshoe Indianapolis 22:36
Race 7 - Allowance

Ellis Park 21:48
Race 9 - Maiden Claiming

Churchill Downs 21:55
Race 9 - Maiden Claiming

Churchill Downs 21:22
Race 8 - Maiden Claiming

Date (days since) Race Details Wgt. OR Result SP FF Jockey Finish Speed % Efficiency Stride Data Video
10 Oct 2026 (22) Kee 8½F Fs Claim $53k 8-10 99 2/7 (6), Money Supply (3) 6/1 Future

Axel Concepcion

94.95%
Speed Analysis
34.84 37.18 34.19

Early Pace: Even
C 24.25ft
2.29sps
18 Sep 2026 (33) Chu 8½F Fm Claim $54k 8-10 100 7/10 (1), Lucky Mischief 12/1
ATR Future Form
Summary - Data does not include this horse
2 runs, 1 win (1 horse), 0 placed, 1 unplaced
Next time out
2 runs, 1 win, 0 placed, 1 unplaced
Class analysis
0 runs up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 0 unplaced
Ratings check
Highest winning OR: 99; Highest placed OR: 99
Index value
1120 from 2 horses

Alberto Burgos

101.64%
Speed Analysis
37.09 37.95 38.58

Early Pace: Even
A 24.56ft
2.29sps
16 Aug 2026 (28) Eli 10F Fm AllowOptClaim $5k 8-10 97 4/6 (6), Andthewinneris (3¼) 16/1
ATR Future Form
Summary - Data does not include this horse
5 runs, 0 wins (0 horses), 1 placed, 4 unplaced
Next time out
4 runs, 0 wins, 1 placed, 3 unplaced
Class analysis
0 runs up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 0 unplaced
Ratings check
Highest winning OR: 0; Highest placed OR: 114
Index value
6760 from 4 horses

Adam Beschizza

 
19 Jul 2026 (24) Eli 8F Gd AllowOptClaim $62k 8-10 98 6/8 (2), So Sandy (10) 25/1
ATR Future Form
Summary - Data does not include this horse
14 runs, 2 wins (2 horses), 3 placed, 9 unplaced
Next time out
7 runs, 1 win, 2 placed, 4 unplaced
Class analysis
0 runs up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 0 unplaced
Ratings check
Highest winning OR: 109; Highest placed OR: 109
Index value
693 from 7 horses

D E Sheehy

 
25 Jun 2026 (22) Chu 8½F Allow $49k 8-6 104 6/9 (6), Urban Planner 33/1
ATR Future Form
Summary - Data does not include this horse
18 runs, 3 wins (3 horses), 5 placed, 10 unplaced
Next time out
6 runs, 1 win, 3 placed, 2 unplaced
Class analysis
0 runs up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 0 unplaced
Ratings check
Highest winning OR: 103; Highest placed OR: 103
Index value
605 from 6 horses

Luan Machado

96.76%
Speed Analysis
34.94 37.43 35.27

Early Pace: Even
C 25.03ft
2.21sps
03 Jun 2026 (28) Qig 8½F Fm AllowOptClaim $31k 8-10 100 2/6 (8), Noises Off 8/1
ATR Future Form
Summary - Data does not include this horse
13 runs, 1 win (1 horse), 3 placed, 9 unplaced
Next time out
5 runs, 1 win, 0 placed, 4 unplaced
Class analysis
0 runs up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 0 unplaced
Ratings check
Highest winning OR: 97; Highest placed OR: 107
Index value
984 from 5 horses

Alberto Burgos

97.58%
Speed Analysis
37.03 38.57 36.99

Early Pace: Even
C 24.86ft
2.30sps
06 May 2026 (28) Qig 8F AllowOptClaim $31k 8-12 98 3/4 (8), Friar Newton 11/8 F Future

Alberto Burgos

 
08 Apr 2026 (18) Qig 8F Fs Allow $29k 8-10 98 Won/5 (5), Gas Alley 2/1 2F Future

Alberto Burgos

98.46%
Speed Analysis
35.70 38.33 36.64

Early Pace: Ev-Sl
B 25.00ft
2.30sps
21 Mar 2026 (23) Twp 8F AllowOptClaim $64k 8-13 96 7/10 (5), King Size 25/1 Future

Alberto Burgos

 
27 Feb 2026 (56) Twp 8F Fs AllowOptClaim $64k 8-13 94 5/11 (8), Special Justice 25/1 Future

Alberto Burgos

 
56 Day break
02 Jan 2026 (12) Twp 8F Fs AllowOptClaim $64k 8-9 95 8/12 (6), Tickled Quist 25/1 Future

Adam Beschizza

 
21 Dec 2025 (20) Twp 8F Allow $63k 8-9 96 5/10 (6), Aristotle 20/1 Future

Joseph Ramos

 
NEW YARD - MOVED FROM Kenneth G Miller TO Kenneth Miller
30 Nov 2025 (15) Chu 8F $80k 8-9 98 4/11 (11), Johny's Rendezvous 20/1 Future

Luan Machado

93.09%
Speed Analysis
38.58 37.62 34.42

Early Pace: Ev-Fs
C 25.49ft
2.32sps
NEW YARD - MOVED FROM Kenneth Miller TO Kenneth G Miller
15 Nov 2025 (38) Chu 9F Allow $126k 8-9 101 13/14 (4), Double Your Money 25/1 Future

Luan Machado

93.78%
Speed Analysis
35.22 37.48 33.28

Early Pace: Fast
F 24.87ft
2.24sps
08 Oct 2025 (26) Kee 8½F Allow $34k 8-10 96 Won/8 (5), Laughnowcrylater 9/2 2F Future

Luan Machado

99.40%
Speed Analysis
36.57 36.66 36.33

Early Pace: Even
C 24.14ft
2.30sps
12 Sep 2025 (26) Chu 8F Fs Allow $39k 8-10 96 3/8 (3), Excel Calculator 3/1 2F Future

Luan Machado

97.04%
Speed Analysis
38.64 37.55 36.41

Early Pace: Ev-Fs
B 25.78ft
2.26sps
17 Aug 2025 (15) Eli 8F Allow $26k 8-10 89 2/6 (2), National Eclipse 4/1 Future

Edgar Morales

 
02 Aug 2025 (175) Eli 6F Allow $26k 8-10 92 4/6 (7), Dancin For Gold 13/2 Future

Luan Machado

 
175 Day break
09 Feb 2025 (22) Twp 8F Fs AllowOptClaim $51k 8-13 91 7/8 (4), Safe Trip Home 10/1 Future

Evin Roman

 
18 Jan 2025 (20) Twp 6F Fs Allow $50k 8-8 100 4/5 (8), Epic Ride (24) 14/1 Future

Evin Roman

 
29 Dec 2024 (27) Twp 8F Fs Allow $51k 8-1 105 4/12 (10), Call Protection 9/1 Future

Irving Moncada (5)

 
01 Dec 2024 (21) Chu 8F Fs Allow $80k 8-6 100 5/7 (2), Hall Of Fame 20/1 Future

Evin Roman

90.46%
Speed Analysis
39.39 39.28 34.31

Early Pace: Even
C 26.12ft
2.36sps
10 Nov 2024 (18) Chu 8F Sloppy Claim $41k 8-6 99 Won/8 (8), Parkway 6/1 Future

Evin Roman

91.58%
Speed Analysis
39.44 37.55 33.87

Early Pace: Ev-Fs
C 25.65ft
2.31sps
23 Oct 2024 (19) Kee 9½F Fs Allow $39k 8-6 98 6/8 (8), Gilded Craken 9/1 Future

Corey Lanerie

93.38%
Speed Analysis
34.04 37.68 33.22

Early Pace: Even
D 25.25ft
2.25sps
04 Oct 2024 (24) Kee 8½F Fs Claim $40k 8-6 95 2/7 (1), Bernin Hot 4/1 C2F Future

Evin Roman

96.50%
Speed Analysis
36.57 37.69 35.70

Early Pace: Even
B 26.09ft
2.23sps
10 Sep 2024 (31) Qig 8F Fs Allow $29k 8-6 89 3/9 (3), Donegal Destiny 14/1 Future

Evin Roman

 
NEW YARD - MOVED FROM Jordan Blair TO Kenneth Miller
10 Aug 2024 (64) Eli 8F Fm MdnClaim $18k 8-6 86 Won/12 (11), Azoi 11/2 2F Future

Martin Chuan

 
64 Day break
07 Jun 2024 (14) Chu 8F Fs MdnClaim $31k 8-6 80 4/9 (2), Mr Scatter 16/1 Future

Tyler Conner

87.26%
Speed Analysis
39.70 38.44 32.25

Early Pace: Fast
E 26.09ft
2.35sps
24 May 2024 Chu 6½F Gd MdnClaim $36k 8-6 - 4/7 (6), Al Ameeq 14/1 Future

Tyler Conner

94.26%
Speed Analysis
38.15 38.14 34.98

Early Pace: Ev-Fs
B 25.45ft
2.43sps
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