To Be Sure - Horse Profile & Next Race Odds

8 Esperti (IRE) 1 Amateur (IRE)
83 10 2
  • Sire: Sulamani (IRE)
  • Dam: Egretta Island (IRE)
  • Dam's Sire: Heron Island (IRE)

Video Highlights

Stable Tour Quotes

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Next Race: Chepstow, Thursday 26th March 15:50, 30½F Good to soft-good in places

Race Attributes

Course: 8 runs, 0 wins, 1 place, 0%
C has previously placed at this course
Similar Going: 35 runs, 4 wins, 4 places, 11.43%
G has previously won on similar going
Cheek Pieces: 10 runs, 0 wins, 2 places, 0%
HG has previously placed wearing cheek pieces
Class: 15 runs, 1 win, 1 place, 6.67%
Cl has previously won in this class
Current Handicap: 35 runs, 4 wins, 5 places, 11.43%
Hcp has previously won at or above this handicap
84

Pace (Forecast: Even)

Pace Rating is 6

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Date (days since) Race Details Wgt. Result SP FF Jockey OR Sectional Data Video
NEW YARD - MOVED FROM Evan Williams TO Mrs C Williams
09 Feb 2026 (29) Plu 25½F Sft Cl5 HcpCh £4k 11-2 p 3/6 Felton Bellevue (14¾) 25/1
ATR Future Form
Summary - Data does not include this horse
4 runs, 0 wins (0 horses), 1 placed, 3 unplaced
Next time out
2 runs, 0 wins, 0 placed, 2 unplaced
Class analysis
0 runs up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 0 unplaced
Ratings check
Highest winning OR: 0; Highest placed OR: 89
Index value
318 from 2 horses

Conor Ring

88 93.79%
Speed Analysis
27.54 27.82 25.71

Early Pace: Fast
F 21.09ft
2.12sps
11 Jan 2026 (21) Fon 26F Sft Cl5 HcpCh £3k 10-9 p 8/10 Cooleenymore (31) 28/1
ATR Future Form
Summary - Data does not include this horse
15 runs, 2 wins (2 horses), 2 placed, 11 unplaced
Next time out
8 runs, 0 wins, 2 placed, 6 unplaced
Class analysis
2 runs up in class, 0 wins, 1 placed, 1 unplaced
Ratings check
Highest winning OR: 94; Highest placed OR: 104
Index value
449 from 8 horses

Ellis Collier (5)

90 99.02%
Speed Analysis
26.53 26.55 26.24

Early Pace: Fast
D 18.94ft
2.12sps
21 Dec 2025 (70) Fkn 29F Sft Cl4 HcpCh £4k 10-4 p 4/6 Enjoy D'allen (77) 4/1
ATR Future Form
Summary - Data does not include this horse
9 runs, 1 win (1 horse), 1 placed, 7 unplaced
Next time out
4 runs, 0 wins, 0 placed, 4 unplaced
Class analysis
2 runs up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 2 unplaced
Ratings check
Highest winning OR: 113; Highest placed OR: 113
Index value
463 from 4 horses

Ellis Collier (5)

91 92.60%
Speed Analysis
21.14 27.04 23.39

Early Pace: Slow
F
70 Day break
12 Oct 2025 (44) Chp 26F GF Cl4 CondHcpCh £8k 10-1 p 3/8 Safe Destination (5¾) 16/1
ATR Future Form
Summary - Data does not include this horse
13 runs, 0 wins (0 horses), 4 placed, 9 unplaced
Next time out
6 runs, 0 wins, 2 placed, 4 unplaced
Class analysis
6 runs up in class, 0 wins, 1 placed, 5 unplaced
Ratings check
Highest winning OR: 0; Highest placed OR: 105
Index value
337 from 6 horses

Ellis Collier (3)

91 105.83%
Speed Analysis
26.96 28.34 29.86

Early Pace: Even
F 20.30ft
2.13sps
29 Aug 2025 (43) Fon 26F GS Cl4 HcpCh £4k 10-9 v1 2/4 Masterdream (3½) 5/2 2F
ATR Future Form
Summary - Data does not include this horse
6 runs, 1 win (1 horse), 0 placed, 5 unplaced
Next time out
3 runs, 1 win, 0 placed, 2 unplaced
Class analysis
0 runs up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 0 unplaced
Ratings check
Highest winning OR: 105; Highest placed OR: 105
Index value
345 from 3 horses

Adam Wedge

91 96.29%
Speed Analysis
29.14 29.18 27.89

Early Pace: Fast
C 20.67ft
2.13sps
17 Jul 2025 (42) Wor 23F Gd Cl5 HcpCh £3k 11-3 p 4/8 Grillon De Monty (3) 9/1
ATR Future Form
Summary - Data does not include this horse
18 runs, 2 wins (2 horses), 4 placed, 12 unplaced
Next time out
5 runs, 1 win, 2 placed, 2 unplaced
Class analysis
1 run up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 1 unplaced
Ratings check
Highest winning OR: 95; Highest placed OR: 100
Index value
586 from 5 horses

Ellis Collier (5)

91 100.56%
Speed Analysis
28.02 28.60 28.58

Early Pace: Fast
C 20.41ft
2.13sps
05 Jun 2025 (45) Ffl 24F Sft Cl5 HcpCh £3k 11-5 p 3/7 Puddlesinthepark (13) 5/1 Future

Ellis Collier (5)

92 99.39%
Speed Analysis
28.38 28.03 27.96

Early Pace: Fast
D 19.55ft
2.15sps
21 Apr 2025 (15) Fkn 24F Gd Cl5 HcpCh £4k 11-6 p 2/6 Cloudy Wednesday (2¾) 5/1 Future

Ellis Collier (5)

92 106.99%
Speed Analysis
22.01 29.55 29.90

Early Pace: Slow
C
06 Apr 2025 (30) Ffl 24F GS Cl5 HcpCh £3k 11-1 p U/11 Airtothethrone 9/1 Future

Ellis Collier (5)

92  
07 Mar 2025 (26) Exe 24F Gd Cl5 HcpCh £3k 11-0 2/8 Bampton Star (shd) 20/1 Future

Ellis Collier (5)

90 101.09%
Speed Analysis
27.86 28.22 28.51
09 Feb 2025 (27) Chp 23½F Sft Cl5 HcpHdl £3k 11-2 p PU/12 Lightonthewing 28/1 Future

Ellis Collier (5)

93  
13 Jan 2025 (47) Exe 23F Sft Cl4 CondHcpHdl £4k 10-11 6/7 Jack Sprat (28) 22/1 Future

Ellis Collier (3)

96 96.95%
Speed Analysis
25.59 28.57 26.37
27 Nov 2024 (369) Hfo 19½F GS Cl5 HcpHdl £3k 11-2 6/9 Don Rafael (29) 50/1 Future

Ellis Collier (7)

98 94.16%
Speed Analysis
28.89 29.50 27.06

Early Pace: Fast
E 20.25ft
2.14sps
369 Day break
24 Nov 2023 (24) Chp 23½F Sft Cl4 CondHcpHdl £4k 11-9 5/6 Dear Ralphy (38) 9/1 Future

Isabel Williams

103 100.45%
Speed Analysis
26.21 26.92 26.78

Early Pace: Ev-Sl
F 19.07ft
2.11sps
31 Oct 2023 (145) Chp 26F GS Cl4 HcpCh £4k 10-13 5/11 Eceparti (66) 10/1 Future

Adam Wedge

105 91.74%
Speed Analysis
26.41 27.19 24.34

Early Pace: Fast
F 19.63ft
2.10sps
145 Day break
08 Jun 2023 (50) Ffl 24F Gd Cl3 HcpCh £6k 10-5 2/3 Presentandcounting (19) 11/10 F Future

S Bowen

106 103.59%
Speed Analysis
27.05 30.47 30.28

Early Pace: Slow
D 20.59ft
2.19sps
19 Apr 2023 (10) Che 28F Gd Cl3 HcpCh £10k 10-10 (ex7) 10/20 Madera Mist (19¾) 16/1 Future

Adam Wedge

107  
09 Apr 2023 (43) Ffl 24F Sft Cl5 HcpCh £3k 11-9 Won/8 Bucks Dream (1¼) 9/1 Future

Adam Wedge

100 110.95%
Speed Analysis
26.62 27.76 30.90

Early Pace: Even
E 20.83ft
2.20sps
25 Feb 2023 (25) Chp 26F Gd Cl5 HcpCh £3k 11-13 p1 7/14 Ali Star Bert (41) 4/1 F Future

Isabel Williams (3)

102 99.66%
Speed Analysis
25.70 26.42 26.11

Early Pace: Fast
F 18.67ft
2.10sps
31 Jan 2023 (70) Ffl 25½F Sft Cl5 HcpCh £5k 12-0 4/11 Flowing Cadenza (14¼) 22/1 Future

Adam Wedge

105 101.29%
Speed Analysis
26.76 26.87 27.26

Early Pace: Fast
D 18.88ft
2.14sps
70 Day break
22 Nov 2022 (27) Sdg 27F Sft Cl5 HcpCh £7k 12-2 PU/8 Sir Apollo 13/2 Future

Adam Wedge

107  
26 Oct 2022 (192) Chp 23½F Gd Cl3 HcpCh £6k 10-9 3/6 Wayfinder (26) 3/1 2F Future

Adam Wedge

110 96.49%
Speed Analysis
27.76 28.56 27.06

Early Pace: Ev-Sl
F 19.84ft
2.15sps
192 Day break
17 Apr 2022 (12) Ffl 24F Gd Cl4 HcpHdl £4k 11-2 4/4 Grangeclare Glory (8¾) 5/2 2F Future

Adam Wedge

110 107.98%
Speed Analysis
27.62 29.92 31.74

Early Pace: Even
C 21.78ft
2.18sps
05 Apr 2022 (33) Exe 23F Gd Cl4 HcpHdl £3k 11-1 Won/7 Danny Whizzbang (2½) 11/2 Future

Adam Wedge

106  
03 Mar 2022 (30) Lud 21F Sft Cl3 NovHcpHdl £6k 10-11 4/5 Come On Gruff (30) 4/1 2F Future

Adam Wedge

107  
01 Feb 2022 (25) Ffl 24F GS Cl5 HcpHdl £5k 11-12 2/13 Shot Boii (3½) 9/1 Future

Adam Wedge

105 99.75%
Speed Analysis
27.55 28.50 28.03

Early Pace: Even
C 20.13ft
2.13sps
07 Jan 2022 (34) Wth 24F Sft Cl4 HcpHdl £4k 11-7 4/8 Foillan (29) 11/1 Future

Adam Wedge

107  
04 Dec 2021 (17) Ain 24½F Sft Cl4 NovHcpHdl £5k 10-11 7/11 My Bobby Dazzler (59) 7/2 JF Future

Isabel Williams (5)

108  
17 Nov 2021 (10) Ffl 22F Sft Cl3 HcpHdl £4k 10-12 (ex7) 2/7 Lossiemouth (10) 11/4 2F Future

Adam Wedge

109 108.80%
Speed Analysis
27.03 28.19 30.79

Early Pace: Slow
E 20.94ft
2.25sps
07 Nov 2021 (22) Ffl 24F Sft Cl3 HcpHdl £4k 10-3 Won/8 Poker Play (2¾) 11/2 Future

Adam Wedge

102 103.80%
Speed Analysis
27.47 29.42 29.93

Early Pace: Slow
C 20.83ft
2.13sps
16 Oct 2021 (19) Ffl 24F Gd Cl5 HcpHdlDiv1 £2k 11-7 F/11 Uno Mas 15/2 Future

Niall Moore (10)

102  
27 Sep 2021 (187) New 26½F GS Cl5 NovHcpHdl £2k 11-12 7/10 Espinator (41) 6/1 Future

Adam Wedge

105 94.31%
Speed Analysis
29.32 29.44 27.43
20.69ft
2.09sps
187 Day break
24 Mar 2021 (22) Hfo 25F Gd Cl5 NovHcpCh £2k 11-12 Won/7 Aheadfullofdreams (½ Length) 11/4 2F Future

James Bowen

102 104.46%
Speed Analysis
28.08 29.04 30.33

Early Pace: Slow
F 22.07ft
2.13sps
02 Mar 2021 (50) Les 20F Sft Cl4 NovHcpCh £4k 10-9 F/6 Somekindofstar 4/1 Future

Adam Wedge

103  
11 Jan 2021 (54) Hfo 19½F Sft Cl4 CondHcpHdl £3k 11-7 6/15 Apple Rock (26) 50/1 Future

Conor Ring

105 90.08%
Speed Analysis
29.03 29.10 25.44

Early Pace: Ev-Fs
F 20.58ft
2.12sps
54 Day break
18 Nov 2020 (9) Ffl 20F Hy Cl4 MdnHdl £3k 10-11 7/7 Pats Fancy (71) 66/1 Future

Conor Ring (3)

- 88.39%
Speed Analysis
27.60 27.31 23.48

Early Pace: Even
F 19.07ft
2.11sps
09 Nov 2020 (31) Chp 19½F Hy Cl4 MdnHdl £3k 10-11 6/11 Oscar Elite (36) 18/1 Future

Conor Ring (3)

- 97.01%
Speed Analysis
28.55 27.64 27.01

Early Pace: Fast
D 20.10ft
2.11sps
09 Oct 2020 Chp 16F Gd Cl4 NovHdlDiv2 £3k 10-12 6/10 Soaring Glory (16½) 40/1 Future

Adam Wedge

- 114.01%
Speed Analysis
28.02 29.18 34.15

Early Pace: Even
F 24.26ft
2.21sps

R4 15:50 Chepstow 26 Mar 2026

Stephens Industries EPDM Flat Roofing Handicap Chase (GBB Race) (5YO plus)

Winner £4,700 - 9 declared to run - Draw Advantage: None

3m 6f 136y

Good to soft-good in places

No.
Horse
Race Record Runs Wins Places Win Rate
All Jumps Races 13 3 1 23.1%
Chase 5 1 0 20%
Conditions
Course and Distance 0 0 0 -
C Course 4 0 1 0%
Distance 0 0 0 -
G Similar Going 8 1 1 12.5%
Headgear
Today (No Headgear) 16 4 1 25%
Class & Handicap Rating
Class 4 5 0 0 0%
This Handicap (OR) or Higher 1 0 0 0%
Connections
J Toby McCain-Mitchell 1 1 0 100%
T Miss R Curtis 13 3 1 23.1%
  • Grey = Horse has placed form
  • Blue = Horse has winning form
  • Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Race Record Runs Wins Places Win Rate
All Jumps Races 17 1 10 5.9%
Chase 15 0 9 0%
Conditions
Course and Distance 0 0 0 -
Course 0 0 0 -
Distance 0 0 0 -
G Similar Going 10 0 7 0%
Headgear
HG Today (P only) 4 0 3 0%
Class & Handicap Rating
Cl Class 4 14 1 7 7.1%
Hcp This Handicap (OR) or Higher 15 0 9 0%
Connections
J Theo Gillard 9 0 4 0%
T D McCain Jnr 17 1 10 5.9%
  • Grey = Horse has placed form
  • Blue = Horse has winning form
  • Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Race Record Runs Wins Places Win Rate
All Jumps Races 4 0 1 0%
Chase 1 0 1 0%
Conditions
Course and Distance 0 0 0 -
C Course 1 0 1 0%
Distance 0 0 0 -
G Similar Going 4 0 1 0%
Headgear
Today (P only) 0 0 0 -
Class & Handicap Rating
Cl Class 4 3 0 1 0%
Hcp This Handicap (OR) or Higher 2 0 1 0%
Connections
J James Best 0 0 0 -
T S Hosie 4 0 1 0%
  • Grey = Horse has placed form
  • Blue = Horse has winning form
  • Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Race Record Runs Wins Places Win Rate
All Jumps Races 42 9 6 21.4%
Chase 22 7 2 31.8%
Conditions
Course and Distance 0 0 0 -
C Course 3 1 1 33.3%
Distance 0 0 0 -
G Similar Going 33 6 6 18.2%
Headgear
Today (No Headgear) 45 9 6 20%
Class & Handicap Rating
Cl Class 4 15 2 2 13.3%
Hcp This Handicap (OR) or Higher 18 1 2 5.6%
Connections
J C P O'Shea 5 2 1 40%
T Mrs S Gardner 45 9 6 20%
  • Grey = Horse has placed form
  • Blue = Horse has winning form
  • Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Race Record Runs Wins Places Win Rate
All Jumps Races 21 2 4 9.5%
Chase 16 1 3 6.3%
Conditions
Course and Distance 1 0 0 0%
C Course 4 0 2 0%
Distance 2 0 0 0%
G Similar Going 13 1 1 7.7%
Headgear
HG Today (P only) 7 1 1 14.3%
Class & Handicap Rating
Cl Class 4 12 2 1 16.7%
Hcp This Handicap (OR) or Higher 17 1 3 5.9%
Connections
J Callum Pritchard 4 0 1 0%
T K Woollacott 22 2 4 9.1%
  • Grey = Horse has placed form
  • Blue = Horse has winning form
  • Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Race Record Runs Wins Places Win Rate
All Jumps Races 23 2 8 8.7%
Chase 13 1 6 7.7%
Conditions
Course and Distance 0 0 0 -
C Course 1 0 1 0%
Distance 0 0 0 -
G Similar Going 18 1 5 5.6%
Headgear
Today (P only) 0 0 0 -
Class & Handicap Rating
Cl Class 4 15 2 3 13.3%
Hcp This Handicap (OR) or Higher 20 2 8 10%
Connections
J Mr Jack Stenhouse 0 0 0 -
T C J Gray 6 0 3 0%
  • Grey = Horse has placed form
  • Blue = Horse has winning form
  • Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Race Record Runs Wins Places Win Rate
All Jumps Races 27 4 4 14.8%
Chase 11 3 1 27.3%
Conditions
Course and Distance 0 0 0 -
Course 0 0 0 -
Distance 0 0 0 -
G Similar Going 27 4 5 14.8%
Headgear
Today (No Headgear) 26 5 5 19.2%
Class & Handicap Rating
Class 4 4 0 0 0%
Hcp This Handicap (OR) or Higher 13 0 1 0%
Connections
J S Bowen 7 1 0 14.3%
T D A Rees 20 3 1 15%
  • Grey = Horse has placed form
  • Blue = Horse has winning form
  • Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Race Record Runs Wins Places Win Rate
All Jumps Races 35 5 4 14.3%
Chase 29 5 3 17.2%
Conditions
Course and Distance 2 0 0 0%
C Course 5 1 0 20%
Distance 6 0 0 0%
G Similar Going 35 6 3 17.1%
Headgear
HG Today (P only) 20 4 1 20%
Class & Handicap Rating
Cl Class 4 8 2 1 25%
Hcp This Handicap (OR) or Higher 25 4 1 16%
Connections
J Mr Edward Vaughan 1 1 0 100%
T J L Flint 37 6 4 16.2%
  • Grey = Horse has placed form
  • Blue = Horse has winning form
  • Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
Race Record Runs Wins Places Win Rate
All Jumps Races 38 4 5 10.5%
Chase 20 2 3 10%
Conditions
Course and Distance 0 0 0 -
C Course 8 0 1 0%
Distance 0 0 0 -
G Similar Going 35 4 4 11.4%
Headgear
HG Today (P only) 10 0 2 0%
Class & Handicap Rating
Cl Class 4 15 1 1 6.7%
Hcp This Handicap (OR) or Higher 35 4 5 11.4%
Connections
J Ellis Collier 11 0 3 0%
T Mrs C Williams 0 0 0 -
  • Grey = Horse has placed form
  • Blue = Horse has winning form
  • Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
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