Improbable First - Horse Profile & Next Race Odds
Improbable First
- 4-y-o bay colt
- Trainer: Juan Silva (Last 14 days: 7-43 16.28%)
- Owner: Tijuana Racing Stables
- Sire: Improbable (USA)
- Dam: Firewater Rocket (USA)
- Dam's Sire: Macho Rocket (USA)
Video Highlights
-
Replay: 27th Jul 2026, finished 2nd - Thistledown -
Replay: 9th Apr 2026, finished 2nd - Mahoning Valley -
Replay: 19th Dec 2025, finished 1st - Mahoning Valley -
Replay: 2nd Dec 2025, finished 1st - Mahoning Valley -
Replay: 28th Oct 2025, finished 2nd - Mahoning Valley -
Replay: 9th Oct 2025, finished 2nd - Thistledown -
Replay: 12th Sep 2025, finished 2nd - Thistledown -
Replay: 11th Aug 2025, finished 2nd - Thistledown -
Replay: 2nd Jul 2025, finished 4th - Thistledown -
Replay: 18th Jun 2025, finished 2nd - Thistledown -
Replay: 13th May 2025, finished 1st - Thistledown -
Replay: 11th Nov 2024, finished 1st - Mahoning Valley
41 / 09994124222211 / 6642833325
| Type | Starts | Wins | Places | Prize Money | Strike Rate | P/L (£1 stake) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
All Weather
|
26 | 4 | 7 | 15.38% | -£10.37 | |
| Total | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15.38% | -£10.37 |
| Date (days since) | Race Details | Wgt. | OR | Result | SP | FF | Jockey | Finish Speed % | Efficiency | Stride Data | Video |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2025 (17) | Mvy 6F Claim $9k | 8-13 | 75 | Won/6 (1), Gamboling Ghost | 11/8 F | Future | |||||
| 02 Dec 2025 (35) | Mvy 5½F sloppy $9k | 8-11 | - | Won/8 (8), Picaro | 7/4 F | Future | |||||
| 13 May 2025 (20) | Thi 5½F Gd Claim $8k |
8-4
|
59 | Won/7 (3), Midnight Council | 4/1 | Future | |||||
| 11 Nov 2024 (12) | Mvy 5½F Gd Mdn $15k | 8-10 | 47 | Won/6 (6), Rose's Wish | 9/2 | Future | |||||
| Date (days since) | Race Details | Wgt. | OR | Result | SP | FF | Jockey | Finish Speed % | Efficiency | Stride Data | Video |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2026 (40) | Thi 6F Fs Claim $7k | 8-11 b | 82 | 2/9 (7), Minister For Magic | 5/2 F |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse25 runs, 9 wins (4 horses), 4 placed, 12 unplacedNext time out6 runs, 3 wins, 0 placed, 3 unplacedClass analysis0 runs up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 0 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 87; Highest placed OR: 88Index value813 from 6 horses |
|||||
| 19 Dec 2025 (17) | Mvy 6F Claim $9k | 8-13 | 75 | Won/6 (1), Gamboling Ghost | 11/8 F | Future | |||||
| 02 Dec 2025 (35) | Mvy 5½F sloppy $9k | 8-11 | - | Won/8 (8), Picaro | 7/4 F | Future | |||||
| 28 Oct 2025 (19) | Mvy 6F Claim $9k | 8-9 | 74 | 2/9 (2), Streets Of War | 7/4 F | Future | |||||
| 09 Oct 2025 (27) | Thi 5½F Fs Claim $8k |
8-4
|
79 | 2/6 (2), Tonight | 10/3 | Future | |||||
| 12 Sep 2025 (32) | Thi 6F Claim $8k |
8-4
|
77 | 2/6 (3), Gamboling Ghost | 9/2 | Future | |||||
| 11 Aug 2025 (40) | Thi 6F Fs Claim $8k |
8-4
|
74 | 2/8 (8), Coastertothemoon | 5/1 | Future | |||||
| 18 Jun 2025 (36) | Thi 8F Sloppy Claim $8k |
8-4
|
66 | 2/7 (1), Ramsey | 7/2 2F | Future | |||||
| 13 May 2025 (20) | Thi 5½F Gd Claim $8k |
8-4
|
59 | Won/7 (3), Midnight Council | 4/1 | Future | |||||
| 11 Nov 2024 (12) | Mvy 5½F Gd Mdn $15k | 8-10 | 47 | Won/6 (6), Rose's Wish | 9/2 | Future | |||||
| Date (days since) | Race Details | Wgt. | OR | Result | SP | FF | Jockey | Finish Speed % | Efficiency | Stride Data | Video |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug 2026 (21) | Qmt 6F Gd OptClaim $6k | 8-12 | 82 | 5/6 (6), Game Boy Benny | 9/2 2F |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse12 runs, 2 wins (2 horses), 2 placed, 8 unplacedNext time out4 runs, 0 wins, 1 placed, 3 unplacedClass analysis0 runs up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 0 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 86; Highest placed OR: 86Index value726 from 4 horses |
|||||
| 17 Jun 2026 (8) | Thi 5½F Claim $9k | 8-7 | 86 | 3/7 (6), Roundball Rock | 9/4 F |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse25 runs, 1 win (1 horse), 4 placed, 20 unplacedNext time out6 runs, 0 wins, 2 placed, 4 unplacedClass analysis0 runs up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 0 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 70; Highest placed OR: 84Index value452 from 6 horses |
|||||
| 09 Jun 2026 (19) | Thi 5½F Claim $7k | 8-7 | 86 | 3/6 (5), Stormin'unclejack | 5/2 2F |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse10 runs, 2 wins (1 horse), 1 placed, 7 unplacedNext time out4 runs, 1 win, 0 placed, 3 unplacedClass analysis0 runs up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 0 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 89; Highest placed OR: 92Index value602 from 4 horses |
|||||
| 21 May 2026 (19) | Thi 6F Fs Claim $7k | 8-7 | 86 | 3/7 (1), More Love | 9/2 |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse24 runs, 3 wins (2 horses), 4 placed, 17 unplacedNext time out5 runs, 1 win, 1 placed, 3 unplacedClass analysis0 runs up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 0 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 97; Highest placed OR: 97Index value661 from 5 horses |
|||||
| 02 May 2026 (23) | Thi 6F Sloppy Claim $10k | 8-11 | 83 | 8/8 (1), Atkins | 12/1 |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse31 runs, 6 wins (5 horses), 8 placed, 17 unplacedNext time out7 runs, 1 win, 1 placed, 5 unplacedClass analysis0 runs up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 0 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 96; Highest placed OR: 104Index value735 from 7 horses |
|||||
| 09 Apr 2026 (8) | Mvy 6F Claim $11k | 8-12 | 79 | 2/4 (3), Morethanreadyeddie | 13/2 | Future | |||||
| 01 Apr 2026 (19) | Mvy 6F Sloppy Claim $12k | 8-12 | 81 | 4/4 (5), Atkins | 4/1 | Future | |||||
| 13 Mar 2026 (16) | Mvy 6F Allow $16k | 8-12 | 82 | 6/6 (3), Just For The Money | 15/2 | Future | |||||
| 25 Feb 2026 (68) | Mvy 5½F Allow $16k | 8-12 | 80 | 6/11 (11), Brewing | 9/1 | Future | |||||
| 02 Jul 2025 (14) | Thi 8F Fs Claim $8k |
8-4
|
75 | 4/6 (6), Vinny And Leo (7½) | 18/5 | Future | |||||
| 23 Apr 2025 (17) | Thi 6F Fs Claim $8k |
8-4
|
58 | 4/9 (8), Coastertothemoon | 12/1 | Future | |||||
| 06 Apr 2025 (23) | Oak 6F Sloppy Claim $20k |
8-5
|
59 | 9/10 (10), Ceepeegee | 33/1 | Future |
92.82%
Speed Analysis
39.06
35.79
33.31
Early Pace: Even
|
C |
|
||
| 14 Mar 2025 (25) | Oak 6F Fs Claim $20k |
7-9
|
69 | 9/11 (9), Cloud Without Rein | 40/1 | Future |
90.86%
Speed Analysis
39.57
35.99
32.53
Early Pace: Ev-Fs
|
D |
|
||
| 17 Feb 2025 (22) | Oak 6F Fs Claim $22k | 8-3 | 58 | 9/10 (6), Lend It Tewmey | 50/1 | Future |
92.22%
Speed Analysis
39.40
36.51
33.46
Early Pace: Even
|
C |
|
||
| 26 Jan 2025 (76) | Oak 6F Claim $25k | 8-6 b1 | 63 | 11/11 (4), Pass Line | 40/1 | Future |
90.22%
Speed Analysis
39.52
34.71
31.53
Early Pace: Even
|
D |
|
||
| 30 Oct 2024 | Mvy 6F Fs Mdn $15k | 8-10 | - | 4/8 (7), Starofthegame | 10/1 | Future | |||||
| Date (days since) | Race Details | Wgt. | OR | Result | SP | FF | Jockey | Finish Speed % | Efficiency | Stride Data | Video |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug 2026 (21) | Qmt 6F Gd OptClaim $6k | 8-12 | 82 | 5/6 (6), Game Boy Benny | 9/2 2F |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse12 runs, 2 wins (2 horses), 2 placed, 8 unplacedNext time out4 runs, 0 wins, 1 placed, 3 unplacedClass analysis0 runs up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 0 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 86; Highest placed OR: 86Index value726 from 4 horses |
|||||
| 27 Jul 2026 (40) | Thi 6F Fs Claim $7k | 8-11 b | 82 | 2/9 (7), Minister For Magic | 5/2 F |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse25 runs, 9 wins (4 horses), 4 placed, 12 unplacedNext time out6 runs, 3 wins, 0 placed, 3 unplacedClass analysis0 runs up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 0 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 87; Highest placed OR: 88Index value813 from 6 horses |
|||||
| 17 Jun 2026 (8) | Thi 5½F Claim $9k | 8-7 | 86 | 3/7 (6), Roundball Rock | 9/4 F |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse25 runs, 1 win (1 horse), 4 placed, 20 unplacedNext time out6 runs, 0 wins, 2 placed, 4 unplacedClass analysis0 runs up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 0 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 70; Highest placed OR: 84Index value452 from 6 horses |
|||||
| 09 Jun 2026 (19) | Thi 5½F Claim $7k | 8-7 | 86 | 3/6 (5), Stormin'unclejack | 5/2 2F |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse10 runs, 2 wins (1 horse), 1 placed, 7 unplacedNext time out4 runs, 1 win, 0 placed, 3 unplacedClass analysis0 runs up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 0 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 89; Highest placed OR: 92Index value602 from 4 horses |
|||||
| 21 May 2026 (19) | Thi 6F Fs Claim $7k | 8-7 | 86 | 3/7 (1), More Love | 9/2 |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse24 runs, 3 wins (2 horses), 4 placed, 17 unplacedNext time out5 runs, 1 win, 1 placed, 3 unplacedClass analysis0 runs up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 0 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 97; Highest placed OR: 97Index value661 from 5 horses |
|||||
| 02 May 2026 (23) | Thi 6F Sloppy Claim $10k | 8-11 | 83 | 8/8 (1), Atkins | 12/1 |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse31 runs, 6 wins (5 horses), 8 placed, 17 unplacedNext time out7 runs, 1 win, 1 placed, 5 unplacedClass analysis0 runs up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 0 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 96; Highest placed OR: 104Index value735 from 7 horses |
|||||
| 09 Apr 2026 (8) | Mvy 6F Claim $11k | 8-12 | 79 | 2/4 (3), Morethanreadyeddie | 13/2 | Future | |||||
| 01 Apr 2026 (19) | Mvy 6F Sloppy Claim $12k | 8-12 | 81 | 4/4 (5), Atkins | 4/1 | Future | |||||
| 13 Mar 2026 (16) | Mvy 6F Allow $16k | 8-12 | 82 | 6/6 (3), Just For The Money | 15/2 | Future | |||||
| 25 Feb 2026 (68) | Mvy 5½F Allow $16k | 8-12 | 80 | 6/11 (11), Brewing | 9/1 | Future | |||||
| 19 Dec 2025 (17) | Mvy 6F Claim $9k | 8-13 | 75 | Won/6 (1), Gamboling Ghost | 11/8 F | Future | |||||
| 02 Dec 2025 (35) | Mvy 5½F sloppy $9k | 8-11 | - | Won/8 (8), Picaro | 7/4 F | Future | |||||
| 28 Oct 2025 (19) | Mvy 6F Claim $9k | 8-9 | 74 | 2/9 (2), Streets Of War | 7/4 F | Future | |||||
| 09 Oct 2025 (27) | Thi 5½F Fs Claim $8k |
8-4
|
79 | 2/6 (2), Tonight | 10/3 | Future | |||||
| 12 Sep 2025 (32) | Thi 6F Claim $8k |
8-4
|
77 | 2/6 (3), Gamboling Ghost | 9/2 | Future | |||||
| 11 Aug 2025 (40) | Thi 6F Fs Claim $8k |
8-4
|
74 | 2/8 (8), Coastertothemoon | 5/1 | Future | |||||
| 02 Jul 2025 (14) | Thi 8F Fs Claim $8k |
8-4
|
75 | 4/6 (6), Vinny And Leo (7½) | 18/5 | Future | |||||
| 18 Jun 2025 (36) | Thi 8F Sloppy Claim $8k |
8-4
|
66 | 2/7 (1), Ramsey | 7/2 2F | Future | |||||
| 13 May 2025 (20) | Thi 5½F Gd Claim $8k |
8-4
|
59 | Won/7 (3), Midnight Council | 4/1 | Future | |||||
| 23 Apr 2025 (17) | Thi 6F Fs Claim $8k |
8-4
|
58 | 4/9 (8), Coastertothemoon | 12/1 | Future | |||||
| 06 Apr 2025 (23) | Oak 6F Sloppy Claim $20k |
8-5
|
59 | 9/10 (10), Ceepeegee | 33/1 | Future |
92.82%
Speed Analysis
39.06
35.79
33.31
Early Pace: Even
|
C |
|
||
| 14 Mar 2025 (25) | Oak 6F Fs Claim $20k |
7-9
|
69 | 9/11 (9), Cloud Without Rein | 40/1 | Future |
90.86%
Speed Analysis
39.57
35.99
32.53
Early Pace: Ev-Fs
|
D |
|
||
| 17 Feb 2025 (22) | Oak 6F Fs Claim $22k | 8-3 | 58 | 9/10 (6), Lend It Tewmey | 50/1 | Future |
92.22%
Speed Analysis
39.40
36.51
33.46
Early Pace: Even
|
C |
|
||
| 26 Jan 2025 (76) | Oak 6F Claim $25k | 8-6 b1 | 63 | 11/11 (4), Pass Line | 40/1 | Future |
90.22%
Speed Analysis
39.52
34.71
31.53
Early Pace: Even
|
D |
|
||
| 11 Nov 2024 (12) | Mvy 5½F Gd Mdn $15k | 8-10 | 47 | Won/6 (6), Rose's Wish | 9/2 | Future | |||||
| 30 Oct 2024 | Mvy 6F Fs Mdn $15k | 8-10 | - | 4/8 (7), Starofthegame | 10/1 | Future | |||||
| No Future Entries |
R6 21:33 Oaklawn Park 18 Feb 2022
Claiming (4YO plus)
Winner $15,000 - 9 ran
6f
Fast Dirt (Dirt)
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