Paul Quigley's US Racing Preview

Paul has selections with analysis for Saturday night's stateside action from Belmont Park, Gulfstream Park and Woodbine, featuring two Grade 1's from Woodbine - live on Sky Sports Racing.

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PAUL'S ANALYSIS FROM Belmont Park, Gulfstream Park and Woodbine
Saturday 14 September 2019


The main focus of attention in North America on Saturday is in Canada. Woodbine host a quartet of graded stakes including The Northern Dancer (Grade 1). In truth, this is not a strong renewal in terms of quantity and quality. Not that the connections of Old Persian will care about that. The Godolphin owned colt may be the better for a comeback run in a Group 1 in Germany. James Doyle on him and Joel Rosario on Chad Brown’s Focus Group can’t afford to give the streaking Tiz a Slam too much of an easy lead however.

Trainer William Haggas has chances in two of the other graded stakes with Magnetic Charm in The Group 2 Canadian and Awesometank in The Woodbine Mile (Grade 1). Got Stormy a filly who beat the boys at Saratoga last month is the horse to beat there.


Woodbine Race 3 (7.14pm)
The Bold Venture (Grade 3) – 3 year olds and upwards – 6 ½ Furlongs – Tapeta

Two time Canadian champion sprint male Pink Lloyd (2) is a perfect five for five his year. His last three victories have come by wide margins starting with a four and a half length drubbing of Sable Island (4) in a Grade 3 in July. He’ll be odds on to maintain his unbeaten record and make it twenty two from twenty seven in his career.

Pink Lloyd was turned over at a short price in this race last year. On that occasion Yorkton (7) went to the front and never saw another rival winning by five lengths. The five year old has run well below that form in a trio of starts this term. Curlin's Honor (1) will take more money. He did finish a neck behind Sable Island (4) when they filled the places in a Grade 2 last month. That was on turf. The last time he raced on Tapeta, he ran Pink Lloyd close here in May.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Pink Lloyd (2)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

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Woodbine Race 7 (9.30pm)
The Canadian (Grade 2) – Fillies and Mares – 3 year olds and upwards – 1 1/8 Miles - Turf

Competitionofideas (5) will be well bet on the class drop. The last time she raced, she was a well held third to superstar barn mate Sistercharlie in The Grade 1 Beverly D at Arlington last month. She did win The Grade 1 American Oaks at Santa Anita last year but has not quite got up in a trio of Grade 2’s and 3’s before her run in Chicago. At Monmouth in July, she finished over a length in front of the ex Brazilian based Touriga (1) who was making her Stateside debut. She had far from a clean trip and is playable second time back in 2019.

Competitionofideas is a come from behinder in a race with no obvious frontrunner. The likely second favourite Holy Helena (2) also has more stamina than speed. Her last four stakes victories have come over distances in excess of nine furlongs. The latest was when beating Starship Jubilee (6) here in a Grade 2 her over a mile and a quarter in July.

Magnetic Charm (3) has been placed in back to back races at Ascot since winning on her reappearance at York in May. In theory, she is going up in class now taking on graded company. What may be massively in her favour is she is stepping up in trip and facing stayers in a paceless affair. She may be worth chancing at a decent price with that in mind.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Magnetic Charm (3)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
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Woodbine Race 9 (10.42pm)
The Woodbine Mile (Grade 1) – 3 year olds and upwards – 1 Mile - Turf

Got Stormy (5) is an improving filly on a roll. At Saratoga last month, she beat the boys easily including runner up Raging Bull (7). Both horses came from well back in an event where the early fractions were ridiculously fast. That pace scenario may have flattered her a little but it was still a super effort all the same.

There is speed signed on in this event. Stretch out sprinter Silent Poet (3) won a Grade 2 over seven furlongs last month. He has faded on both previous attempts in routes but this one turn mile is less of a test of stamina. The key to his chances may be avoiding a speed duel with American Guru (8).

Whilst Got Stormy is the most likely winner, she is beatable especially in an evenly run event. Synchrony (4) is a playable alternative. He ran America’s top turf horse Bricks and Mortar to a length and a quarter earlier this year. He had Emmaus (10) back in fourth when winning a Grade 2 over course and distance in June. He’s not raced since but is proven fresh. He looks playable along with Lucullan (2). He’s a five year old with very few miles on the clock. He’s won back to back starts including a stake at Saratoga after being away over a year.

Sistercharlie is the best turf female Stateside so Awesometank (6) running her to three length when runner up in The Grade 1 Beverly D. was a fine effort. The third Competitionofideas runs in race seven today. That run did not come out of the blue for William Haggas’s filly. She could work out a productive stalking trip just off the speed.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Synchrony (4)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
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Belmont Park Race 10 (10.57pm)
The Pebbles – A stake for 3 year old fillies – 1 Mile - Turf

Chad Brown’s Blowout (2) has been run down late on in back to back graded stakes over two turns at Saratoga. The last time he raced over this unique configuration, she had barn mate Seek and Destroy (4) back in third when taking a stake over course and distance in June.

Blowout has obvious claims but has little in hand over her rivals. Seek and Destroy (4) franked that runner up try to her with a decisive victory in a Grade 3 at Woodbine in June. Alasaayil (1) has to prove herself at this level. She has been freshened up after winning an allowance event in July. The third Passing Out (5) paid a compliment to that form by scoring at Saratoga last month.

The most likely to prevent Chad Brown from taking this stake is the former Kevin Ryan trained East (8). She ran a bit below form on her reappearance when behind Laurens in a Group 1 at Deauville in late July. On her CV is a fine third in The Group 1 French 1,000 Guineas and a distant second in The Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf last November.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Blowout (2)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
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Gulfstream Park Race 11 (11.03pm)
The Miss Gracie – A stake for 3 year old fillies – 7 ½ Furlongs - Turf

Vow to Recover (11) outran her odds when beaten a length and a half in a Grade 2 at Saratoga last month. She has to be respected on the class drop. The worry with her is she is likely to be a short price considering she has a poor draw and finished three lengths behind Zarina (2) in a stake here in July. Admittedly, she was caught up in traffic and has other form that makes her a contender. That said, the late running Zarina may be worth siding with. She is a progressive three year old who was parked behind even fractions last time. The projected race flow is better here.

Itsmyluckycharm (8) has been freshened up after back to back stakes victories in June. They came on the dirt but she is a three time winner on turf. The improving Isla Road (6) on the other hand is having her first start on grass. More ground and the surface switch could suit her. At a likely much bigger price Beautiful Ballad (9) is of interest. She had been away four months when behind Zarina last time.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Zarina (2)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
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Woodbine Race 10 (11.17pm)
The Northern Dancer (Grade 1) – 3 year olds and upwards – 1 ½ Miles - Turf

Old Persian (1) looked a progressive four year old. He won back to back stakes in Meydan in March including the prestigious Group 1 Dubai Sheema Classic. On his return to Britain, he ran no race in Epsom’s Group 1 Coronation Stakes. Freshened up, he ran third in a Group 1 in Berlin last month. He ran a shade disappointing in third. He did race keenly and may come on for the run. This race has come up really soft so even a repeat of his German form may be enough.

Old Persian can race handily. In a small field and a paceless looking affair, that may be a good thing. Tiz a Slam (6) has rattled up a graded stakes hat-trick from the front. In the latest, he beat Sir Sahib (5) by over four lengths. He’s been getting away with easy leads and may do so again. In contrast, Joel Rosario on Chad Brown’s Focus Group (3) will set his stall out at the rear and try to reel his rivals in late on. He was a winner of a Grade 2 at Gulfstream in March but has finished on the fringes in top company since. In terms of form, he is a contender here but will have to win this against his ideal race flow.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Old Persian (1)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Paul Quigley's US Racing Preview
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