Paul Quigley's US Racing Preview

Paul has selections with analysis for Thursday night's Stateside action from Gulfstream Park races 4 to 9 - live on Sky Sports Racing.

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PAUL'S ANALYSIS FROM Gulfstream Park races 4 to 9
Thursday 17 January 2019


Gulfstream Park Race 4 (7.03pm)
Allowance Optional Claiming – Florida bred fillies and mares – 4 year olds and upwards – 1 Mile - Turf

Supercommittee (8) has form in better races in New York. She ran evenly on dirt in an open event at Belmont on her last start in October but her form on turf is stronger. Now in the care of Chad Brown, she looks the gal to beat under Javier Castellano.

Supercommittee will likely be a short price and she’s not miles clears of the best of these on speed figures. The consistent Anabella Queen (2) is one alternative but she is on a long losing run. Last time out at this level over course and distance, she finished behind Reagan's Odyssey (1). That upgraded claimer seems capable of beating state breds based on that neck defeat. She draws well and has tactical speed in a paceless looking affair.

Dahlonega (3) who split Reagan's Odyssey and Anabella Queen is another who will be front rank in a race where the closers could be at a disadvantage.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Reagan's Odyssey (1)
EXOTIC BETS
Reversed Exacta (2 Bets) Reagan's Odyssey (1) and Supercommittee (8)

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Gulfstream Park Race 5 (7.33pm)
Maiden Special Weight – 3 year old fillies – 1 1/16 Miles - Dirt

Web o' Gold (8) has been placed in four of her five career races. Based on her efforts at Churchill and Ellis Park last year, she is the standard setter here. She ran a little below form on her local debut last month but she was bumped at the start and seemed to have an excuse.

Web o' Gold seems vulnerable to many lightly raced fillies in here. Most have only had one career start and are stepping up to a distance more in keeping with their pedigrees. C R Perfeck Candy (1) shaped well a sprint in Churchill on her debut last November. The stoutly bred Tapit's Princess (3) was never going to shine over five and a half furlongs on her unveiling last month. Neither was Dyna Passer (6) over a half a furlong further on her debut but she managed to close steadily to finish third. Her future probably lies on the turf being a half sister to mile and half Grade 1 Sword Dancer winner Saddler’s Joy. She may have enough improvement in her to break her maiden over a route distance on dirt.

Makealitlemischief (4) made her second start seven months after her debut in May. She had a troubled beginning but still managed to make the lead and stick around for a long time. She’s another likely improver in here.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Dyna Passer (6)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
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Gulfstream Park Race 6 (8.04pm)
Claiming $6.250 – Fillies and Mares – 4 year olds and upwards – Non winners of 3 races lifetime – 6 Furlongs - Dirt

Go Go Jak (3) was on a hat-trick when a decent runner up at this level last month. That was over seven furlongs and the pacey filly should be suited to a cut back in distance. She was claimed last time by Angel Rodriguez. The normally high percentage trainer has started this meet slowly. As her new owner is the colourful Frank Calabrese, the pressure will be to get an instant return on his investment.

Arabella Bella (2) has been trying tougher company over further on turf. The last time she sprinted on the dirt, she ran second in a $30,000 claimer. That was last spring when facing straight three year olds. Those races are often not as strong as the price tag suggests but it was still a good effort all the same.

Blue Whale (6) is a tough read. She was in no sort of form until winning at 25/1 here six days ago. That effort puts her right in the mix if lightning can strike twice. Barn mate Magnato Go (7) similarly won out of the blue late last month. She failed to back that up on short rest at today’s level.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Go Go Jak (3)
EXOTIC BETS
Reversed Exacta (2 Bets) Arabella Bella (2) and Go Go Jak (3)

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
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Gulfstream Park Race 7 (8.35pm)
Maiden Special Weight – 3 year olds – 5 Furlongs - Turf

Grenadier (2) has run well locally and prior to that in Kentucky. He is the standard setter along with Vehement (9) who showed ability at Saratoga and Kentucky Downs. Both runners have not run to the par figure for a sprint maiden on the turf at Gulfstream. With that in mind, the first time starters are worth a long look. Wes Ward has booked Jamie Spencer for Zipaway (10). His trainer has started this meet on fire and often has his firsters cranked up. So has Mark Casse the trainer of Yes I Am Free (1) and Todd Pletcher who runs Standup (5). The well related son of Into Mischief has worked well on grass lately and may be the answer in this tricky maiden.

Overleveraged (4) and Nobiz Like Jetbiz (8) have price appeal.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Standup (5)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
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Gulfstream Park Race 8 (9.06pm)
Claiming $20,000 – 3 year olds – 1 Mile - Dirt

Organic Jenny (6) had Our Pride (5) two lengths in arrears when a runner up in a slightly cheaper claimer here last month. That form may be good enough to see him contend but there are plenty in here dropping in class out of better races that look very dangerous. Homeboy (1) has struggled in a pair of non claimers including a stake since he returned last month. Junipero Avenue (2) faded in an allowance optional claimer over two turns at Laurel when last seen out in November. However, preference is for class-plunger Saint Michael (8). He landed a gamble on debut here in May. In his two starts since, he’s faced stakes company over six furlongs. He is stoutly bred so the step up in distance should suit. Blinkers on and the booking of Irad Ortiz suggest it’s go time for shrewd owners Monarch Stables.

Vampa (4) ran too bad to be true in the race Organic Jenny finished second in. He has decent back form. Now, after a claim, he is in the hands of high percentage trainer Jorge Navarro, and is a likely rebound candidate.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Saint Michael (8)
EXOTIC BETS
Reversed Exacta (2 Bets) Vampa (4) and Saint Michael (8)

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
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Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Gulfstream Park Race 9 (9.37pm)
Claiming $35,000 – 4 year olds and upwards – 1 Mile – Turf

Frontrunner Abiding Star (8) is the problem horse here. He was made favourite for a much better contest last month only to fold like a deckchair from halfway. The six year did go winless in 2018 but ran some super races including a runner up try in a Grade 3 at Monmouth in September. There is a good chance he’s not the horse he was but the class relief could wake him up. Maybe he’s worth a saver or a saver exacta with a runner like Night Prowler (9). He’s another with form in better contests. He made a fine return with a neck defeat in a starter optional claimer. His connections claimed him for $62,500 last September. At first glance it looks like they have given up on him but with what he has earned from them, they would be well in pocket if he wins and is claimed here.

Baltic Art (1) is well drawn and is now only facing straight claimers. His latest victory came for today’s claiming price over course and distance. King of Spades (7) is in career form and excelled himself when apparently in too deep last time. He has a chance at a price along with Cometin (2) who gets the services of Jose Ortiz. is

Bill Mott doesn’t claim many horses. He ‘took’ Sycamore Lane (4) for $25,000 in September and won second time with him in November. The one time stakes runner is competitively spotted on his return despite meeting higher priced claimers.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Night Prowler (9)
EXOTIC BETS
Reversed Exacta (2 Bets) Abiding Star (8) and Night Prowler (9)

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Paul Quigley's US Racing Preview
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