Paul Quigley's US Racing Preview

Paul has selections with analysis for Saturday night's stateside action from Gulfstream Park, Los Alamitos, Saratoga and Woodbine – live on Sky Sports Racing

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PAUL'S ANALYSIS FROM Gulfstream Park, Los Alamitos, Saratoga and Woodbine
Saturday 13 July 2019


There is no doubt that Saratoga’s Grade 1 Diana takes pride of place Stateside on Saturday. It’s no surprise trainer Chad Brown is multiple entered. He has no less than the four of the six fillies and mares entered. In truth, he could have entered another half a dozen, such is the quality he has in his care. The race sees the return of Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf Champion Sistercharlie. She will have to bring her A Game as barn mate Rushing Fall is a multiple winner at the highest level and Homerique looks like a Grade 1 winner waiting to happen.

I have previewed stakes from three other venues as well as races 3 to 9 from Saratoga.


Saratoga Race 3 (7.10pm)
The Sanford (Grade 3) – 2 year olds – 6 Furlongs - Dirt

Morning line favourite Cucina (3) ran second on debut at Gulfstream before graduating at Belmont last month. That came in the slop but he handled a dry track well first time out. Like all of this field, he is stepping up to six furlongs. His main rivals in the market and likely in the race are Raging Whiskey (2) and By Your Side (5). The first named was a subject of a private purchase after winning a maiden at Santa Anita last month. His trainer Doug O’Neill won the juvenile stake on Opening Day here. Slight preference is for By Your Side. He won at Churchill first time out just over four weeks ago. It was only by a neck but the winning time was a quick one.

Memorable (1) won on debut at Churchill before being well beaten in a stake at Belmont. Tomato Bill (4) was too good for a quartet of rivals at Delaware on his only start to date. He could be anything.

PAUL'S SELECTION
By Your Side (5)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
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Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Saratoga Race 4 (7.45pm)
Maiden Special Weight – 2 year olds – 5 ½ Furlongs - Dirt

Zyramid (6) was backed as if defeat was out the question on debut at Churchill last month. It wasn’t. He was part of a contested pace and faded to be a tame third. The fact that his trainer Steve Asmussen sends him here is a tip in itself, and he can leave that form behind. He has an experience edge on his likely market rivals. One of them is High Tide (1). He debuts for Todd Pletcher who has a fine record with firsters. He’s bred to need further in time but it will be no surprise if he has the speed to handle this distance.

Bill Mott has won with quite a few newcomers at this meet in the last couple of years but mainly on the turf. He has entered a pair here. Irked (3) is out of a Grade 2 winning dam. A market move for him or for barn mate Peddlers Pride (8) may be worth heeding.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Zyramid (6)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Saratoga Race 5 (8.21pm)
Allowance (entry level) – Fillies and Mares – 3 year olds and upwards – 5 ½ Furlongs - Turf

Originator (1) and Noble Freud (1A) make up a strong entry although you will have to back them individually with bookmakers over here. The first named was twice stakes placed last year but hasn’t raced since September. She did win first time out in her career so the lay off may not be an issue. Noble Freud has not been lasting home in longer races on the dirt. She has had success sprinting on the turf on this track.

Wes Ward’s Paper Clip (2) graduated with a nice score at Churchill in May. She could be anything. That’s definitely the case with Chad Brown’s Turf War (7) who is making her Stateside debut. She ended 2018 in France running over a mile but has sprinted well in the past. The fact that her trainer starts her off over five and a half furlongs suggests she has plenty of speed.

The last time Catch a Thrill (8) ran over one turn, she ran second in a strake at Gulfstream. She’s only had a trio of starts and looks one for the shortlist. At a likely bigger price the twice raced I'llhandalthecash (5) is worth a look. So too is Cache (3) trying the turf for the first time.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Originator (1)
EXOTIC BETS
Reversed Exacta (2 Bets) Originator (1) and Catch a Thrill (8)

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Saratoga Race 6 (9.01pm)
Maiden Special Weight – 2 year olds – 1 1/16 Miles – Turf

These juvenile route maidens on the turf at this meet are often won by runners who have had a ‘sighter’ or two over shorter. Field Pass (3) fits that mould. He was a closing runner up in a sprint maiden at Churchill Downs on debut last month. He’s stoutly bred on both sides of his hiss pedigree and should relish the longer distance.

Enforceable (4) and Kokokomo (1) look improvers now stepping up in trip. Mr Everything (6) may be with blinkers off and running first time as a gelding. He will be a price along with Cloudbased (9). His debut effort can be ignored as the maiden was rained off the turf. He may leave that form behind with a surface switch and more ground.

Decorated Invader (2), Mr Jaggers (8) and Cardiac Kid (10) are a trio of newcomers worth keeping an eye on.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Field Pass (3) - Longshot: Cloudbased (9)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Saratoga Race 7 (9.36pm)
Allowance (entry level) – New York bred 3 year olds and upwards – 6 Furlongs - Dirt

Lutsky (7) looks really interesting running first time for high percentage trainer Jorge Navarro. He has the back form to win this too. The one worry with him is he is a speed type and may be part of a crowded front end. That said, he is worth a saver or a saver exacta.

Kazmania (3) had a far from clean trip on his return at Belmont last month. He may improve for the run and is lightly raced. What makes him appealing at a decent price is he is a stalker/closer who should get pace to chase down. Bozzini (1) has a similar running style. He looks a rebound candidate after a poor run in open company at Pimlico.

New York Hero (6) came back to form with a decent third at this level at Belmont last month. Barn mate Red Zinger (8) looks interesting cutting back in distance. The twice-raced Amundson (9) probably has the most improvement in him of this field.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Kazmania (3)
EXOTIC BETS
Reversed Exacta (2 Bets) Kazmania (3) and Lutsky (7)

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Woodbine Race 8 (9.50pm)
The Ontario Matron – A stake for fillies and mares – 3 year olds and upwards – 1 1/16 Miles – Tapeta

Katie Baby (8) is an improving and lightly raced four year old. She went close in a Grade 3 last time on only her fifth career start. She steps up in distance from sprints but on pedigree it should suit her. One of her man rivals is barn mate Dixie Moon (11). She ran third in a Grade 3 over course and distance that a few of these gals ran in. The winner was Miss Mo Mentum (3). She is arguably the one to beat on that run. The worry with her is she has run big fresh before and not backed it up second time out.

Giovanna Blues (4) ran well behind Miss Mo Mentum but Ladies Night (5) ran an uncharacteristically poor race. In between the pair was Summer Luck (9) who ran well for a long way. She is a possible price chance along with the comebacking Sense of Bravery (6). She has been absent since September but has been working well. Off a Grade 3 runner up last summer on dirt, she is a big player here. If she handles this Tapeta surface, she may wire this field.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Miss Mo Mentum (3)
EXOTIC BETS
Combination Exacta (6 Bets) Miss Mo Mentum (3), Sense of Bravery (6) and Dixie Moon (11)

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Gulfstream Park Race 9 (9.50pm)
The Treasure Coast – A stake for fillies and mares – 3 year olds and upwards – 1 Mile - Turf

The comebacking Lafta Lafta (2) is the gal to beat here. She has been far from disgraced in graded company in her last two starts. The former French trained mare won her first two starts Stateside. That included a similar stake to this last September. An absence since March may not be an issue as she has won off a lay off before.

In contrast to Lafta, Una Luna (1) has ‘now’ form. She is on a hat-trick after back to back victories in May and June. She holds Lady Alida (9) off those runs. The mount of top local rider Emisael Jaramillo is a likely price chance here. Midnight Soiree (4) could be too. Ignore her comeback last month as the race was taken off the turf. She has the form in stakes on grass to put her at least on the podium.

Sean's Idea (7) had Cha Cha Heels (6) back in third when winning an allowance optional claimer here last month. If she gets a similar soft lead, she is very dangerous.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Lafta Lafta (2)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Saratoga Race 8 (10.11pm)
Maiden Special Weight – 3 year old fillies – 5 ½ Furlongs – Turf

A trio of once raced fillies are likely to head the market. Tan and Tight (2) ran second at Monmouth last month. It is interesting trainer Chad Brown now tries her on turf. First Wave (7) should have debuted on the grass at Churchill in May but the maiden was rained off. She was a decent runner up. She’s bred to handle turf.

Peaceful (6) would have graduated first time out at Monmouth but for completely blowing the start. She was a dozen lengths behind at one time and was only beaten two. The mount of Javier Castellano gets a narrow vote here.

Miss You Blues (5) has claims at her best but she is more exposed than the principals. Well bred newcomer Prosperity (3) is bred to need further but may have the class to contend.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Peaceful (6)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Saratoga Race 9 (10.46pm)
The Diana (Grade 1) - Fillies and Mares – 3 year olds and upwards – 1 1/8 Miles - Turf

Chad Brown trains four of the six fillies and mares entered here. One of them is the comebacking Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf Champion Sistercharlie (4). She is without question the gal to beat here. Her victory at Churchill was the last of a hat-trick of Grade 1 successes. It started off in this race last year and then she had barn mate Thais (1) back in third when she won The Beverly D. at Arlington in August. Lack of a race since November doesn’t seem to be an issue as she is proven fresh.

Sistercharlie can quicken sat behind a modest tempo but she may get decent fractions to chase down here. Mitchell Road (3), a progressive four year old for Bill Mott is a front end type. The last time she raced, she wired a Grade 3 field at Pimlico in May. She may be part of a lively pace duo with Rushing Fall (2), another Brown inmate. She is on a Grade 1 four timer and is still improving. She ended her last campaign and started this one with victories at the highest level at Keeneland. At Belmont last month, she was an all the way winner of The Grade 1 Just A Game

Secret Message (5) followed up a stakes win at Laurel with victory in a Grade 2 at Woodbine. She is a quality filly but such is the talent in here, she may be 14/1 or 16/1. Homerique (6) will be a lot shorter in price. She’s won both her starts Stateside since moving from France. She steps up from Grade 3 and Grade 2 company but may well handle the class rise. She’s been outfinishing her rivals in slowly run races. The impression is she idles and may be seen to best effect in a quicker run affair. The chances are that happens here.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Homerique (6)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Los Alamitos Race 6 (11.28pm)
The Los Alamitos Derby (Grade 3) – 3 year olds – 1 1/8 Miles - Dirt

Game Winner (1) is having his first start since a decent effort in The Grade 1 Kentucky Derby. The Champion Juvenile had previously finished second in back to back races including The Grade 1 Santa Anita Derby. He towers over his three rivals on form and will be long odds on.

Kingly (3) a barn mate of Game Winner is likely to be second favourite. He comes off a decent effort on a Grade 3 last month. He may be able to go to the lead and set a modest pace. Under that scenario, he is dangerous.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Game Winner (1)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Paul Quigley's US Racing Preview
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