Speed Ratings - by Lawrence Taylor

Speed expert Lawrence Taylor provides exclusive ratings and Speed Six analysis every day for At The Races. His best bets for Monday go at Brighton and Thirsk.

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THE JOY OF WINNING

 

JOYFUL DREAM (NAP) tops the chart on both best and LTO ratings having won two of it's last three starts. Both those wins were over course and distance.

He took a while to find the winners enclosure but is now making up for lost time.

His last losing start was when asked to race back over a mile, but he then returned to seven furlongs for a repeeat win and stays over that distance today.

 

Brighton 4-10 Handicap (Class 6) 7f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Joyful Dream  77  66  71  71  (50)  59  56
 Soaring Spirits  75  58  55  32  34  65  75
 Field Of Vision  73  60  45  --  66  67  49
 De Little Engine  73  44  (58)  71  51  46  73

LTO Speed: Joyful Dream 66 Field Of Vision 60 Soaring Spirits 58

Rest of the Speed Six...

Thirsk 5-35 Handicap (Class 6) 12f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Neileta  70  46  47  47  46  60  43
 Brutalab  64  64  --  32  58  46  56
 Half Bolly  61  61  --  --  (--)  (22)  (--)
 Alpasu  60  18  47  --  60  (21)  (47)

LTO Speed: Brutalab 64 Half Bolly 61 Feebi 59

Prior to his last start, BRUTALAB (NB) has been consistent enough finishing placed in half his preceeeding six run, but something else was needed, and that turned out to be a pair of cheekpieces. Their application had the desired effect allowing him to win a 15 runner handicap by a length and three quarters. As long as they still have the desired effect, he'll prove difficult too beat again.

 

Brighton 1-40 Handicap (Class 4) 6f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Mamillius  86  80  86  80  44  73  62
 Pour La Victoire  85  62  61  80  67  55  79
 Harrogate  85  85  73  70  80  (78)  62
 Whataguy  84  63  73  64  84  81  81

LTO Speed: Motagally 86 Harrogate 85 Mamillius 80

Mamillius has yet to win at 6f and the 9yo Pour La Victoire had to step up to 7f to regain winning ways, but HARROGATE returns to 6f having dropped back to 5f for it's last two starts having won on Epsom's undulations over 6f back in July. His last start was in a class 2 race where he finished a creditable third beaten one and a half lengths. This should be easier.

 

Worcester 2-50 Handicap Chase (Class 2) 16f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Poker School  126  48  114  103  126  114  104
 Adrrastos  112  112  60  104  73  68  76
 Utility  112  --  112  98  --  57  92
 Sizing Platinum  110  100  --  110  31  --  --

LTO Speed: Adrrastos 112 Sizing Platinum 100 Atlantic Storm 96

Poker School drops back to 2 miles over which he's yet to win a chase, whereas ADRRASTOS won over course and distance a couple of starts back. It's good speed rating came when chasing home Ardera Cross at Cartmel last month and he's been running consistently since returning from a 502 day break in March.

 

Thirsk 3-30 Handicap (Class 6) 6f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Brockey Rise  87  68  68  (53)  87  --  52
 Cupid's Arrow  85  64  71  68  43  77  85
 Spirit Of Zebedee  81  62  75  81  78  75  72
 Optimickstickhill  80  (41)  67  66  64  75  80

LTO Speed: Fard 76 Brockey Rise 68 Roaring Rory 68

This is a selling handicap, and top rated BROCKEY RISE has won and finished second in the two selling handicaps he's contested. His chart topping speed rating came from such a contest back in June over course and distance when beaten just a neck by Ninjago. A reproduction of that run today would see him going close to winning at a juicy price.

 

Thirsk 4-30 Handicap (Class 5) 8f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Alfa Dawn  87  52  51  66  60  87  --
 Ideal Candy  85  74  56  66  46  65  78
 Florenza  85  74  64  --  77  72  (53)
 Harvest Day  79  79  77  53  79  75  (59)

LTO Speed: Harvest Day 79 Ideal Candy 74 Florenza 74

IDEAL CANDY is a consistent filly who's been knocking on the door this season having finished second on four separate occasions. She usually leads her races and steps back to a mile today having been contesting mainly 10f races from the front. If she can stack them up behind her, then kick on turning into the straight, she could have the speed to hold the pack at bay over this shorter trip.

 



Rest of the racecards...

 

Brighton

Brighton 1-40 Handicap (Class 4) 6f (See Speed Six)


Brighton 2-10 Maiden (Class 6) 7f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Simply Susan  50  42  50  --  --  --  --
 Annie Quickstep  45  45  19  --  --  --  --
 Never In Red  40  (42)  16  40  --  --  --
 Grace Note  0  --  (20)  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Great Aim 55 Annie Quickstep 45 Simply Susan 42

Brighton 2-40 Handicap (Class 6) 10f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Mongolia  74  45  --  74  65  62  (51)
 Prerogative  68  52  56  (33)  68  42  39
 Diviner  66  40  --  51  66  49  47
 Ramatuelle  64  53  (55)  61  64  (--)  --

LTO Speed: Dawn Treader 67 Barrsbrook 57 Ramatuelle 53

Brighton 3-10 Handicap (Class 6) 12f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Passing Clouds  80  80  52  --  34  (66)  (49)
 Winter Snowdrop  69  38  69  59  63  60  (35)
 King Athelstan  68  61  52  40  46  68  --
 It's How We Roll  64  (63)  54  64  59  49  (51)

LTO Speed: Passing Clouds 80 It's How We Roll 63 King Athelstan 61

Brighton 3-40 Handicap (Class 5) 8f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Juanito Chico  83  76  70  51  50  80  76
 Waqt  82  63  59  --  71  82  46
 Aubretia  81  73  39  44  76  81  --
 Wilson  76  67  76  66  62  --  (25)

LTO Speed: Juanito Chico 76 Aubretia 73 Wilson 67

Brighton 4-10 Handicap (Class 6) 7f (See Speed Six)


Brighton 4-40 Handicap (Class 6) 5f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Haveoneyerself  77  45  47  77  55  43  (39)
 Knockout Blow  75  42  61  75  71  (51)  (71)
 Hellovaqueen  73  63  73  59  62  36  --
 Ghepardo  73  49  73  51  64  67  (66)

LTO Speed: Big Time Maybe 69 Threefeetfromgold 69 Hellovaqueen 63

Galway

Galway 3-45 Novices/Maiden Hurdle 17f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Pakens Rock  88  53  68  88  (--)  (--)  (--)
 Future Proof  85  61  85  81  69  --  --
 Mooltazem  82  --  54  82  65  --  --
 Here In The Dark  67  (--)  --  29  37  67  --

LTO Speed: Future Proof 61 Art Of America 57 Pakens Rock 53

Galway 4-15 Claiming Hurdle 19f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Comehere Hi  97  64  97  --  (--)  (92)  89
 Solar Heat  94  94  65  82  --  --  86
 Viscount Wilson  90  --  77  --  --  90  --
 Winston Wolfe  89  27  73  46  89  --  --

LTO Speed: My Manekineko 102 Solar Heat 94 Muroor 64

Galway 4-45 Novices/Maiden Hurdle 21f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Military Hill  68  68  --  --  --  --  --
 Fur Elise  68  --  (--)  68  --  (--)  (--)
 Castle Canny  52  52  --  --  --  --  --
 Three Is Company  50  39  25  50  (--)  --  --

LTO Speed: Military Hill 68 Castle Canny 52 Three Is Company 39

Galway 5-15 Conditions Hurdle 21f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Great White Shark  103  56  97  103  78  84  --
 Western Victory  103  27  81  96  103  50  89
 Awayinthewest  97  89  82  78  40  81  44
 Jaime Sommers  83  83  73  --  15  (--)  (66)

LTO Speed: Awayinthewest 89 Jaime Sommers 83 Sweet Sting 68

Galway 5-45 Handicap Hurdle 17f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Water Sprite  96  69  41  --  --  --  46
 Jazz Ranger  90  73  90  --  --  38  --
 Moyode Lady  89  89  68  74  (--)  --  (--)
 Effernock Lad  88  (90)  61  79  (88)  (--)  (46)

LTO Speed: Effernock Lad 90 Moyode Lady 89 Roachdale House 84

Galway 6-15 Novices/Maiden Chase 18f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Stormey  77  69  (83)  60  (--)  59  --
 Charlie Stout  70  70  56  (61)  52  --  (73)
 Tourboy  68  --  45  68  --  (--)  (--)
 It's Only A Number  63  63  (--)  (--)  (--)  (42)  --

LTO Speed: Lever Du Soleil 88 Fred The Foot 78 Dawn Raider 70

Galway 6-45 Handicap Chase 22f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Little Haarth  91  (39)  (47)  (--)  86  91  65
 Ballybrowney Jack  89  --  9  --  --  89  --
 Island Master  88  84  88  --  --  --  --
 Persian Wind  78  --  78  (55)  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Island Master 84 Gunfire Reef 45 Little Haarth 39

Kempton

Kempton 4-55 Handicap (Class 6) 7f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Treaty Of Dingle  46  33  46  (40)  (54)  --  --
 Koovers  44  44  (--)  (--)  --  --  --
 Interrupted Dream  36  36  (--)  26  (--)  (51)  33
 Grace Plunkett  31  --  31  (52)  (32)  (28)  (22)

LTO Speed: Comvida 60 Koovers 44 Interrupted Dream 36

Kempton 5-30 Stakes (Class 5) 6f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Twice As Likely  56  56  (36)  (34)  (49)  (58)  (62)
 The Blue Bower  55  (53)  (--)  (53)  (--)  55  --
 Fair Sabra  38  38  (--)  --  --  --  --
 Stopnsearch  36  36  (16)  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Progressive Rating 63 Twice As Likely 56 The Blue Bower 53

Kempton 6-00 Handicap (Class 6) 8f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Broughtons Compass  57  51  57  (45)  36  (--)  --
 Inflamed  55  36  55  (56)  (--)  (40)  --
 Um Elnadim  44  (14)  44  (10)  --  --  --
 Jungle Book  38  (70)  38  17  (43)  --  --

LTO Speed: Jungle Book 70 Lexington Quest 66 Son Of Prancealot 61

Kempton 6-30 Maiden (Class 5) 8f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Characteristic  71  64  60  71  --  --  --
 Jack D'Or  61  (71)  (59)  61  (--)  (59)  --
 Uzincso  49  49  30  --  --  --  --
 Don't Jump George  41  41  (56)  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Jack D'Or 71 Characteristic 64 Master Milliner 55

Kempton 7-00 Handicap (Class 4) 12f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Alma Linda  76  75  64  65  62  76  62
 Sashenka  70  (54)  (61)  (51)  (48)  (53)  70
 Robert L'Echelle  70  70  (17)  (47)  54  --  --
 Cafe Espresso  68  (22)  (--)  (63)  (73)  68  52

LTO Speed: Alma Linda 75 Robert L'Echelle 70 Dubai Discovery 65

Kempton 7-30 Handicap (Class 6) 12f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Lucky Lou  70  (--)  (30)  (66)  (56)  25  70
 Percy's Prince  61  35  61  52  --  --  --
 Dolly Dupree  60  44  (--)  (35)  (--)  51  --
 Savoy Brown  58  51  (28)  (66)  (37)  58  --

LTO Speed: Celtic Classic 51 Savoy Brown 51 Waterproof 49

Kempton 8-00 Handicap (Class 6) 7f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Rock In Society  77  49  (60)  (23)  (39)  (48)  48
 Holy Tiber  73  49  (--)  (63)  53  (70)  73
 Mystical Moon  72  48  49  57  (17)  62  (31)
 Ubla  70  (51)  (46)  (40)  45  57  70

LTO Speed: Prince Rock 64 Flying Sakhee 60 Three C's 51

Kempton 8-30 Handicap (Class 6) 7f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Independence Day  77  (65)  --  43  39  62  50
 Tavener  75  (51)  (58)  (41)  (--)  58  49
 Indian Affair  74  (46)  (42)  (31)  (--)  (51)  53
 Cauthen  72  (60)  61  44  72  42  42

LTO Speed: Brigand 66 Independence Day 65 Tarseekh 62

Thirsk

Thirsk 2-00 Handicap (Class 6) 6f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Wots The Wifi Code  75  75  58  --  60  --  --
 Ma Boy Harris  54  (--)  (47)  46  38  54  --
 Royal Lightning  53  (--)  18  42  53  --  --
 Baileys Prayer  52  48  52  30  31  --  --

LTO Speed: Wots The Wifi Code 75 Baileys Prayer 48 Rebel Redemption 46

Thirsk 2-30 Handicap (Class 6) 6f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Tiltilys Rock  70  70  37  (--)  --  28  35
 Prissy Missy  64  48  64  39  (30)  48  51
 Geepower  56  --  45  --  39  56  32
 Pearl Stream  55  (27)  55  33  29  --  --

LTO Speed: Tiltilys Rock 70 Mr Gus 48 Prissy Missy 48

Thirsk 3-00 Stakes (Class 6) 7f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Hartswood  69  69  51  --  --  --  --
 Challet  69  69  --  --  --  --  --
 Clifftop Heaven  52  52  18  --  --  --  --
 King's Charisma  42  42  33  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Hartswood 69 Challet 69 Clifftop Heaven 52

Thirsk 3-30 Handicap (Class 6) 6f (See Speed Six)


Thirsk 4-00 Stakes (Class 4) 12f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Ahorsewithnoname  76  76  56  --  --  --  --
 No Dress Rehearsal  75  57  75  --  75  --  --
 Vibrance  59  (52)  (73)  50  59  --  --
 Strictly Legal  16  16  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Ahorsewithnoname 76 No Dress Rehearsal 57 Vibrance 52

Thirsk 4-30 Handicap (Class 5) 8f (See Speed Six)


Thirsk 5-00 Handicap (Class 5) 7f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Esprit De Corps  87  76  73  78  77  73  87
 Smugglers Creek  85  (28)  85  61  38  76  30
 Alfa McGuire  84  (66)  --  84  (46)  55  49
 Twin Appeal  84  84  75  77  83  71  72

LTO Speed: Twin Appeal 84 Esprit De Corps 76 Start Time 74

Thirsk 5-35 Handicap (Class 6) 12f (See Speed Six)


Worcester

Worcester 1-50 Handicap Chase (Class 5) 23f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Howlongisafoot  99  (39)  (--)  (--)  (--)  (--)  (--)
 Beni Light  79  79  --  --  --  --  --
 Heavenly Promise  77  --  --  --  (--)  77  --
 Water Wagtail  76  76  --  76  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Beni Light 79 Water Wagtail 76 Bring Back Charlie 70

Worcester 2-20 Novices/Maiden Chase (Class 4) 20f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Francky Du Berlais  103  95  --  103  (--)  (37)  (102)
 Mellow Ben  93  93  --  (54)  (100)  (101)  (83)
 Really Super  0  (88)  (--)  (--)  (36)  (32)  --
 Whatthebutlersaw  0  (--)  (--)  (28)  --  --  --

LTO Speed: Francky Du Berlais 95 Mellow Ben 93 Really Super 88

Worcester 2-50 Handicap Chase (Class 2) 16f (See Speed Six)


Worcester 3-20 NH Flat Race (Class 5) 16f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Auntie Neila  0  --  --  --  --  --  --
 Socks  0  --  --  --  --  --  --
 Make Haste Slowly  0  --  --  --  --  --  --
 Lex Atinia  0  --  --  --  --  --  --

LTO Speed:

Worcester 3-50 Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) 23f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Tea Time Fred  95  61  73  52  46  --  84
 Jimmy Rabbitte  91  87  45  40  89  86  91
 Hattaab  90  --  82  --  79  90  63
 Lord In Red  84  (77)  --  (--)  (--)  (69)  (--)

LTO Speed: Jimmy Rabbitte 87 Lord In Red 77 Ballycross 69

Worcester 4-20 Novices/Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) 16f

 Horse  Best  Lto  2nd  3rd  4th  5th  6th
 Miss Brooklyn  87  62  27  87  (--)  --  --
 Josie Abbing  78  78  (--)  (--)  (--)  --  --
 Arcade Attraction  74  --  74  65  --  --  --
 Mix Of Clover  63  46  52  63  53  --  (--)

LTO Speed: Josie Abbing 78 Miss Brooklyn 62 Affluence 53

 



 

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