Updated 8.44 - All selections are now online
EPEIUS is exposed, but he shaped well in two class 5 events at Newcastle in September and November, and if he’s close to his best he should go well back in class 6 company over the same course and distance this evening (7.45).
He enjoyed no luck in running when 6th in September, and then pulled a long way clear with favourite Lucky Lodge in November. The third horse, First excel, has been placed five times since, including twice at Newcastle (albeit over 5f), and the form has a solid look, even if there may have been a bias towards those drawn high on that card.
He wasn’t at his best at Southwell last time, but he’s of more interest back over this course and distance, as he has four or five pieces of form on the clock here that would see him go close in this contest.
Hugh's Best Bets (scale 1-5 points):
1pt win EPEIUS ( 6-1 general - 11-2 bet365, Betfair, Paddy Power)
Hugh gives a daily indication of when the column will be published via Twitter.com (username is HughRacing). You can also listen to a podcast in which Hugh explains the methodology behind the column here.
Hugh recorded a profit of +345pts in 2018, and a ROI of 1.55, his highest ever. With regards to Betfair SP, Hugh recorded a profit of +66pts (ROI of 1.11) before commission. You can view his monthly figures by clicking the links below:
2018 results ROI 1.55 +345pts
2017 results ROI 1.46 +282pts
2016 results ROI 1.44 +281pts
2015 results ROI 1.34 +207pts
2014 results ROI 1.32 +199.79pts
2013 results ROI 1.32 +210pts
2012 results ROI 1.31 +222.65pts
2011 results ROI 1.28 +302.64 pts
2010 results ROI 1.23 +324.79 pts
2009 results ROI 1.26 +500.36 pts