Updated 8.56, 9.15 - All selections are now online
ATYAAF has run creditably on his last two starts and should have the race run to suit in the 5f handicap at Beverley today (2.15).
He caught the eye on his penultimate start at Redcar, finishing well into fourth and leaving the impression that a stiffer track should suit.
He couldn’t build on that at Nottingham last time, but ran creditably up in grade, not beaten far and one of five that pulled clear.
His stable has struggled for winners in recent months, but has had a couple of sprinters run well lately, and with Atyaaf himself running creditably, he looks to have reasonable prospects in an open race.
RELIGHT MY FIRE is a 9yo now, but he has been sparked by the refitting of blinkers in each of the last three seasons and it might be worth chancing that the same change works again at Beverley today (3.45).
He hasn’t really been in much form this year, but that was also the case last year until cheekpieces were replaced with blinkers, whereupon he won readily at Salisbury.
In 2017 he also came back to form from out of the blue here when blinkers replaced cheekpieces, shaping like the best horse of the weights but doing too much too soon.
In 2016 when the cheekpieces were first swapped for blinkers he was beaten by the narrowest of margins at Ripon after looking all over the winner.
Whether the switch will work again as a 9yo remains to be seen, but he is racing off a career-low mark, and from a reasonable draw over a course and distance that he knows like the back of his hand, he looks worth chancing.
Hugh's Best Bets (scale 1-5 points):
1pt win ATYAAF ( 15-2 William Hill, Betfair, Paddy Power, 7-1 general )
1pt win RELIGHT MY FIRE ( 8-1 Ladbroke, Coral, 15-2 general, 7-1 William Hill, Betfair, Paddy Power )
Hugh gives a daily indication of when the column will be published via Twitter.com (username is HughRacing). You can also listen to a Final Furlong Podcast special in which Hugh explains the methodology behind the column here.
Hugh recorded a profit of +345pts in 2018, and a ROI of 1.55, his highest ever. With regards to Betfair SP, Hugh recorded a profit of +66pts (ROI of 1.11) before commission. You can view his monthly figures by clicking the links below:
2018 results ROI 1.55 +345pts
2017 results ROI 1.46 +282pts
2016 results ROI 1.44 +281pts
2015 results ROI 1.34 +207pts
2014 results ROI 1.32 +199.79pts
2013 results ROI 1.32 +210pts
2012 results ROI 1.31 +222.65pts
2011 results ROI 1.28 +302.64 pts
2010 results ROI 1.23 +324.79 pts
2009 results ROI 1.26 +500.36 pts