Updated 9.14, 9.23 - no further bets.
SASHENKA’s standout performance came on her debut on her sole all-weather outing to date, and she might be suited by the return to an artificial surface in the 1m4f 3yo handicap at Kempton (7.00).
On that debut over 1m at Lingfield in March, she found herself very poorly positioned, still last turning for home and a long way behind the leader and eventual winner, but she picked up really well to finish second, recording the fastest final 2f on the whole card in the process according to the Total Performance Data sectional times.
She won a little race at Lingfield three outings ago and shaped better than the bare result on her two most recent starts at Newbury (went off too hard on the first occasion, then probably found the soft ground blunting her finishing effort having made a big move early in the straight).
It’s the return to the all-weather that makes her of interest, and although this looks a competitive race, it shouldn’t be a total surprise if she improves significantly on her recent form.
DIVINE CONNECTION has been unlucky with the draw again at Kempton, but she has left the impression she has more ability than she has been able to show to date and she might be able to underline that on her nursery debut (Kempton 6.00).
She has run in some quite warm novice events in her three qualifying starts, and the distance she was beaten here last time looks a bit misleading, partly because of the quality of the opposition – the winner was beaten only two lengths in the Group 2 May Hill Stakes next time – but also because she was poorly positioned throughout from her high draw.
She’ll need the run of the race to go more her way this time having again been drawn wide, but if she can take up a reasonable position in the early stages, she might leave her previous form behind.
Hugh's Best Bets (scale 1-5 points):
1pt win DIVINE CONNECTION (16-1 William Hill, 14-1 general)
1pt win SASHENKA (25-1 bet365, Coral, 22-1 general)
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2018 results ROI 1.55 +345pts
2017 results ROI 1.46 +282pts
2016 results ROI 1.44 +281pts
2015 results ROI 1.34 +207pts
2014 results ROI 1.32 +199.79pts
2013 results ROI 1.32 +210pts
2012 results ROI 1.31 +222.65pts
2011 results ROI 1.28 +302.64 pts
2010 results ROI 1.23 +324.79 pts
2009 results ROI 1.26 +500.36 pts