Published 25 May
ANAPURNA looks to have a stronger middle-distance pedigree than stablemate Mehdaayh and rates the value for the Investec Oaks at around four times the price of the favourite.
At the time of writing Frankie Dettori has yet to state publicly which of the John Gosden-trained duo he will be riding, suggesting it’s a much closer call than the market implies.
Dettori, who was on board Fanny Logan in the Cheshire Oaks won by Mehdaayh (Rab Havlin) would have been impressed by Anapurna after partnering her to an eased-down six-length success in the Lingfield trial.
That was on soft ground but another pertinent point about her pedigree is it suggests she could be even more effective on a quicker surface.
By the mighty Frankel - who coped with all types of terrain but whose progeny are already showing a bias towards good or faster ground (43 and 39 per cent strike rates on good and good to firm, compared to 21 per cent on both soft and heavy) - she’s out of Dash To The Top, who was at her best on a sound surface.
The mare’s standout efforts were a close second in the Yorkshire Oaks, third in the Fillies’ Mile as a two-year-old, and she also won a Listed race at Newcastle - all on good/good to firm ground (that victory came before the Gosforth Park track switched to AW on the flat).
Furthermore the selection’s siblings to date have generally appeared better suited to decent ground.
It’s also worth noting the smart time she clocked at Lingfield - only half a second slower than Derby trial winner Anthony Van Dyck, who had to work harder and is as short as 9-2 for the premier classic.
Proven on a similar track to Epsom and open to further significant improvement - very green on her only 2yo start, she still looked to be learning on the job last time (niggled along briefly before mid-race and galvanised to lead two out) - she has plenty going for her.
Recommended Bet (scale 1-5 points):
Investec Oaks at Epsom 31 May
1pt each way ANAPURNA ( 10-1 Betfair, Paddy Power, Boylesports, 9-1 general )
Betfair Best Odds On ITV Races Festival Stakes at Goodwood on Saturday
1pt each way WILLIE JOHN ( 10-1 )
Investec Derby at Epsom 1st June
1pt each way BANGKOK ( 10-1 )
Gary provides regular ante-post updates on Twitter. His username is @horsetraderinfo.@horsetraderinfo