Soft Risk - Horse Profile & Next Race Odds
- 10-y-o bay gelding
- Trainer: N G Richards (Last 14 days: 2-16 12.5%)
- Owner: Mr James Westoll
- Jockey: Sean Quinlan (Last 14 days: 3-25 12%)
- Sire: My Risk (FR)
- Dam: Douce Ambiance (FR)
- Dam's Sire: Kouroun (FR)
Video Highlights
Stable Tour Quotes
111122 / 1
| Type | Starts | Wins | Places | Prize Money | Strike Rate | P/L (£1 stake) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Chase
|
1 | 1 | 0 | £7,895 | 100% | £0.73 |
|
Hurdle
|
5 | 3 | 2 | £13,342 | 60.0% | -£0.88 |
|
NH Flat
|
1 | 1 | 0 | £1,906 | 100% | £3 |
| Total | 7 | 5 | 2 | £23,143 | 71.43% | £2.85 |
Next Race: Carlisle, Monday 16th February 13:35, 16F Hurdle: soft-good to soft in places; chase: good to soft-soft in places
13:35 Carlisle 16 Feb 2026
Racing TV Handicap Chase
GBB Race | Class 3 | 5YO plus
Winner £7,922 - 9 declared to run
Hurdle: soft-good to soft in places; chase: good to soft-soft in places
Draw Advantage: None
Forecast: Light showers
Temperature: -0.1° - 8.2°
Rainfall: 0.97mm
Wind: 10.0 mph NW
Last Update: 15/02/2026 17:00x
Form snapshot
Winner of three hurdle races, a NH flat race and a chase at 2m on ground varying from good to soft to heavy, but last win was over two years ago. Won on his latest outing in a chase when 8-11fav at Ayr over 2m (soft) in December '23, beating The Flier Begley by 4l.
Expert View
Landed a handicap by 4l off a 2lb lower mark at Ayr last time and was absent for a very lengthy period before that. Effective at 2m and acts with cut; progressive when last seen, lightly raced and from a good yard despite issues. Has won fresh and mark looks generous.
Predictor
Pace (Forecast: Weak)
Pace Rating is 6
FormScan
No Data
Attributes
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Jumps Races | 6 | 4 | 2 | 66.7% | |
| Chase | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| Course and Distance | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Course | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| D | Distance | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% |
| G | Similar Going | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% |
| Headgear | |||||
| Today (No Headgear) | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% | |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% |
| This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Connections | |||||
| J | Sean Quinlan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33.3% |
| T | N G Richards | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
| Date (days since) | Race Details | Wgt. | Result | SP | FF | Jockey | OR | Sectional Data | Video | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2023 (628) | Ayr 16½F Sft Cl3 NovHcpCh £7k | 11-8 | Won/3 The Flier Begley (4) | 8/11 F |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse12 runs, 1 win (1 horse), 2 placed, 9 unplacedNext time out2 runs, 0 wins, 0 placed, 2 unplacedClass analysis0 runs up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 0 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 117; Highest placed OR: 127Index value360 from 2 horses |
124 |
97.83%
Speed Analysis
30.49
28.06
28.06
Early Pace: Fast
|
E | |||
| 16 Jan 2022 (18) | Kel 16F GS Cl4 NovHdl £4k | 11-10 | Won/10 Travail D'orfevre (3¼) | 2/5 F |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse42 runs, 11 wins (7 horses), 8 placed, 23 unplacedNext time out8 runs, 0 wins, 0 placed, 8 unplacedClass analysis1 run up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 1 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 108; Highest placed OR: 114Index value405 from 8 horses |
123 | |||||
| 29 Dec 2021 (43) | Kel 16F Sft Cl4 NovHdl £4k | 11-5 | Won/9 Scots Poet (22) | 2/9 F |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse40 runs, 4 wins (3 horses), 5 placed, 31 unplacedNext time out8 runs, 1 win, 0 placed, 7 unplacedClass analysis1 run up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 1 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 95; Highest placed OR: 95Index value367 from 8 horses |
- | |||||
| 16 Nov 2021 (196) | Ayr 16F GS Cl4 NovHdl £4k | 10-12 | Won/11 Well Planted (5) | 1/2 F |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse55 runs, 6 wins (6 horses), 14 placed, 35 unplacedNext time out10 runs, 0 wins, 1 placed, 9 unplacedClass analysis3 runs up in class, 1 win, 0 placed, 2 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 102; Highest placed OR: 107Index value494 from 10 horses |
- | |||||
| 04 May 2021 | Ayr 16F Sft Cl5 NHFDiv2 £1k | 11-0 | Won/8 Fathers Advice (9) | 3/1 2F | Future | - | |||||
| Date (days since) | Race Details | Wgt. | Result | SP | FF | Jockey | OR | Sectional Data | Video | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2023 (628) | Ayr 16½F Sft Cl3 NovHcpCh £7k | 11-8 | Won/3 The Flier Begley (4) | 8/11 F |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse12 runs, 1 win (1 horse), 2 placed, 9 unplacedNext time out2 runs, 0 wins, 0 placed, 2 unplacedClass analysis0 runs up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 0 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 117; Highest placed OR: 127Index value360 from 2 horses |
124 |
97.83%
Speed Analysis
30.49
28.06
28.06
Early Pace: Fast
|
E | |||
| 01 Apr 2022 (34) | Ayr 16F GS Cl3 HcpHdl £7k | 11-6 | 2/7 Platinumcard (1¼) | 9/4 2F |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse35 runs, 5 wins (4 horses), 6 placed, 24 unplacedNext time out6 runs, 1 win, 1 placed, 4 unplacedClass analysis11 runs up in class, 0 wins, 3 placed, 8 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 132; Highest placed OR: 132Index value1097 from 6 horses |
124 | |||||
| 26 Feb 2022 (41) | Ncs 16F GS Cl2 HcpHdl £10k | 11-2 | 2/5 Since Day One (3¼) | 1/1 F |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse24 runs, 4 wins (2 horses), 2 placed, 18 unplacedNext time out4 runs, 0 wins, 0 placed, 4 unplacedClass analysis1 run up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 1 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 132; Highest placed OR: 132Index value354 from 4 horses |
123 |
103.39%
Speed Analysis
30.20
31.82
32.65
Early Pace: Slow
|
F |
|
||
| 16 Jan 2022 (18) | Kel 16F GS Cl4 NovHdl £4k | 11-10 | Won/10 Travail D'orfevre (3¼) | 2/5 F |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse42 runs, 11 wins (7 horses), 8 placed, 23 unplacedNext time out8 runs, 0 wins, 0 placed, 8 unplacedClass analysis1 run up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 1 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 108; Highest placed OR: 114Index value405 from 8 horses |
123 | |||||
| 29 Dec 2021 (43) | Kel 16F Sft Cl4 NovHdl £4k | 11-5 | Won/9 Scots Poet (22) | 2/9 F |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse40 runs, 4 wins (3 horses), 5 placed, 31 unplacedNext time out8 runs, 1 win, 0 placed, 7 unplacedClass analysis1 run up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 1 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 95; Highest placed OR: 95Index value367 from 8 horses |
- | |||||
| 16 Nov 2021 (196) | Ayr 16F GS Cl4 NovHdl £4k | 10-12 | Won/11 Well Planted (5) | 1/2 F |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse55 runs, 6 wins (6 horses), 14 placed, 35 unplacedNext time out10 runs, 0 wins, 1 placed, 9 unplacedClass analysis3 runs up in class, 1 win, 0 placed, 2 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 102; Highest placed OR: 107Index value494 from 10 horses |
- | |||||
| 04 May 2021 | Ayr 16F Sft Cl5 NHFDiv2 £1k | 11-0 | Won/8 Fathers Advice (9) | 3/1 2F | Future | - | |||||
| Date (days since) | Race Details | Wgt. | Result | SP | FF | Jockey | OR | Sectional Data | Video | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date (days since) | Race Details | Wgt. | Result | SP | FF | Jockey | OR | Sectional Data | Video | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2023 (628) | Ayr 16½F Sft Cl3 NovHcpCh £7k | 11-8 | Won/3 The Flier Begley (4) | 8/11 F |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse12 runs, 1 win (1 horse), 2 placed, 9 unplacedNext time out2 runs, 0 wins, 0 placed, 2 unplacedClass analysis0 runs up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 0 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 117; Highest placed OR: 127Index value360 from 2 horses |
124 |
97.83%
Speed Analysis
30.49
28.06
28.06
Early Pace: Fast
|
E | |||
| 01 Apr 2022 (34) | Ayr 16F GS Cl3 HcpHdl £7k | 11-6 | 2/7 Platinumcard (1¼) | 9/4 2F |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse35 runs, 5 wins (4 horses), 6 placed, 24 unplacedNext time out6 runs, 1 win, 1 placed, 4 unplacedClass analysis11 runs up in class, 0 wins, 3 placed, 8 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 132; Highest placed OR: 132Index value1097 from 6 horses |
124 | |||||
| 26 Feb 2022 (41) | Ncs 16F GS Cl2 HcpHdl £10k | 11-2 | 2/5 Since Day One (3¼) | 1/1 F |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse24 runs, 4 wins (2 horses), 2 placed, 18 unplacedNext time out4 runs, 0 wins, 0 placed, 4 unplacedClass analysis1 run up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 1 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 132; Highest placed OR: 132Index value354 from 4 horses |
123 |
103.39%
Speed Analysis
30.20
31.82
32.65
Early Pace: Slow
|
F |
|
||
| 16 Jan 2022 (18) | Kel 16F GS Cl4 NovHdl £4k | 11-10 | Won/10 Travail D'orfevre (3¼) | 2/5 F |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse42 runs, 11 wins (7 horses), 8 placed, 23 unplacedNext time out8 runs, 0 wins, 0 placed, 8 unplacedClass analysis1 run up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 1 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 108; Highest placed OR: 114Index value405 from 8 horses |
123 | |||||
| 29 Dec 2021 (43) | Kel 16F Sft Cl4 NovHdl £4k | 11-5 | Won/9 Scots Poet (22) | 2/9 F |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse40 runs, 4 wins (3 horses), 5 placed, 31 unplacedNext time out8 runs, 1 win, 0 placed, 7 unplacedClass analysis1 run up in class, 0 wins, 0 placed, 1 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 95; Highest placed OR: 95Index value367 from 8 horses |
- | |||||
| 16 Nov 2021 (196) | Ayr 16F GS Cl4 NovHdl £4k | 10-12 | Won/11 Well Planted (5) | 1/2 F |
ATR Future FormSummary - Data does not include this horse55 runs, 6 wins (6 horses), 14 placed, 35 unplacedNext time out10 runs, 0 wins, 1 placed, 9 unplacedClass analysis3 runs up in class, 1 win, 0 placed, 2 unplacedRatings checkHighest winning OR: 102; Highest placed OR: 107Index value494 from 10 horses |
- | |||||
| 04 May 2021 | Ayr 16F Sft Cl5 NHFDiv2 £1k | 11-0 | Won/8 Fathers Advice (9) | 3/1 2F | Future | - | |||||
| Date (days since) | Scheduled Time | Course | Distance | Going | Title | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb 26 | 13:35 | Carlisle | 1m 7f 207y | Soft-good to soft in places on chase course | Racing TV Handicap Chase (GBB Race) (Class 3) (5YO plus) | View Racecard |
R2 13:35 Carlisle 16 Feb 2026
Racing TV Handicap Chase (GBB Race) (5YO plus)
Winner £7,922 - 9 declared to run - Draw Advantage: None
1m 7f 207y
Hurdle: soft-good to soft in places; chase: good to soft-soft in places
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Jumps Races | 20 | 6 | 3 | 30% | |
| Chase | 15 | 4 | 2 | 26.7% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| CD | Course and Distance | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| C | Course | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0% |
| D | Distance | 9 | 2 | 3 | 22.2% |
| G | Similar Going | 16 | 5 | 3 | 31.3% |
| Headgear | |||||
| HG | Today (T only) | 9 | 3 | 2 | 33.3% |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 33.3% |
| Hcp | This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| Connections | |||||
| J | B S Hughes | 16 | 4 | 4 | 25% |
| T | D McCain Jnr | 21 | 6 | 4 | 28.6% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Jumps Races | 25 | 5 | 7 | 20% | |
| Chase | 10 | 2 | 3 | 20% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| Course and Distance | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| C | Course | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% |
| D | Distance | 13 | 3 | 2 | 23.1% |
| G | Similar Going | 17 | 2 | 7 | 11.8% |
| Headgear | |||||
| HG | Today (P only) | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14.3% |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 3 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 18.8% |
| Hcp | This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 18 | 1 | 6 | 5.6% |
| Connections | |||||
| J | Isabelle Ryder | 3 | 1 | 0 | 33.3% |
| T | Jamie Snowden | 24 | 4 | 7 | 16.7% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Jumps Races | 20 | 6 | 4 | 30% | |
| Chase | 7 | 2 | 1 | 28.6% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| Course and Distance | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| C | Course | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% |
| D | Distance | 8 | 3 | 1 | 37.5% |
| G | Similar Going | 11 | 3 | 3 | 27.3% |
| Headgear | |||||
| HG | Today (T only) | 9 | 3 | 3 | 33.3% |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 40% |
| This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| Connections | |||||
| J | Lee Edwards | 8 | 2 | 2 | 25% |
| T | Dylan Cunha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Jumps Races | 27 | 5 | 5 | 18.5% | |
| Chase | 22 | 4 | 4 | 18.2% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| CD | Course and Distance | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0% |
| C | Course | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0% |
| D | Distance | 22 | 5 | 4 | 22.7% |
| G | Similar Going | 27 | 5 | 5 | 18.5% |
| Headgear | |||||
| Today (No Headgear) | 28 | 5 | 5 | 17.9% | |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 3 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 8.3% |
| Hcp | This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 13 | 2 | 1 | 15.4% |
| Connections | |||||
| J | P W Wadge | 16 | 3 | 3 | 18.8% |
| T | L Russell & M Scudamore | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Jumps Races | 6 | 4 | 2 | 66.7% | |
| Chase | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| Course and Distance | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Course | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| D | Distance | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% |
| G | Similar Going | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% |
| Headgear | |||||
| Today (No Headgear) | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% | |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% |
| This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Connections | |||||
| J | Sean Quinlan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33.3% |
| T | N G Richards | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Jumps Races | 27 | 8 | 3 | 29.6% | |
| Chase | 24 | 7 | 3 | 29.2% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| Course and Distance | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| C | Course | 10 | 5 | 2 | 50% |
| Distance | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| G | Similar Going | 20 | 5 | 2 | 25% |
| Headgear | |||||
| HG | Today (T only) | 23 | 7 | 3 | 30.4% |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 14.3% |
| Hcp | This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 3 | 1 | 0 | 33.3% |
| Connections | |||||
| J | Danny McMenamin | 18 | 8 | 1 | 44.4% |
| T | Mrs A Hamilton | 27 | 8 | 3 | 29.6% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Jumps Races | 12 | 1 | 2 | 8.3% | |
| Chase | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| Course and Distance | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Course | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| Distance | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| G | Similar Going | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9.1% |
| Headgear | |||||
| HG | Today (T only) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| Connections | |||||
| J | J J Slevin | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% |
| T | S R B Crawford | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Jumps Races | 14 | 1 | 4 | 7.1% | |
| Chase | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16.7% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| Course and Distance | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Course | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| D | Distance | 7 | 1 | 1 | 14.3% |
| G | Similar Going | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0% |
| Headgear | |||||
| HG | Today (T only) | 9 | 1 | 3 | 11.1% |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Class 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% | |
| Hcp | This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| Connections | |||||
| J | Jonathan England | 11 | 1 | 3 | 9.1% |
| T | S England | 14 | 1 | 4 | 7.1% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
| Race Record | Runs | Wins | Places | Win Rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Jumps Races | 21 | 4 | 7 | 19.1% | |
| Chase | 13 | 3 | 4 | 23.1% | |
| Conditions | |||||
| Course and Distance | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| C | Course | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| D | Distance | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0% |
| G | Similar Going | 19 | 3 | 7 | 15.8% |
| Headgear | |||||
| HG | Today (H only) | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8.3% |
| Class & Handicap Rating | |||||
| Cl | Class 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 25% |
| Hcp | This Handicap (OR) or Higher | 2 | 1 | 0 | 50% |
| Connections | |||||
| J | Non Runner | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T | R Menzies | 23 | 4 | 7 | 17.4% |
-
Grey = Horse has placed form
-
Blue = Horse has winning form
-
Gold = Horse has a 50% or better win record
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